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Percentage Opportunity

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witsend

Norm Smith Medallist
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The next 2 weeks against a dramatically weakened PA and GCS at Metricon present a fantastic chance for us to boost our percentage to acceptable and competitive levels.
2 x 100 point wins would give us 125+%
2 x 60 point wins would give us 120%
At the moment our percentage is pretty much an extra game behind the Top 8 sides we are fighting against.
We MUST win and win ruthlessly, scrapping for very point and conceding NOTHING!
2 large wins is almost worth 12 points imo. No resting...no mercy!
 
On recent form both games will probably see scores level at quarter, or even half time, so you can rule out any 100 point thrashings. Best case scenario is that we get our percentage to 120.
 
weather might be a factor

and my lack of confidence.... I'm confident that we'll win both but not confident about huge margins.As it is I think that top 4 has gone. But sure, we want to finish as high up the ladder as we can. It's been a long day today and I'm feeling a bit flat - a big like how the cat's play their first quarters .....
 
yeh weather may be an issue and the ground is so bloody unpredictable, wind really seems to catch hold of the footy from all angles and I'd assume more points than ever are being scored because of it.
But if they run hard for 4 quarters, it will surely tire the opposition and leave us with many easy goal opportunities not far out.
 

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weather might be a factor

and my lack of confidence.... I'm confident that we'll win both but not confident about huge margins.As it is I think that top 4 has gone. But sure, we want to finish as high up the ladder as we can. It's been a long day today and I'm feeling a bit flat - a big like how the cat's play their first quarters .....

Even in crap weather if you can hold the opposition to a score below or around 50 points, you then only need to score 4-5 a quarter tho get your 10 goal win.
I fully expect our 1st quarter set-up to be much more defensive from here on in. Take the sting out of the game, sort out your match ups then gradually grind them into the dirt!
 
Honestly I would be disappointed if we didn't win by 10 goals plus. This is the worst side port has sent for a while and that's saying something. I want these two rounds to be our rounds 19 and 20 from last year.
 
Horse has bolted re percentage v. other top sides.

They will keep rotating in these two games.

Top sides yes but not the ones we are battling with for elimination final spots.

St Kilda and Carlton are around the 120 mark, Richmond are around our mark, and Freo are behind us.

Thus % is important the next two weeks, I would expect 50 point wins in each as the bare pass mark.
 
Absolutely. No mercy in the next two. I still think we'll win very big even with the four changes this week.

I think they are counting on the fresher legs and getting pace into the side to boost the chances of big wins.
Chappy into the 4th up by 10 goals might not run as hard say as Murdoch or Hyphen on a burst down the members wing.....

Just a thought...

Go Catters
 
Given our recent form, I'd be happy just to get two wins from the next two games irregardless of the percentage boost, they could very well be the last two wins for the season.
Given our draw and form I find it hard to mount a case to the contrary. Something needs to change and change in a hurry if we are absolutely any chance to win one from our last 6 games for the season.
 
I'll start with the 2 wins at any margin to start with.

And yes if we play half decent we could well wing by 50 points + in the next 2 games.

Watching Sydney, Hawthorn, Collingwood and WC of late makes me feel that our best is not as good as theirs (this season only).

Yes we have more upside than the above clubs - but is because we have not put 3 quarters together in a game, let alone 4 quarters.

Will see any games this season where where we actually play to our potential ?

I hope so but it seems a fair way away on present form.

What might help us is that Wojo should soon be fitter and playing a bit better and the same goes for Bundy. With these two inform the side looks a fair bit better.

Then we need one of the new faces into the team this week to perform. Maybe the Hyphen will have a good day and keep his spot for a games in row.
 

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percentage doesn't really matter that much because we are likely finishing 6th-8th

finishing 7th will likely mean a final in melbourne anyway
 
Horse has bolted re percentage v. other top sides.

They will keep rotating in these two games.

Disagree. The old 'eight point game' theory will come into play twofold, if we can knock off teams like Hawthorn, Essendon, Adelaide, Sydney, West Coast and Collingwood by 5+ goals in the run home.

Say we win this week 140 to 50 (not a ridiculous suggestion). That takes our percentage up to 117.7. Then, if we played Essendon the week after and beat them, say 110 to 73, they would drop from 138.4 to 131.3, while we would improve to just under 120 (just 79 points for and 40 points against behind them). They lose again to a team like Collingwood by the same margin, and all of a sudden, they're down to 125.4. Nothing knocks a top side's percentage down quite like a couple of big losses. If we start winning these eight point games, our percentage may not be so damaging for our final position, by the end of the year.
 

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