Where will we finish?

[llosis]

Where will we finish?
Although it takes a fair bit of calculating and more "ifs" and "buts" than a pollie's speech where do you think the Eagles will finish?

If Adelaide lose (70% likely)
If Collingwood win (50% likely)
If Sydney & Brisbane win (99% likely)

And of course we win (more than 50% likely - being optimistic ) then we would finish 4th (more than likely). This would mean a final at AAMI with Port Adelaide.

If all the above occurs except Essendon beat Collingwood we could go to 3rd depending on % (if we thump freo and/or Ess thumps Collingwood). In this case we would go to the Gabba to face Brisbane

 

[ozzult]

If we beat Freo (which we will), and Adelaide lose, we will go to 4th.

That means a qualifying final against Port Adelaide (hopefully they choke).

 

[Captain Random]

Have a look at http://allthestats.com/stats/ladderpredict.asp for a funky ladder calculator.

 

[llosis]

Originally posted by carneagles
Have a look at http://allthestats.com/stats/ladderpredict.asp for a funky ladder calculator.

That'll do the trick. I knew there was one of those out there, just didn't know where.

Still reckon 4th looks the goods.

 

[mouldy_bread]

If we finished fourth and lost to Port at AAMI, who would we play the next week at Subi?

 

[llosis]

I think that would depend but if the Syd and Bris games go as planned, I think we would play the winner of Syd v Freo or Adelaide v Ess??

I don't know I'm just guessing really

 

[ozzult]

We would play the winner of the elim final 1, 5th vs 8th.

 

[Streaker]

So if

Collingwood defeat Essendon
Sydney defeat Melbourne
Brisbane defeat Bulldogs
Freo beat West Coast
Adelaide defeat Port Adelaide

West Coast play Freo at home

then winner plays the loser of the Collingwood Brisbane Game

 

[bunsen burner]

To finish 2nd
WC flog Freo
Ess flog Coll
Wb d Bris
(need to catch up 2.5% to overtake Coll)

To finish 3rd
WC d Freo
Port d Adel
WB d Bris

To finish 4th
WC d Freo
Port d Adel
Bris d WB

To finish 5th
WC d Freo
Adel d Port
Bris d WB

To finish 6th
Freo d WC
Melb d Syd
Coll d Ess
* will play Sydney at Subi

To finish 7th #1
Freo d WC
Syd d Melb
Coll d Ess
* will play Freo at Subi

To finish 7th #2
Freo d WC
Melb d Syd
Ess d Coll
will play
* will play Freo at Subi

To finish 8th
Freo d WC
Syd d Melb
Ess d Coll
will play either Syd or Ess away depending on %

* unless at MCG

Disclaimer: these are the most likely scenarios. Big wins matched with big losses might change the outcomes.

 

[bunsen burner]

To finish 3rd
WC d Freo
Port d Adel
WB d Bris

To finish 4th
WC d Freo
Port d Adel
Bris d WB

To finish 5th
WC d Freo
Adel d Port
Bris d WB
* will play Freo at Subi

To finish 6th
Freo d WC
Melb d Syd
Coll d Ess
* will play Sydney at Subi

To finish 7th #1
Freo d WC
Syd d Melb
Coll d Ess
* will play Freo at Subi

To finish 7th #2
Freo d WC
Syd d Melb
Port d Adel
will play Adel at AAMI