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We will most likely take Thompson with our second third rounder (pick 49 over all) and we already have Egan on the list. That's two young KP players ready to take over from Scarlo/Harley/Milburn when they retire, Thompson will be approaching his peak by this time and Egan obviously is on the verge of peaking and will be around for quite a while)
We should be looking to take the best available ruckman with pick 17 as we only have three on our list. Pick 34 and 44 should be used for a project KPB and project Ruckman respectively, while pick 59 (last pick) will be used for Adam Donohue.
Pick 17: Best Ruckman (Tom Bellchambers/Dawson Simpson - both will most likely be gone but would be rapt if one of them was still available at Pick 17)
Pick 34: KPB
Pick 44: Project Ruckman
Pick 49: Scott Thompson
Pick 59: Adam Donohue
That would add two ruckman and two key backs to the list as well as a small back flanker in Donohue.
Alternatively id like to pick up Rhyce Prismall with one of pick 34 or 44 or Scott Selwood should he still be available.
Thoughts..?
We will most likely take Thompson with our second third rounder (pick 49 over all) and we already have Egan on the list. That's two young KP players ready to take over from Scarlo/Harley/Milburn when they retire, Thompson will be approaching his peak by this time and Egan obviously is on the verge of peaking and will be around for quite a while)
I see Thompson more as a 3rd tall in the Milburn style of sweeping backman and not as a key position player.
Egan is well and truely entrenched in the side already and therefore cannot be considered as a replacement for either Scarlett or Harley. That being the case we need to recruit for that now so he will be ready to take over in 2 -3 years when required.
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We will most likely take Thompson with our second third rounder (pick 49 over all) and we already have Egan on the list. That's two young KP players ready to take over from Scarlo/Harley/Milburn when they retire, Thompson will be approaching his peak by this time and Egan obviously is on the verge of peaking and will be around for quite a while)
We should be looking to take the best available ruckman with pick 17 as we only have three on our list. Pick 34 and 44 should be used for a project KPB and project Ruckman respectively, while pick 59 (last pick) will be used for Adam Donohue.
Pick 17: Best Ruckman (Tom Bellchambers/Dawson Simpson - both will most likely be gone but would be rapt if one of them was still available at Pick 17)
Pick 34: KPB
Pick 44: Project Ruckman
Pick 49: Scott Thompson
Pick 59: Adam Donohue
That would add two ruckman and two key backs to the list as well as a small back flanker in Donohue.
Alternatively id like to pick up Rhyce Prismall with one of pick 34 or 44 or Scott Selwood should he still be available.
Thoughts..?
threads about players nobody has heard of = yawn fest

And why Prismall or Selwood?? Prismall is a medium forward and Selwood is a bulldozing midfielder, and really we don't need any more of either. Is it just because we have their brothers already on the list (which by itself is a dumb reason)?
We should be looking to get at least one form the National draft and another from the Rookie draft, idealy three all together IMO.
threads about players nobody has heard of = yawn fest
Understandable. But for a grand total of 6 ruckman? Hardly seems justifiable, especially as the ruckmen we are likely to draft this season are going to be nowhere near ready, so regardless of whether ottens goes down, are we any better off taking three green ruckmen in one year???
FWIW, I would like to see us draft Pears.
Have heard that we are only considering Thompson for the rookie draft, which I think is the right call. He was very good in the VFL this year, but he's not a superstar yet. And as someone else has pointed out, he does come across as probably more of a third tall than a KP prospect (although he is tall enough and good overhead, so maybe with a heap of development he could fill a KP role).
I would be absolutely flabbergasted if both Bellchambers and Simpson went before our first pick, and in fact I think it likely that neither will. I also doubt that either of them are worth our first rounder, although you could argue that Bellchambers might be worth the stretch. However, I'm not sure he's THAT much better than the half dozen or so project ruckmen that will be available later on - Mulligan, Sullivan, Putt, Renton, Smouha, Connelly, etc - so given this is our fourth ruckman we're talking about I'd be leaning towards one of those guys with a later pick. I also wouldn't be taking two ruckmen in the main draft - we have more pressing needs - although although I wouldn't be averse to taking a second one in the rookie draft.
And why Prismall or Selwood?? Prismall is a medium forward and Selwood is a bulldozing midfielder, and really we don't need any more of either. Is it just because we have their brothers already on the list (which by itself is a dumb reason)?
I think Pears would be a good pick at #17. He is a very solid 192cm, 90kg key defender who is quick (2.92s for 20m at draft camp), strong, very good overhead particularly with his spoiling, and provides plenty of run out of the backline - which is exactly what we like in our defenders. I could definitely see him being the key defender to replace Harley/Scarlett when their time is finished.
In terms of overall draft priorities, our top 25-30 are probably the best in the competition at the moment, so we should be thinking about succession planning. We have just got rid of eight talls and our five oldest players are also talls (Milburn, Harley, Ottens, Scarlett, Mooney), so we desperately need to get some tall timber. My thoughts:
- At least one key defender - Pears would be ideal
- A project ruckman such as the ones I mentioned above with pick 44 or 49
- A developing tall forward, such as a Tony Notte - a 194cm, 70kg CHF from WA who is very mobile, has a great set of hands and overall has a shedload of talent, but will need 3-4 years to bulk up and develop (precisely in time to take over from Mooney)
- A Dangerfield or McNamara - tallish (188-189cm), talented, quick, running wing/defender types, who could provide a lot of run up and down the wings and potentially take over from Milburn as the fourth tall defender when he retires
I reckon Kangars (local boy, athletic tall backman) would be a good pick at 34
If Ottens goes down next season there is not going to be much we can do, im not suggesting any 07 draftees might be ready next year. Ruckman take a long time to develop and not all of them turn out so great which is why, in order to avoid this situation in the future, i believe it is necessary to draft three in the one year.
