- Jun 16, 2012
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Yeah if you actually read it you notice how thin the 'scientific' evidence is for a number of the claims supporting some of the key conclusions. There's basically no scientific or economic assessment of lockdowns in their entirety - to take an excerpt:The Review Was based on substantial research,
data analysis, policy assessment and
extensive consultations led by the e61
Institute. It draws heavily on evidence
from across government, and the
private and community sectors. It is
also informed by the growing body
of national and international research
on the impact of COVID-19 and the
response to it
"Weighing up the costs and benefits of lockdowns will be a focus of researchers for years to come. At the beginning of the crisis, when little was known about the virus, a stop gap measure was needed to buy time to put effective procedures in place, to prepare our health systems, develop vaccines, acquire personal protective equipment (PPE) and RATs and to set up contact tracing arrangements. At the end of the crisis, when more information was available and Australia had more tools in its arsenal, the results of a cost-benefit analysis likely look very different"
So they didn't actually do any analysis but think that the results would probably look a certain way. This isn't science. There's a reason scientists spent 60 years looking for the Higgs-Boson and didn't just decide because someone thought that it might be there that'd be good enough.
It should be fairly straightforward to understand that one report with no scientists on the authorship panel is not 'the science'.
It's like if I wheel out a report from the Grattan Institute arguing for some policy proposal. Those reports are also based on substantial research, data analysis policy assessment and consultations. They also only represent one point of view and do not constitute scientific consensus on a subject.
Science can only somewhat inform policy recommendations anyway as most things end up as a value judgement based on different trade offs between different outcomes.
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