Next five games

[Suma Magic]

Bit of time to kill with the bye.

Our next five are:

R14 v Melbourne (Darwin)
R15 v Adelaide
R16 v Collingwood (Docklands)
R17 v Sydney
R18 v Gold Coast (Carrara)

How many will we win of our next five?

I think probably 3. But I think we need to win 4 to finish top 4

 

[Avalor]

Bit of time to kill with the bye.

Our next five are:

R14 v Melbourne (Alice Springs)
R15 v Adelaide
R16 v Collingwood (Docklands)
R17 v Sydney
R18 v Gold Coast (Carrara)

How many will we win of our next five?

I think probably 3. But I think we need to win 4 to finish top 4

The way we are playing, we could take all five of them. Sydney at Subi ... I reckon we can do that. The media have finally realized what
good things we are, and are now fawning all over us. Good to be talked up so much, and now the pressure is back on us to produce the goods over the next 5 weeks - I think we will.

 

[kaiserchief13]

R14 v Melbourne (Alice Springs) - 80% chance of winning
R15 v Adelaide - 80% chance of winning
R16 v Collingwood (Docklands) - 60% chance of winning
R17 v Sydney - 50% chance of winning
R18 v Gold Coast (Carrara) - 95% chance of winning

Those probabilities give a record of 3.65 wins. So I'm saying 3-2 or 4-1.

 

[The Falcon Strike]

15 wins will get us top 4

Assuming we lose to haw, Syd and freo (not guaranteed but probable)

Means we need to win 6 of the other 7

Means we have to beat the non-top 8 sides and 2 of adeX2 and coll

Then again if we can't beat one of Hawks, Syd or freo at subi - we aren't doing much in the top 4 anyway

 

[i am a logo]

R14 v Melbourne (Alice Springs) 73 point win
R15 v Adelaide 49 point win
R16 v Collingwood (Docklands) 32 point loss
R17 v Sydney 4 point loss
R18 v Gold Coast 9 point win

 

[joeyavalanche]

melbourne - should get a win if we come to play
adelaide - should get a win if we come to play
collingwood - i think we are a better side. but being away and depending on injuries. might be a 50/50
sydney - i feel confident if we played them next week, but no telling how we'll be going by then. also will be after a big away game. 50/50.
gold coast - as long as they dont get all their players back and make a late season surge, we should get a win.

 

[West Coast 06]

Please tell me TIO Stadium is actually in Darwin, as that is where I have flights and accommodation booked to watch this game!

 

[ROO DOGG]

R14 v Melbourne (Alice Springs) - 80% chance of winning
R15 v Adelaide - 80% chance of winning
R16 v Collingwood (Docklands) - 60% chance of winning
R17 v Sydney - 50% chance of winning
R18 v Gold Coast (Carrara) - 95% chance of winning

Those probabilities give a record of 3.65 wins. So I'm saying 3-2 or 4-1.

Good maths

 

[new breed]

Collingwood we might struggle ...should we beat Collingwood then top 4 is really a good chance .

The Pies have Greenwood back next week or two , will be a key game for us but one week at a time !!

 

[Jootube]

This is averaging 3 very solid predictive models.
R14 v Melbourne (Alice Springs) 85%
R15 v Adelaide 81%
R16 v Collingwood (Docklands) 61%
R17 v Sydney 57%
R18 v Gold Coast 93%
Total 3.77 Wins

Solid chance of going 4/5. 3 games are almost "locks". Should sneak one of Collingwood/Sydney.

 

[ROO DOGG]

R14 v Melbourne (Alice Springs) 73 point win
R15 v Adelaide 49 point win
R16 v Collingwood (Docklands) 32 point loss
R17 v Sydney 4 point loss
R18 v Gold Coast 9 point win

32 point loss to collingwood is selling us a bit short considering we have matched up pretty well agains them the last couple of years. They also have a some very tough games before they play us

 

[Lyyynnnchy]

R14 v Melbourne (Alice Springs) 73 point win
R15 v Adelaide 49 point win
R16 v Collingwood (Docklands) 32 point loss
R17 v Sydney 4 point loss
R18 v Gold Coast 9 point win

32 point loss to Collingwood??? WTF

 

[The_Reaper]

Please tell me TIO Stadium is actually in Darwin, as that is where I have flights and accommodation booked to watch this game!