As far as im concerned our ruck stocks aren't great, and in a few years when Otto moves on we will need a replacement. If we were to draft three rucks this year then the chances of at least one of them developing into a solid AFL player will be increased. Also, im not overly convinced that Blake will make it as a number 1 ruckman which is why im suggesting we top up now.
Pears sounds good BTW and whether we take him, another KPB or a ruck at 17 doesn't bother me.
Have heard that we are only considering Thompson for the rookie draft, which I think is the right call. He was very good in the VFL this year, but he's not a superstar yet. And as someone else has pointed out, he does come across as probably more of a third tall than a KP prospect (although he is tall enough and good overhead, so maybe with a heap of development he could fill a KP role).
I would be absolutely flabbergasted if both Bellchambers and Simpson went before our first pick, and in fact I think it likely that neither will. I also doubt that either of them are worth our first rounder, although you could argue that Bellchambers might be worth the stretch. However, I'm not sure he's THAT much better than the half dozen or so project ruckmen that will be available later on - Mulligan, Sullivan, Putt, Renton, Smouha, Connelly, etc - so given this is our fourth ruckman we're talking about I'd be leaning towards one of those guys with a later pick. I also wouldn't be taking two ruckmen in the main draft - we have more pressing needs - although although I wouldn't be averse to taking a second one in the rookie draft.
And why Prismall or Selwood?? Prismall is a medium forward and Selwood is a bulldozing midfielder, and really we don't need any more of either. Is it just because we have their brothers already on the list (which by itself is a dumb reason)?
I think Pears would be a good pick at #17. He is a very solid 192cm, 90kg key defender who is quick (2.92s for 20m at draft camp), strong, very good overhead particularly with his spoiling, and provides plenty of run out of the backline - which is exactly what we like in our defenders. I could definitely see him being the key defender to replace Harley/Scarlett when their time is finished.
In terms of overall draft priorities, our top 25-30 are probably the best in the competition at the moment, so we should be thinking about succession planning. We have just got rid of eight talls and our five oldest players are also talls (Milburn, Harley, Ottens, Scarlett, Mooney), so we desperately need to get some tall timber. My thoughts:
- At least one key defender - Pears would be ideal
- A project ruckman such as the ones I mentioned above with pick 44 or 49
- A developing tall forward, such as a Tony Notte - a 194cm, 70kg CHF from WA who is very mobile, has a great set of hands and overall has a shedload of talent, but will need 3-4 years to bulk up and develop (precisely in time to take over from Mooney)
- A Dangerfield or McNamara - tallish (188-189cm), talented, quick, running wing/defender types, who could provide a lot of run up and down the wings and potentially take over from Milburn as the fourth tall defender when he retires
West's development has been slowed due to the fact that he has played second fiddle to both Blake & King over the past two years. If we were to grab more that one ruckman through this years drafts then one would be forced to play as a KPP rather than a ruck in the magoos.
For this reason I would suggest that we'd take one in the senior list and possibly another on the rookie but no more than that. A player such as Dean Putt who has played forward a fair bit might be the sort that we rookie.
In Wells we trust.
Reg, does picking a tall, gun junior backman with our first pick worry you at all? Talented junior backman tend to find it hard to develop once on an AFL list. You look at all the gun backmen in the AFL now (with the exception of Glass), almost all of them didn't play junior football in the defensive half. The clubs developed them into what they are now.
Can Pears play anywhere else? From what I've seen (very limited) and read, he doesn't.
A little, but not a lot.
My theory is that traditionally the most talented kids played forward at junior level, because that is where they had the most opportunity to play attacking football, kick goals and show off their talent. And because they stood out more they were the most likely to be drafted.
There have been some exceptions of course - you mentioned Glass, and I can't believe you could forget Matty Scarlett! And it is interesting to note that along with Rutten (not sure where he played as a junior), those blokes are the clear standout tall defenders in the competition.
However, I think it is changing now. Recruiting is much more sophisticated than it was even five years ago, and the way junior football is played has followed suit. It tends to mirror AFL footy much more. U/18 players and coaches know that tackles, spoils, smothers and shepherds are just as likely to get noticed by recruiters as possessions, marks and goals, which I think means that highly talented kids are more willing to take on defensive roles without being worried about damaging their draft currency.
A good illustration of how this has changed the willingness of clubs to draft key defenders was last year's "super draft", where Lachlan Hansen, Nathan Brown, Andrejs Everitt and young Frawley all went in the first round.
I'd say if he makes it, it will be as a defender.
I didn't state Matty Scarlett because he swapped and changed between forward and defence as a junior. Not to mention that his junior form wasn't anywhere near convincing. Rutten was a forward as a junior.
I agree with most of what you say there. But if you look closer at Hansen, Brown, Everitt and Frawley, they all have a bit of flexibility and can play different roles. That's my concern with Pears. If he doesn't make it as a defender, is he capable of different roles? If no, well I don't think he is worth the risk of pick 17.
As you say, these talented junior kids play positions that are attacking and show off their benefits. Pears played in defence. Why wasn't he given the opportunity to show those benefits in other positions? Do they exist?