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- #101
He may play the second JLT. I heard it was a very minor hamstring strain not a tear.Billings wont b playing JLT by looks of things......no JLT means i aint picking....shame cos he was in my starting.
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He may play the second JLT. I heard it was a very minor hamstring strain not a tear.Billings wont b playing JLT by looks of things......no JLT means i aint picking....shame cos he was in my starting.
According to reports on the Port board Rocky struggled through the intraclub game last weekend with his sore shoulder. In conjunction with his bye round this now means he's an upgrade target for me. New club, new role, potentially tentative tackling...I personally like Rocky, Heeney and the cash (~70k). I think Rocky will lift back to that 115 mark this year easy enough. Heeney could be a little underpriced too, having the Interrupted pre-season could be the reason he fizzed out towards the end.
Menagola I think is basically maxed out, with the uncertainty with Gazza coming back, better off as an upgrade target, if he continued. Zorko would be a great unique to start the season, I'm playing the long game with him thou, hoping he throws up one really bad game (has form) and then try and jump on after a decent discount.
According to reports on the Port board Rocky struggled through the intraclub game last weekend with his sore shoulder. In conjunction with his bye round this now means he's an upgrade target for me. New club, new role, potentially tentative tackling...
This preseason has been interrupted for Heeney as well - minor knee surgery around Chrissie I think. The Swans had a secret squirrel intra last Friday...only info on it from SEN was that it was hot and Sam Reid kicked a couple of snags, don't know if Heeney played. Swans have a scratchie against GWS on the 23rd (from memory), will be interesting to see whether and how Heeney plays.
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Let's wait and see how the JLT games pan out before coming to conclusions. If his shoulder is still sore then and he's not laying tackles, I'll decide then what to do with him. The round 10 bye does not really concern me. He is the only player I would have from either side and if I feel he can gain me an extra 10 points or more per week that will make up for him not being there in round 10.According to reports on the Port board Rocky struggled through the intraclub game last weekend with his sore shoulder. In conjunction with his bye round this now means he's an upgrade target for me. New club, new role, potentially tentative tackling...
This preseason has been interrupted for Heeney as well - minor knee surgery around Chrissie I think. The Swans had a secret squirrel intra last Friday...only info on it from SEN was that it was hot and Sam Reid kicked a couple of snags, don't know if Heeney played. Swans have a scratchie against GWS on the 23rd (from memory), will be interesting to see whether and how Heeney plays.
According to reports on the Port board Rocky struggled through the intraclub game last weekend with his sore shoulder. In conjunction with his bye round this now means he's an upgrade target for me. New club, new role, potentially tentative tackling...
The more I start to look at the players available, the more I am convinced that a Guns/Rookie strategy is the only way to go in this form of the game. I am only going to target mid pricers that I believe can be in the top 10 of their position at seasons end. This is really McGrath/Brayshaw in the backline and Walters/Petracca in the forward line.
I am not sure there is too much benefit to guys like Christensen, O'Meara, Stringer, Birchall in RDT (I think they are solid picks in AFL Fantasy where it is easier to move them on). Last year I had Zak Jones who was the absolute definition of a mid range non keeper (will score well, but not nearly enough to hold onto for a long time), and in the end it wasn't any easier to upgrade him to a gun than it was for a standard rookie (still needed a downgrade, upgrade trade for him)
One thing to add some checks and balances to the guns/rookies approach is to always be aware of how many players you are going to need to upgrade. Right now I have a strategy where I have 2 definite backline upgrades, 2 in the mids and 2 in the forwards. Then I have what are the key 3 in my lineup and that is Angus Brayshaw, O'Meara and Walters. These are all guys that are capable of being keepers in their position, but they could also leave me with 9 required upgrades which may not seem a lot with 30 trades, but it does add up. How I pivot these 3 positions will be the key to how my side looks early days.Finding the right balance is really hard. I've never really achieved having all the top players come the end of the season, get close but like last year I always seem to get stuck with a Burton, Tuohy type.
Using Birchall as an example, for 380k if he could achieve an average of 83, that puts him within 9 points (from last years averages) of being top 6 defender. The ~260k saving could easily be used to make up those points. The same theory could then be applied to Birchall and starting a rookie instead, where the ~230k saving will make up the extra 25 points You could make on Birch.
Hard to know the right way to go, I do see some decent merit in Birchall if he's fit and ready to go round 1, like you thou I'm probably leaning more towards McGrath and Walters types.
If you think Birchall can average close to 90 and remain a keep worthy backline player, then he is huge value. Otherwise you are spending 380k and not decreasing the number of required upgrades. I think Birchall is a great pick in AFL Fantasy where you get 2 trades every week and can ride his price rise to an easy upgrade, but its different in RDT.
Didnt notice this, haven't had a gook look at AFL Fantasy stuff yetProblem is he's $485,000 in AFL Fantasy.
One thing to add some checks and balances to the guns/rookies approach is to always be aware of how many players you are going to need to upgrade. Right now I have a strategy where I have 2 definite backline upgrades, 2 in the mids and 2 in the forwards. Then I have what are the key 3 in my lineup and that is Angus Brayshaw, O'Meara and Walters.
