Chris25
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- Oct 30, 2007
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- #1
I was going to start a generic draft thread for all my thoughts, but this thread is clearly overdue. And what better place to start discussions, then with the best U18 side in the country? 2013 proved to be a bumper year for the South Australians, what with winning the U18 Championships, 5 players being named All Australian and no less than 20 players getting drafted. So will 2014 bring the same amount of success? It very well could.
What will no doubt please many, is that the squad is particularly strong in terms of KPPs. It's the definite strength, at both ends of the ground. There aren't the same 'big name' midfield types - whereas last year, we had the likes of Dunstan, Aish and Dumont running through the midfield. It's still very much an open field, and it will be fun to watch just who steps up to take charge in the middle.
So, at this very very early stage, who are the top 5 SA prospects? Well, in my opinion...
1. Sam Durdin (197cm, 85kg defender - West Adelaide)
There aren't any questions about who is #1 at the moment. Durdin was the only South Australian to play four games in the Championships last year as an underager. And he has been one of the first picked in the AFL/AIS side for the last two years, and was awarded the scholarship that the likes of Aish, Selwood, Whitfield and Naitanui received before him. Right now, his biggest strength is being able to play anywhere on the field. He has spent time at both ends of the ground, as well as playing a significant amount of time as a mobile ruckman. Personally, I like him best as a defender in that Jake Carlisle type mould. He has the height, and he moves really well for such a big guy. Plus, he has neat disposal for someone pushing 200cm. Unfortunately, he is out injured for the next three months. But, he should be back right in time for the U18 Championships.
2. Mac Bower (190cm, 77kg utility - Norwood)
Not sure how much agreement I'll have quite yet with having Bower this high, but I was super impressed with him as a 17 year old last year. He isn't quite at the level of Matt Scharenberg, but I think that's the role he will play this year. And it wouldn't surprise me to see people debating his best position all season long. It was more as a defender that I came to like Bower, playing as that third/fourth tall he zoned off well and has a nice boot on him. That's where he spent the first half of the season, but then made the move forward. He kicked 15 goals in 5 U18 games, and finished with a bag of 7 in a Reserves game - that's Reserves, not U18s. His leading patterns suggest being quite a natural up forward, as he really attacked the ball coming forward. So, hopefully he gets a chance to show off both sides of his game this season.
3. Billy Stretch (179cm, 68kg forward - Glenelg)
Yet another F/S pick for Melbourne, right now I would have him going in the second round. And that's a big jump from where I would have rated him this time last year. But he was one of the real surprises for me last season, so if he can continue with that sort of development in 2014 then he could easily keep climbing the draft order. He's similar to Jay Kennedy Harris, although I do slightly prefer Stretch due to his extra height - but having said that, I wasn't as high on JKH as others. Stretch showed this year that his best football is played on a forward flank, pushing up to the wings and through the midfield. He has a very good endurance base, which allows him to play this role well. All he really needs to show this year is that his midfield game is developing, he wont ever be an inside ball winner but he could be dangerous on the outside.
4. Caleb Daniel (166cm, 66kg midfielder - South Adelaide)
Alright, so Caleb Daniel is only 166cm. There is a very good chance that he will be overlooked simply because of that. But in terms of projected impact this year alone, he would be #1 on this list by a long way. He played 10 league matches in the SANFL last year, proving himself to be one of his team's better clearance players. And in the U18 testing earlier this year, he won the beep test and finished top 5 in both time trial and 20m sprint. Oh, and his skills are as good as any inside midfielder in the draft. If you were only told this and not his height, you'd be hard pushed to have him outside the top 5 of the whole draft. But unfortunately, size is arguably the most important thing when it comes to getting drafted and for Daniel he doesn't really have the versatility to his game to make clubs overlook the whole 'being under 170cm' thing.
5. Jesse Watchman (196cm 90kg forward - West Adelaide)
Once again, South Australia has a big bodied full forward for people to get excited over. In 2012, we were a bit premature in annointing Mason Middleton as he wasn't really ready quite yet. And in 2013, Mitch Harvey was the hotly debated key forward. Could we have another in Watchman? More than likely. The positive is that he has the resume that better supports such hype than the others. Jesse has been involved in the AFL/AIS system, and as a 17 year old he kicked 36 goals in 15 U18 games this season. Like Durdin, he is also capable of running through the ruck. But without a doubt, he is best played up forward. I think he'll be a handful for opposition defenders this year, because he has impressive body strength for a teenager and more importantly seems to have a good technique in the one on one contests. There are a few big forwards in this draft with even bigger profiles so far, so Watchman could be a nice relative sleeper to watch as the year goes on.
So that's my top 5 for the moment, although it will likely change significantly over the next 9 months. Rounding out the top 10 would be the likes of Peter Bampton, Jake Johansen, Peter Spurling and Jack Donkersley. But what about a possible surprise packet? There seems to be one every year, and in 2014 my pick is...
