Money for Jam - the 2018 “What Happen Power?” Betting Thread

[Mundusa]

How does line betting work?
Is the number a score handicap?

 

[scottjr]

How does line betting work?
Is the number a score handicap?

Yes.

 

[cmpower]

Fyfe at $9 for brownlow

 

[Jakksynn]

Some of the games this week have some juicy odds. Adelaide, West Coast, Hell its probably worth dropping some money on Carlton. Losing to the bluebaggers after winning the premiership would be such a Richmond thing to do.

 

[TeeKray]

Some of the games this week have some juicy odds. Adelaide, West Coast, Hell its probably worth dropping some money on Carlton. Losing to the bluebaggers after winning the premiership would be such a Richmond thing to do.

$3.06 for West Coast to win at home. Unprecedented.

Apparently because it's a new ground that eliminates West Coast's home ground advantage, despite the fact that their 60,000 rabid fans, notorious home ground umpiring and the 5 hour flight for the opposition remain firmly intact.

 

[scottjr]

Some of the games this week have some juicy odds. Adelaide, West Coast, Hell its probably worth dropping some money on Carlton. Losing to the bluebaggers after winning the premiership would be such a Richmond thing to do.

Carlton on the line @ +30.5 is possibly the bet of the week.

 

[SureBuddy]

Carlton on the line @ +30.5 is possibly the bet of the week.

Carlton won’t get within 60 points of the Tigers.

 

[Janus]

Gone Richmond (will account for Carlton easily), Adelaide (play same style as Essendon but with better midfield), Port (will account for Fremantle easily), GWS (at home against the Bulldogs and actually look like they are running two ways now), Hawthorn (Collingwood aren't much chop) and Gold Coast (far better than North Melbourne) at the line and St Kilda outright (actually think Brisbane will do better then some think at the start of the year).

60 to 1.

 

[Peck]

Round 1 can be pretty random from a results point of view. Partially because it’s relatively unknown which teams will rise and fall, and partially due to scrappiness.

 

[scottjr]

Carlton won’t get within 60 points of the Tigers.

Ladbrokes are offering 2 dollars Richmond. 20 dollars max bet.

 

[LFC2010]

$3.06 for West Coast to win at home. Unprecedented.

Apparently because it's a new ground that eliminates West Coast's home ground advantage, despite the fact that their 60,000 rabid fans, notorious home ground umpiring and the 5 hour flight for the opposition remain firmly intact.

West Coast no JJK, and maybe without Nic Nat as well. not sure if they can kick a winning score.

 

[tribey]

West Coast no JJK, and maybe without Nic Nat as well. not sure if they can kick a winning score.

+ Vardy, (Mitchell, Priddis, Petrie)

inb4 they pull out a freak result like Freo beating the reigning premier last year

 

[raman]

+ Sydney’s small but significant trend of early season suckage.

 

[Janus]

Lol Sydney will wipe the floor with West Coast. And that's the point. The AFL doesn't want another Subiaco where the West Coast crowd has an influence on the umpires. That's why they neutered our home ground advantage with ludicrous umpiring decisions against us - it conditions the crowd into believing that being reamed is the norm and the anger gives way to acceptance.

Combine that with the fact that the Eagles are ******* s**t (we almost beat them in the JLT in spite of not winning a single positive stat) and if you want to lose money, bet against the Swans.

 

[Andre]

Lol Sydney will wipe the floor with West Coast. And that's the point. The AFL doesn't want another Subiaco where the West Coast crowd has an influence on the umpires. That's why they neutered our home ground advantage with ludicrous umpiring decisions against us - it conditions the crowd into believing that being reamed is the norm and the anger gives way to acceptance.

Combine that with the fact that the Eagles are ******* s**t (we almost beat them in the JLT in spite of not winning a single positive stat) and if you want to lose money, bet against the Swans.

I’d believe this if Adelaide were also reamed at home.

 

[Janus]

I’d believe this if Adelaide were also reamed at home.

Oh it won’t happen forever. When West Coast are deemed to be “in the window” - that is, commercial television says that they are in the frame to win a flag and has loaded up on their games to broadcast - then they’ll get all the calls, even the ones they shouldn’t.

Adelaide gets the calls because Adelaide are the chosen ones when it comes to the commercial television market at the moment. 15 of their games are on FTA nationally.

West Coast have less games than us broadcast nationally.

The AFL loves their narratives. Last night on AFL 360 McLachlan was saying that “a lot of people think Melbourne can win (the flag)”, as if he was trying to set up a new narrative after the Bulldogs and Tigers “fairytales”.

Neither Robinson nor Whatley bought into it, they just ignored it. Probably because they know that if that happens it will be AFL manufactured bullshit, since no side has gone from missing finals for 12 years to winning the flag. But Gillon still threw it out there.

Don’t believe in never, you see.

 

[Arsene Wenger]

West Coast in Perth @ $3... surely worth a look

 

[badbeats]

 

[Schulzenfest]

West Coast in Perth @ $3... surely worth a look

Nah. Their forward line without JJK is a shambles. I can’t see them getting close to kicking a winning score.

 

[JayPea14]

GC going in even betting against NM...should trounce Norf but it is the Suns

 

[RossFC]

GC going in even betting against NM...should trounce Norf but it is the Suns

Yeah good shout there. I'm tipping Gold Coast.

 

[Forzaport]

GC going in even betting against NM...should trounce Norf but it is the Suns

Good spot. I’m expecting a solid win here for Gold Coast.

 

[Doctor Feel]

I went Gold Coast for a tenner at $1.90, Essendon for a tenner at $2.10 and a tenner on the Gold Coast Into Essendon Multi at $3.99

 

[JayPea14]

Thoughts??

 

[TeeKray]

Lol Sydney will wipe the floor with West Coast. And that's the point. The AFL doesn't want another Subiaco where the West Coast crowd has an influence on the umpires. That's why they neutered our home ground advantage with ludicrous umpiring decisions against us - it conditions the crowd into believing that being reamed is the norm and the anger gives way to acceptance.

Combine that with the fact that the Eagles are ******* s**t (we almost beat them in the JLT in spite of not winning a single positive stat) and if you want to lose money, bet against the Swans.

It will be worse than Subiaco. 60,000 of their redneck fans every week in a stadium designed like a cauldron. It's going to be intimidating as all hell for opposition players and umpires. Their home ground advantage will remain firmly in tact.