Discussion So I crunched the numbers …. again

[BLUEALLTHRU]

Yeah looks about right.

The lack of rookies over the past few seasons pretty much explains it.

Great point!

As a league are we doing enough to attract fresh posters?

IMO we are resting on our laurels.

 

[serial_thrilla]

What about S38?

AFL post season. Even numbered seasons are always lower.
S40 numbers will tank over the coming rounds.

 

[BLUEALLTHRU]

What about S38?

Any chance of some stats on new rookies for those seasons mate?

 

[serial_thrilla]

Great point!

As a league are we doing enough to attract fresh posters?

IMO we are resting on our laurels.

You're on the money BAT. But the more pressing question in my mind is whether this is a league problem or a forum problem.

 

[BLUEALLTHRU]

AFL post season. Even numbered seasons are always lower.
S40 numbers will tank over the coming rounds.

Why even numbers ? Is that because they are divisible.

 

[Kilroy]

Any chance of some stats on new rookies for those seasons mate?

Great question mate!

TheInjuryFactory did some comparative analysis on rookie retention

 

[serial_thrilla]

Why even numbers ? Is that because they are divisible.

Even numbers are Jul-Dec. So they start well for engagement, but then it all goes quiet after the AFL trade period.

 

[BLUEALLTHRU]

You're on the money BAT. But the more pressing question in my mind is whether this is a league problem or a forum problem.

Excellent question, IMO it's a combination. If both work side by side we'd have a better outcome.

 

[sabso]

Perhaps an obvious question is “what happened in S38”?

• Admin issues ?
• Post-Big_Icky impact ?

Drilled down on S37 and S38 averages for each club.

Here’s the breakdown for each club over the last 4 seasons (and given S40 is almost complete, but they’re weekly averages so still valid):

Average unique posters per week for each team S37-S40 ...

Team	S37	S38	S39	S40
Bears	18.8	17.9	20.5	18.2
Bombers	16.4	15.7	18.1	17.3
Demons	18.9	18.4	20.8	20.1
Dragons	15.8	9.8	10	12
Furies	10.7	7.1	12.5	9.3
Gumbies	11.7	9.4	10.8	13.8
Hawks	14.3	10.6	12	9.8
Oobs	14.8	16.3	17.2	17
Royals	15.7	16.4	16.5	16.3
Roys	17.4	14.3	16	12.5
Swamprats	11.3	14.1	9.9	11.5
Warriors	16.9	16.1	16.8	19
Wonders	15.9	15.6	13.5	13.8
LEAGUE TOTAL/wk	198.6	181.7	194.6	190.6

Royals poster avg is holding steady yet our match thread this season was much more enjoyable than last season. No idea of effects, though, I’ve done enough knob polishing for one day.

 

[Robertio]

Someone wants to attribute this to a certain effect.

I was leading up to that mate.

 

[Robertio]

If you’re all too mealy-mouthed to say it then I will!!

It’s the Robertio Effect!!!

See everyone i told you so.

 

[Brenton Davy]

Royals poster avg is holding steady yet our match thread this season was much more enjoyable than last season. No idea of effects, though, I’ve done enough knob polishing for one day.

There’s only one effect.

The @Robertio Effect. It real, it’s quantifiable and it’s amazing!

 

[Robertio]

There’s only one effect.

The @Robertio Effect. It real, it’s quantifiable and it’s amazing!

 

[Kilroy]

What about S38?

AFL post season. Even numbered seasons are always lower.

Even numbers are Jul-Dec. So they start well for engagement, but then it all goes quiet after the AFL trade period.

Appears to be seen when you look back even further at weekly league-wide poster averages from S34-S36, although S35 is only marginally higher.

	S34	S35	S36
BOM	17.25	14.63	14.79
CIW	16	17.63	18.71
DEM	12.92	20.13	21.36
FUR	12.92	11.31	13
GCR	16	18.5	14.93
GUM	14.83	12.19	11.07
HAW	17.25	11.13	10.64
LVB	13.25	19.69	19.21
ROY	17.58	15.19	14.57
SCS	12.92	13.25	12.57
SDR	12.5	12.88	17.29
WON	18.67	17.38	17.43
OOB	15.08	16.25	14.5

Total

197.17

200.16

200.07

*Using Kennedy Parker ‘s raw data

S35 - the season after the OOBs were absorbed into the competition - would appear to be peak “unique”.

 

[Kilroy]

Obviously posters like DemurePrincess aren’t going to play for a team like the Furies because they have different ideas on how to enjoy a match thread.

Don’t wanna put ideas in anyone’s head, but I think you grossly underestimate how engaging she is, The Half Back

She’s a tagger and she doesn’t give her opponents an inch.

The players that like to post more tend to stick together and play for the same team.

Maybe a little, but if there’s room for a chatterbox often someone will step up. If they’re actually getting others involved that’s good teamwork.

 

[The Half Back]

Don’t wanna put ideas in anyone’s head, but I think you grossly underestimate how engaging she is, The Half Back

She’s a tagger and she doesn’t give her opponents an inch.



Maybe a little, but if there’s room for a chatterbox often someone will step up. If they’re actually getting others involved that’s good teamwork.

I’m not doubting for a second that she’s engaging, I’m just saying that someone that enjoys posting with that sort of volume isn’t going to voluntarily joins a team who doesn’t post a whole lot each week.

 

[Kilroy]

I’m not doubting for a second that she’s engaging, I’m just saying that someone that enjoys posting with that sort of volume isn’t going to voluntarily joins a team who doesn’t post a whole lot each week.

HitTheNailOnTheHead

 

[Robertio]

I’m not doubting for a second that she’s engaging, I’m just saying that someone that enjoys posting with that sort of volume isn’t going to voluntarily joins a team who doesn’t post a whole lot each week.

I bet she would at least double if not more the volume of posting from the other Furies if she was there though, it would work like The Robertio Effect at the Royals. I've found some great posters at the Royals I've never taken notice of, just needs one poster to drive the thread and the rest will follow.

 

[The Half Back]

I bet she would at least double if not more the volume of posting from the other Furies if she was there though, it would work like The Robertio Effect at the Royals. I've found some great posters at the Royals I've never taken notice of, just needs one poster to drive the thread and the rest will follow.

It may potentially have that effect, it may also have a negative effect. If they are only posting a couple of times and having to get through 10-15 pages, I don't think they are going to open up a match thread with 23 unread pages and post a bunch.

Would be interesting to see nonetheless, DemurePrincess, you wanna test the theory?

 

[Robertio]

It may potentially have that effect, it may also have a negative effect. If they are only posting a couple of times and having to get through 10-15 pages, I don't think they are going to open up a match thread with 23 unread pages and post a bunch.

Would be interesting to see nonetheless, DemurePrincess, you wanna test the theory?

Why would she go to the Furies? TRUMAN#1 is there?

 

[Tigerturbulance]

Why would she go to the Furies? TRUMAN#1 isthere?

could be a big rucking chance for DemurePrincess at the Furies because they are in need of a genuine game winning ruck

 

[Robertio]

could be a big rucking chance for DemurePrincess at the Furies because they are in need of a genuine game winning ruck

So are the Royals.

 

[Tigerturbulance]

So are the Royals.

OOBs have two premiership rucks currently so not in the hunt

 

[The Half Back]

Why would she go to the Furies? TRUMAN#1 isthere?

Social experiment?

 

[TRUMAN#1]

You know I can hear you all