Oleg Markov (187cm, 68kg midfielder - North Adelaide)
If I had to pick one 'bolter' it would be Oleg Markov from North Adelaide. I won't lie, I haven't actually seen him play yet. He didn't play in the SANFL at any level last year, and only played a handful of U16 games back in 2012. I know a lot of people are excited about him at North Adelaide though, and word is that he is a strong chance to feature at the top level this season. Markov is a star athlete, having set school records in both the high jump and long jump. And, he finished with the fastest 20m sprint time at the SANFL Academy testing earlier this year. I imagine this year, he will largely play off a wing but he also has the potential to play at either end of the ground. The South Australian side is far from set when it comes to the midfield, and he seems like the type of player that Brenton Phillips will like and give a real shot. He's certainly one player I'll be keeping a close eye on.
And because everyone loves 'mature aged' players right now, I thought I'd look at a couple that I will be keeping an eye on. As always, a number of players have made the move to the SANFL to further their chances of getting drafted - Mitch Thorp. Josh Scott for example. And just on this, Glenelg have a ridiculously strong side this year with their new signings. But, the two I like are...
Luke Buckby (192cm, 85kg utility - Central Districts)
So some of you may remember me going on about Buckby last year, and for good reason I think. This time last year, he was BOG in the SANFL U18 Academy trial match. But, he then suffered stress fractures in his foot and missed the entire season. It was a cruel blow, as I think he would have featured quite heavily for SA in the Championships. But it's a new year, and we saw last season that Brenton Phillips is more than happy to give a 19 year old a shot - Sean Lemmens played as an overager in the Championships, and ended up going in the second round of the draft. Hopefully Buckby can get back to full fitness and follow suit. He is another who is similar to Scharenberg, in that he can play either as a medium defender or through the midfield. And it was in that trial match, that he dominated as a big bodied midfielders.
Michael McMahon (185cm, 80kg forward - North Adelaide)
Turning 20 this year, I think this could be the year for McMahon to really shine. I mentioned him a couple of years as a possible outside draft chance, but he was obviously overlooked and hasn't really come on quite as I would have liked as of yet - admittedly, in a large part due to injury. But, a number of spots in the league side have opened up this year - the biggest of them being from Nathan Gordon going to Richmond. That leaves an opening for a medium forward, and one who can push up the flanks. And that's where I think McMahon excels. He has proven himself to be a big time goal kicker and has enough tricks to suggest he isn't limited to playing deep forward. In his draft year, I compared him to Jeremy Howe and I think he is a pretty good like for like replacement for Gordon who got drafted after a solid year.
So there you have it, a quick look at some of the top South Australian prospects this year. I'll be keeping it updated all season long. And just remember, I don't take kindly to criticism of my South Australians.
What will no doubt please many, is that the squad is particularly strong in terms of KPPs. It's the definite strength, at both ends of the ground. There aren't the same 'big name' midfield types - whereas last year, we had the likes of Dunstan, Aish and Dumont running through the midfield. It's still very much an open field, and it will be fun to watch just who steps up to take charge in the middle.
So, at this very very early stage, who are the top 5 SA prospects? Well, in my opinion...
1. Sam Durdin (197cm, 85kg defender - West Adelaide)
There aren't any questions about who is #1 at the moment. Durdin was the only South Australian to play four games in the Championships last year as an underager. And he has been one of the first picked in the AFL/AIS side for the last two years, and was awarded the scholarship that the likes of Aish, Selwood, Whitfield and Naitanui received before him. Right now, his biggest strength is being able to play anywhere on the field. He has spent time at both ends of the ground, as well as playing a significant amount of time as a mobile ruckman. Personally, I like him best as a defender in that Jake Carlisle type mould. He has the height, and he moves really well for such a big guy. Plus, he has neat disposal for someone pushing 200cm. Unfortunately, he is out injured for the next three months. But, he should be back right in time for the U18 Championships.
2. Mac Bower (190cm, 77kg utility - Norwood)
Not sure how much agreement I'll have quite yet with having Bower this high, but I was super impressed with him as a 17 year old last year. He isn't quite at the level of Matt Scharenberg, but I think that's the role he will play this year. And it wouldn't surprise me to see people debating his best position all season long. It was more as a defender that I came to like Bower, playing as that third/fourth tall he zoned off well and has a nice boot on him. That's where he spent the first half of the season, but then made the move forward. He kicked 15 goals in 5 U18 games, and finished with a bag of 7 in a Reserves game - that's Reserves, not U18s. His leading patterns suggest being quite a natural up forward, as he really attacked the ball coming forward. So, hopefully he gets a chance to show off both sides of his game this season.
3. Billy Stretch (179cm, 68kg forward - Glenelg)
Yet another F/S pick for Melbourne, right now I would have him going in the second round. And that's a big jump from where I would have rated him this time last year. But he was one of the real surprises for me last season, so if he can continue with that sort of development in 2014 then he could easily keep climbing the draft order. He's similar to Jay Kennedy Harris, although I do slightly prefer Stretch due to his extra height - but having said that, I wasn't as high on JKH as others. Stretch showed this year that his best football is played on a forward flank, pushing up to the wings and through the midfield. He has a very good endurance base, which allows him to play this role well. All he really needs to show this year is that his midfield game is developing, he wont ever be an inside ball winner but he could be dangerous on the outside.