It is

 

[Lyyynnnchy]

I wouldnt go near saying Adelaide is a lock. A midfield consisting of Jacobs, Danger, Sloane, Crouch and Thompson, a forward line with Walker and Betts and a backline with Talia can beat anyone on their day as they have shown with dominant periods against Freo and the Hawks

 

[ziad]

absolutely need to come to play and focus 100% on team play
if not there are 5 danger games. in simmo we trust. No more hobart or we are done.

 

[Carbine Chaos]

Don't rate Adelaide much.

We could go 5-0. Could.

 

[fomoco04]

Please tell me TIO Stadium is actually in Darwin, as that is where I have flights and accommodation booked to watch this game!

Unless its been moved to Alice on the back of a very big truck its still in Darwin.

 

[ep2018]

Melbourne W
Adelaide 50/50
Collingwood L
Sydney L
Gold Coast W

If Melbourne play possessed like they did against the Cats then 50/50.
Adelaide haven't been playing too badly, just been beaten by great teams.
Collingwood always beat us in Melbourne, can't see it changing.
Sydney are top 2 quality, cant see a win here unfortunately.
Gold Coast should be a win, they're decimated at the moment even if Ablett comes back in.

3-2 is pass. Anything less and I think we will fall back to the pack of finals contender teams.

 

[ep2018]

Don't rate Adelaide much.

We could go 5-0. Could.

Mate if we go 5-0 I reckon we could make a run for second

 

[Here2tellyouwhy]

Collingwood is a danger game as it's at Etihad. Our zone wont work as well there and all they will have to do is win it out the middle and bomb it long to Choke.
Key to winning that one is McGovern lose and make sure Choke misses his first.
Sydney 50/50.

The rest all wins, good wins.

 

[Suma Magic]

Please tell me TIO Stadium is actually in Darwin, as that is where I have flights and accommodation booked to watch this game!

Whoops. Edited.

 

[RookiePick]

Collingwood is a season defining game. One we should win if we are determined to take a top 4 spot.

In our favour is Collingwoods lead-up. They are coming off Freo @ Subi, Hawthorn and Port @ Adelaide. There is some chance they will be a bit battered and coming into us unsettled.

Adelaide conversely could be expected to hit us on a high after Brissie and Geelong, they could be played back into form. Let's hope the Catters do us a solid and make a hard contest at least so the Crowbots feel the 6 day break as much as possible.

Swans will be a hard match. They are beatable but their midfield is probably one of our worst match ps and they have plenty of firepower up forwards. Will be amazing if we can get up. If we hit them going 3-0 beforehand who knows with the home advantage!

We should back ourselves to go 4-1 if we keep playing team defence and running out 4 quarters. If we lose any hopefully we fight it out the whole way and keep our % intact.

 

[Jootube]

I wouldnt go near saying Adelaide is a lock. A midfield consisting of Jacobs, Danger, Sloane, Crouch and Thompson, a forward line with Walker and Betts and a backline with Talia can beat anyone on their day as they have shown with dominant periods against Freo and the Hawks

Home game against Adelaide remember.
The Away game is a different story, we are considered a 66% favourite. That game will be a lot more tight.

 

[DickDunn]

Adelaide were pretty bad against Hawthorn the other night. Couldn't hit a target. I reckon we'll beat them, Melbourne and GC.

Sydney is an excellent side and I wouldn't bet on a win against them unless we pull out something really special.

I actually think we'll match up pretty well against Collingwood but we're generally not great at Etihad so who knows.

 

[RookiePick]

We are poor at Etihad but we just won at the 'G after a long period of shiteness at that venue. Hopefully the group can believe