Prediction Preliminary Finals predictions.

[Dangerousfield]

Would this spark a crisis meeting at Spring Street or would the game be quickly billed as Fitzroy vs South Melbourne and great for the fans of these FOUNDATION VFL clubs?

Expect the VFL to intervene and make sure the umps call all the 50/50s against those damned nuisance interstaters!

Pies to get an umpire fuelled ride to a fairytale flag, it's what the VFL love

 

[a_fighting_fury]

Pies by 1 point

Geelong by 23 points

 

[dean33]

Swans by 5 points, buddy after the siren.
Cats by 39.

 

[Osho]

Brisbane have prevailed in two very tight close finals games in a row, it wouldn't suprise if they come out a bit flat after the emotional energy they've consumed. Geelong by a fair bit.

Collingwoods game style won't be as effective at the narrow SCG as it is in the open pastures of the MCG, as evidenced by the round 22 game. Swans to win but it will be a bit closer, Swans by 2 goals.

Oval	Length (m)	Width (m)	▲ Area (m²)	Area per player (m²)
Rugby League field	100	68	6,800	262
Soccer pitch (FIFA recommendation)	105	68	7,140	325
North Hobart Oval	150	105	12,370	344
Gaelic Football (Croke Park)	145	88	12,760	425
Glenferrie Oval	160	105	13,195	367
Norwood Oval	165	110	14,255	396
Stadium Australia	160	118	14,828	412
Kardinia Park	170	115	15,355	427
Bellerive	160	124	15,582	433
Adelaide Oval	167	123	16,133	448
Eureka Stadium	160	129	16,211	450
Docklands	160	129	16,211	450
Giants Stadium	164	128	16,487	458
SCG	155	136	16,556	460
Perth Stadium	165	130	16,847	468
Gabba	156	138	16,908	470
Carrara	161	134	16,944	471
Traegar Park	168	132	17,417	484
Cazaly's Stadium	165	135	17,495	486
Manuka Oval	162	138	17,558	488
MCG	160	141	17,719	492
Marrara Oval	175	135	18,555	515
York Park	170	140	18,693	519
Deniliquin Oval	196	131	20,16

From the SCG to Kardinia Park — do ground sizes contribute to the end result in AFL games?

From big to small and everything in between, the size of an AFL ground impacts the way the game is played and how teams win — right? Well, it's not that simple, writes Cody Atkinson and Sean Lawson.

www.abc.net.au

Pies pressure may be higher, if imaginable, at the SCG with less m2 per player.

 

[SM]

Oval	Length (m)	Width (m)	▲ Area (m²)	Area per player (m²)
Rugby League field	100	68	6,800	262
Soccer pitch (FIFA recommendation)	105	68	7,140	325
North Hobart Oval	150	105	12,370	344
Gaelic Football (Croke Park)	145	88	12,760	425
Glenferrie Oval	160	105	13,195	367
Norwood Oval	165	110	14,255	396
Stadium Australia	160	118	14,828	412
Kardinia Park	170	115	15,355	427
Bellerive	160	124	15,582	433
Adelaide Oval	167	123	16,133	448
Eureka Stadium	160	129	16,211	450
Docklands	160	129	16,211	450
Giants Stadium	164	128	16,487	458
SCG	155	136	16,556	460
Perth Stadium	165	130	16,847	468
Gabba	156	138	16,908	470
Carrara	161	134	16,944	471
Traegar Park	168	132	17,417	484
Cazaly's Stadium	165	135	17,495	486
Manuka Oval	162	138	17,558	488
MCG	160	141	17,719	492
Marrara Oval	175	135	18,555	515
York Park	170	140	18,693	519
Deniliquin Oval	196	131	20,16

From the SCG to Kardinia Park — do ground sizes contribute to the end result in AFL games?

From big to small and everything in between, the size of an AFL ground impacts the way the game is played and how teams win — right? Well, it's not that simple, writes Cody Atkinson and Sean Lawson.

www.abc.net.au

Pies pressure may be higher, if imaginable, at the SCG with less m2 per player.

How did that pressure go for them a couple of weeks ago? Or does that game not count because JDG didn't play..

 

[Toump Ass]

Swans by a tiny little bit.
Geelong by not much.

A classic Geelong choke will not suprise.

 

[FourthTimeAround]

BT and Darcy and JB will be barracking for Collingwood and Geelong.
Oops, my bad, that’s a factual observation, not a prediction.

Prediction, there will be a Supreme Court challenge to a tribunal suspension.

 

[FourthTimeAround]

Would this spark a crisis meeting at Spring Street or would the game be quickly billed as Fitzroy vs South Melbourne and great for the fans of these FOUNDATION VFL clubs?