There's a lot more tinkering that goes on with Fantasy prices. They make sure there are no obvious cheap pick ups. Last year Sandi was one for example that had his price pumped compared with RDT, for no other reason than what he had scored in years past. There are always several examples each year.Didnt notice this, haven't had a gook look at AFL Fantasy stuff yet
Why is there a large discrepancy sometimes between AFL Fantasy and RDT, particularly with some rookie prices. I get the magic number might be different, but surely the calculation is the same (average * magic number)
One thing to add some checks and balances to the guns/rookies approach is to always be aware of how many players you are going to need to upgrade. Right now I have a strategy where I have 2 definite backline upgrades, 2 in the mids and 2 in the forwards. Then I have what are the key 3 in my lineup and that is Angus Brayshaw, O'Meara and Walters. These are all guys that are capable of being keepers in their position, but they could also leave me with 9 required upgrades which may not seem a lot with 30 trades, but it does add up. How I pivot these 3 positions will be the key to how my side looks early days.
If you think Birchall can average close to 90 and remain a keep worthy backline player, then he is huge value. Otherwise you are spending 380k and not decreasing the number of required upgrades. I think Birchall is a great pick in AFL Fantasy where you get 2 trades every week and can ride his price rise to an easy upgrade, but its different in RDT.
For those who only played a small number of games last year Fantasy base their price on the better of their last TWO years whereas RDT simply use their 2017 average and discount it due to their lack of games.Didnt notice this, haven't had a gook look at AFL Fantasy stuff yet
Why is there a large discrepancy sometimes between AFL Fantasy and RDT, particularly with some rookie prices. I get the magic number might be different, but surely the calculation is the same (average * magic number)
Priced at what he is in RDT, Birchall would be one of the first to be picked imo. He can be relied upon to regularly score around the 80 mark. Never going to give you 110 but will rarely give you a 50-. That 80 odd average would be good enough for him to be D6 at the end of year. This gives me an extra $250K to spend elsewhere.One thing to add some checks and balances to the guns/rookies approach is to always be aware of how many players you are going to need to upgrade. Right now I have a strategy where I have 2 definite backline upgrades, 2 in the mids and 2 in the forwards. Then I have what are the key 3 in my lineup and that is Angus Brayshaw, O'Meara and Walters. These are all guys that are capable of being keepers in their position, but they could also leave me with 9 required upgrades which may not seem a lot with 30 trades, but it does add up. How I pivot these 3 positions will be the key to how my side looks early days.
If you think Birchall can average close to 90 and remain a keep worthy backline player, then he is huge value. Otherwise you are spending 380k and not decreasing the number of required upgrades. I think Birchall is a great pick in AFL Fantasy where you get 2 trades every week and can ride his price rise to an easy upgrade, but its different in RDT.
My biggest concern with your squad would be Wingard as I feel he will get even less mid field time than what he got last year so I don't see his score improving. In fact I think it will go backwards.Well here's my first attempt for the year. No doubt it'll change a million times before the season starts, but I'm reasonably happy with the structure.
View attachment 460099
My biggest concern with your squad would be Wingard as I feel he will get even less mid field time than what he got last year so I don't see his score improving. In fact I think it will go backwards.
In addition to that, you are better off not having two premiums in round 10.
Would think Rocky will be taking a lot of the midfield time that Wingard had last year. With both Gray and Wingard playing predominantly forward together with Watts and Motlop spending time there, they seem quite dangerous.Heard somewhere that Wingard said himself he will play more forward this year??
Guess either Gray goes mid...or with Rocky/Motlop in, they take his mid time....im steering clear.
Looks like you've added on two mystery premiums? Otherwise you are fielding 32 players.How's your team structure looking atm.
Based on the following criteria:
Premium - over $600K
Mid - $401K - $599K
Low - $250K - $400K
Rook - Less than $250K
I currently look like
Defense P2, M2, L0, R4
Mids P5, M0, L1, R5
Ruck P2, R1
Forward P1, M2, L2, R3
Total being P12, M4, L3, R13 and I am hoping all 4 Mid picks can remain as keepers meaning I could get away with only 6 major upgrades.
Yeah, I've amended it accordingly.Looks like you've added on two mystery premiums? Otherwise you are fielding 32 players.
My count is
Back P3 M1 L0 R4
Mid P5 M0 L0 R6
Ruck P2 R1
Fwd P2 M2 L0 R4
Giving a total of P12 M3 R15.
If there are enough solid rookies in the forward and back line I will downgrade my two riskiest midprice boys and whack another premium in the mids.
For me, the forwards are harder to pick as there are several backline mid-pricers that im bullish on and as such they havent left my team. There are not many gun forwards without question marks and while there are several mid-price options im finding it hard to find the right combination. In my opinion players such as Smith/Curnow/Petracca/Lobb/Walters/Robinson could all step up to average 90+ but picking the best combination is really tough. Then on the low end mid-pricers like Christensen/Ah Chee present value. Currently, apart from rookies, ive only locked in one forward and that is Barlow. So the forwards are definitely the hardest to pick this season for me.Question or Vote : Do you think The Forwards or Defenders are the toughest to pick with less options or weaker ?