4. Caleb Daniel (166cm, 66kg midfielder - South Adelaide)
Alright, so Caleb Daniel is only 166cm. There is a very good chance that he will be overlooked simply because of that. But in terms of projected impact this year alone, he would be #1 on this list by a long way. He played 10 league matches in the SANFL last year, proving himself to be one of his team's better clearance players. And in the U18 testing earlier this year, he won the beep test and finished top 5 in both time trial and 20m sprint. Oh, and his skills are as good as any inside midfielder in the draft. If you were only told this and not his height, you'd be hard pushed to have him outside the top 5 of the whole draft. But unfortunately, size is arguably the most important thing when it comes to getting drafted and for Daniel he doesn't really have the versatility to his game to make clubs overlook the whole 'being under 170cm' thing.
5. Jesse Watchman (196cm 90kg forward - West Adelaide)
Once again, South Australia has a big bodied full forward for people to get excited over. In 2012, we were a bit premature in annointing Mason Middleton as he wasn't really ready quite yet. And in 2013, Mitch Harvey was the hotly debated key forward. Could we have another in Watchman? More than likely. The positive is that he has the resume that better supports such hype than the others. Jesse has been involved in the AFL/AIS system, and as a 17 year old he kicked 36 goals in 15 U18 games this season. Like Durdin, he is also capable of running through the ruck. But without a doubt, he is best played up forward. I think he'll be a handful for opposition defenders this year, because he has impressive body strength for a teenager and more importantly seems to have a good technique in the one on one contests. There are a few big forwards in this draft with even bigger profiles so far, so Watchman could be a nice relative sleeper to watch as the year goes on.
So that's my top 5 for the moment, although it will likely change significantly over the next 9 months. Rounding out the top 10 would be the likes of Peter Bampton, Jake Johansen, Peter Spurling and Jack Donkersley. But what about a possible surprise packet? There seems to be one every year, and in 2014 my pick is...
Oleg Markov (187cm, 68kg midfielder - North Adelaide)
If I had to pick one 'bolter' it would be Oleg Markov from North Adelaide. I won't lie, I haven't actually seen him play yet. He didn't play in the SANFL at any level last year, and only played a handful of U16 games back in 2012. I know a lot of people are excited about him at North Adelaide though, and word is that he is a strong chance to feature at the top level this season. Markov is a star athlete, having set school records in both the high jump and long jump. And, he finished with the fastest 20m sprint time at the SANFL Academy testing earlier this year. I imagine this year, he will largely play off a wing but he also has the potential to play at either end of the ground. The South Australian side is far from set when it comes to the midfield, and he seems like the type of player that Brenton Phillips will like and give a real shot. He's certainly one player I'll be keeping a close eye on.
And because everyone loves 'mature aged' players right now, I thought I'd look at a couple that I will be keeping an eye on. As always, a number of players have made the move to the SANFL to further their chances of getting drafted - Mitch Thorp. Josh Scott for example. And just on this, Glenelg have a ridiculously strong side this year with their new signings. But, the two I like are...
Luke Buckby (192cm, 85kg utility - Central Districts)
So some of you may remember me going on about Buckby last year, and for good reason I think. This time last year, he was BOG in the SANFL U18 Academy trial match. But, he then suffered stress fractures in his foot and missed the entire season. It was a cruel blow, as I think he would have featured quite heavily for SA in the Championships. But it's a new year, and we saw last season that Brenton Phillips is more than happy to give a 19 year old a shot - Sean Lemmens played as an overager in the Championships, and ended up going in the second round of the draft. Hopefully Buckby can get back to full fitness and follow suit. He is another who is similar to Scharenberg, in that he can play either as a medium defender or through the midfield. And it was in that trial match, that he dominated as a big bodied midfielders.
Michael McMahon (185cm, 80kg forward - North Adelaide)
Turning 20 this year, I think this could be the year for McMahon to really shine. I mentioned him a couple of years as a possible outside draft chance, but he was obviously overlooked and hasn't really come on quite as I would have liked as of yet - admittedly, in a large part due to injury. But, a number of spots in the league side have opened up this year - the biggest of them being from Nathan Gordon going to Richmond. That leaves an opening for a medium forward, and one who can push up the flanks. And that's where I think McMahon excels. He has proven himself to be a big time goal kicker and has enough tricks to suggest he isn't limited to playing deep forward. In his draft year, I compared him to Jeremy Howe and I think he is a pretty good like for like replacement for Gordon who got drafted after a solid year.
So there you have it, a quick look at some of the top South Australian prospects this year. I'll be keeping it updated all season long. And just remember, I don't take kindly to criticism of my South Australians.