If you look at it statistically, the amount of wins for each position (going from ladders from 1999-2005) are as follows:
8 = 11.78
9 = 11.07
10 = 10.5
11 = 9.92
12 = 8.71
13 = 8.071
14 = 5.78
15 = 4.92
16 = 3.35
Which means that we are pretty much out of the race for a bottom five placing (we play essendon and carlton in the run hom and brisbane in Melb)
IMO we will finish on ten wins, placing us in the position of 10-11 or picks 6 or 7.
Now Selwood and Gibbs will be in the top 7, surely. That leaves 4-5 KPP.
Hansen, Gumbleton, Sellar, Thorp, Riewoldt Looks like the rankings of the top five KPP. Richmond with a position of 10th or 11th could easily pick up either Thorp or Riewoldt.
Our first pick should be a KPP. The second round will giv us a chance to pick up a Fielding or a Schmidt, but our first pick (Idealy in the top seven) should be focused on securing one of the seven mentionned above.
I can't see us beating the bulldogs, the saints, power, the eagles, the demons or Sydney (in Sydney). Most likely we will finish in one or picks better than last year in pick 6-7. I hope we don't do what we did last year and spot some aboriginal wingman and grab him. We as a club really need to address the lack of quality KPP at this club. Just having Pattison and Hughes doens't cut it, especially as Cleave isn't actually a KPP, more of a floating down to the wings and taking marks aka Tarrant type.
Second round and beyond is just picking what has been missed and filling our needs (i.e. ruckman, defenders, another KPP? midfielder? Pretty much one of everyhting would be good.) The later round s are harder to tell because they are more based on what other clubs do and take than everyhting. For example if all the ruckmen and good KPP are taken, you are forced to take something else.
8 = 11.78
9 = 11.07
10 = 10.5
11 = 9.92
12 = 8.71
13 = 8.071
14 = 5.78
15 = 4.92
16 = 3.35
Which means that we are pretty much out of the race for a bottom five placing (we play essendon and carlton in the run hom and brisbane in Melb)
IMO we will finish on ten wins, placing us in the position of 10-11 or picks 6 or 7.
Now Selwood and Gibbs will be in the top 7, surely. That leaves 4-5 KPP.
Hansen, Gumbleton, Sellar, Thorp, Riewoldt Looks like the rankings of the top five KPP. Richmond with a position of 10th or 11th could easily pick up either Thorp or Riewoldt.
Our first pick should be a KPP. The second round will giv us a chance to pick up a Fielding or a Schmidt, but our first pick (Idealy in the top seven) should be focused on securing one of the seven mentionned above.
I can't see us beating the bulldogs, the saints, power, the eagles, the demons or Sydney (in Sydney). Most likely we will finish in one or picks better than last year in pick 6-7. I hope we don't do what we did last year and spot some aboriginal wingman and grab him. We as a club really need to address the lack of quality KPP at this club. Just having Pattison and Hughes doens't cut it, especially as Cleave isn't actually a KPP, more of a floating down to the wings and taking marks aka Tarrant type.
Second round and beyond is just picking what has been missed and filling our needs (i.e. ruckman, defenders, another KPP? midfielder? Pretty much one of everyhting would be good.) The later round s are harder to tell because they are more based on what other clubs do and take than everyhting. For example if all the ruckmen and good KPP are taken, you are forced to take something else.