Yes, there would be an investigation, 13 of the last 15 premiers being Victorian is not enough!

 

[PerthBoy86]

Geelong 14 preliminary finals: 2004, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2013, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022
Collingwood 2002, 2003, 2007*, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2018, 2019, 2022
Sydney: 2003, 2005, 2006, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2016, 2022
Brisbane: 1999, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2020, 2022*
Port: 2002, 2003, 2004, 2007, 2014*, 2020, 2021
Hawthorn: 2001*, 2008, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015
West Coast: 2005, 2006, 2011, 2015, 2018
Adelaide: 2002, 2005, 2006, 2012, 2017
Western Bulldogs: 2008, 2009, 2010, 2016*, 2021*

* Finished outside the top 4

Since 2004 Geelong have only ever had one season with a losing record (2006 = 10 wins, 11 losses and 1 draw vs Melbourne). Every other season they have finished with a winning record.

Since 1999 all teams apart from Gold Coast have made the Grand Final at least once.

Wow really shows how many teams like Geelong and Adelaide have lost. Thought we'd have played in more, but yeah, we usually either don't make them or win them.

 

[Osho]

How did that pressure go for them a couple of weeks ago? Or does that game not count because JDG didn't play..

So, we don't need to play the game because 2 weeks ago?

 

[BigPond101]

Geelong by 82

Pies by 22

 

[SM]

So, we don't need to play the game because 2 weeks ago?

Who said that?

 

[kickazz]

Brisbane have prevailed in two very tight close finals games in a row, it wouldn't suprise if they come out a bit flat after the emotional energy they've consumed. Geelong by a fair bit.

Collingwoods game style won't be as effective at the narrow SCG as it is in the open pastures of the MCG, as evidenced by the round 22 game. Swans to win but it will be a bit closer, Swans by 2 goals.

The SCG is a wide ground

 

[Cyber_punk]

Geelong by 50
Swans by 30

Then Geelong win pretty comfortably in the GF

Hoping Collingwood wins it all but can't see it.

 

[freddy mercury]

Geelong VS Brisbane Geelong by 37 points.
Sydney VS Collingwood Sydney by 31 points.

Both too strong VS interstate clubs. Pretty strange Geelong have an away final against an interstate team.

 

[Biggy_Boy]

It's house money in my eyes, we have nothing to lose. All the pressure is on the Cats and if they start a bit wobbly, we might just out run them to a Granny.

Have no idea what you're talking about. We have the same opportunity to lose. Regardless of how we got there, we're both playing for a shot at a grand final and a premiership, which are both hard to come by. Brisbane may have finished outside the 4 this year, but they've been up for several years now with not much to show for it. Also not like the 2000s and early 2010s where it was rare for a side outside the 4 to make the GF. Very much on the table now with the bye.

 

[FireKrakouer]

I think the favourites (cats n swans) will both win, but I hope to be wrong on both counts. Getter done bears n pies!

 

[Toffee Lion]

Have no idea what you're talking about. We have the same opportunity to lose. Regardless of how we got there, we're both playing for a shot at a grand final and a premiership, which are both hard to come by. Brisbane may have finished outside the 4 this year, but they've been up for several years now with not much to show for it. Also not like the 2000s and early 2010s where it was rare for a side outside the 4 to make the GF. Very much on the table now with the bye.

You're looking at it solely on the game itself, I'm looking at the wider picture of the criticism thrown at the Lions coming into this finals campaign.

We won at the GABBA (Something we've struggled to do recently in finals), knocking off Richmond and then broke through in a massive upset at the MCG against the reigning premiers. This is off the back of a rather poor second half of the season, with some incredibly embarassing losses such as Essendon at the GABBA and the Richmond choke.

If we bow out in the prelim on Friday, no one will say the Lions choked. It'll be marked as "falling short". Now if the Cats lose? The c-word may get thrown around, whether it would be warranted I am not sure but it'll be up for debate.

So yeah, in my eyes it's a free shot. If we lose in a good fashion, I'm not going to be particularly upset as we've been outsiders the whole finals campaign. Cats are flag favourites for a reason and rightfully firm favourites for the prelim. A very good side that will be tough to stop, excited for the challenge though.

 

[ForeverHardcore]

Pies have an insane habit of winning prelims
I give them a huge chance especially against the odds this weekend!
Backs to the wall they normally play their best football ala 2018 prelim

Pies by 10

Reckon the cats beat Brisbane
Been the best team all year and getting over that elimination final hurdle will give them huge confidence!
Lions have been huge in both finals and getting over another hump in Melbourne they won’t be easy beats. Geelong though should wear them down and overrun them late

Cats by 20

 

[S_Saed17]

Geelong 95
Brisbane 77

Sydney 82
Collingwood 79