AFL Finals Week 1

[TheKanga]

Hawthorn - 1.55
Geelong - 2.45

Line - 11.5

Sydney - 1.52
Fremantle - 2.45

Line - 11.5

North Melbourne - 1.70
Essendon - 2.15

Line - 5.5

Port Adelaide - 1.45
Richmond - 2.65

Line - 14.5

 

[Redacted Boner]

Have a feeling all the faves win, probably 1-39.

 

[TheKanga]

Have a feeling all the faves win, probably 1-39.

Only sides I feel comfortable backing atm are Hawks and Port.

 

[free at last]

Only sides I feel comfortable backing atm are Hawks and Port.

How can you be comfortable backing hawthorn when Geelong have such a good record of beating the hawks?

 

[TheKanga]

How can you be comfortable backing hawthorn when Geelong have such a good record of beating the hawks?

Geelong's 2nd halves are a worry and Hawks have overall been a better side this year.
At the moment I'm not betting on anything though, will wait for teams.

 

[Small Moves]

Sydney should win. Buddy will have a day out if McPharlin doesn't play.

 

[FootyStar#1]

I'd take hawks at the line and nothing else.

 

[alex mcanulty]

I'm liking the tigers for a upset

 

[The_Big_Ship]

Geelong
Freo 1-39
North 40+
Port 1-39

$30 @ 94.25

 

[TheKanga]

I'm liking the tigers for a upset

This winning streak has to take a toll
Think port will win

 

[TheKanga]

Geelong
Freo 1-39
North 40+
Port 1-39

$30 @ 94.25

Hope you are right about North 40+

Carlisle ruled out for them.

 

[Sketi]

Have a feeling all the faves win, probably 1-39.

Does that ever happen? Pretty sure only 1/4 faves got up last year.

 

[SterlingArcher]

Michael Johnson out for Freo http://www.afl.com.au/news/2014-09-01/johnson-out-of-finals

Luke McPharlin out for Freo http://www.perthnow.com.au/sport/af...042446492?nk=d9f650c5110bd8f998c493589e683773
-they aren't going to risk a 32 KPD in a final with a soft tissue injury surely...

Jake Carlisle ruled out http://www.theage.com.au/afl/essend...ut-injured-jake-carlisle-20140901-10b3cy.html

Lachie Hansen unlikely, Nathan Grima and Leigh Adams possibles http://www.couriermail.com.au/sport...043720980?nk=d9f650c5110bd8f998c493589e683773

Steve Johnson probable http://www.theage.com.au/afl/afl-ne...to-play-against-hawthorn-20140901-10ay0t.html

Cyril Rioli out http://www.afl.com.au/news/2014-08-28/rioli-up-against-it

Matt Suckling, Brad Hill and Ben Stratton maybes, Brian Lake subject to fitness and should play (last part - my opinion) http://www.theage.com.au/afl/afl-ne...itness-for-geelong-final-20140901-10auli.html

Sydney (Pyke, Franklin, Reid, Kennedy, McGlynn, Bird) - no news, very unlikely they won't all be right to go considering two were only out for rnd 23 and based on this news from last week http://www.sydneyswans.com.au/news/2014-08-26/three-key-swans-likely

Port - no known injury troubles

 

[SterlingArcher]

.5U Brandon Ellis most disposals for the finals @ $126 .....

 

[SterlingArcher]

Serious - 2U Hawthorn win/Sydney -11.5 @ $2.97

 

[Willzzz]

Early AFL Play:

3.5U – HT/FT: Sydney/Sydney @ $2.00
0.5U – Sydney Swans -11.5 @ $1.91

 

[alex mcanulty]

This winning streak has to take a toll
Think port will win

Will have to see what happenes game day

 

[KardiniaPark]

.5U Brandon Ellis most disposals for the finals @ $126 .....

Serious unders.

 

[banana_bus]

Anybody think that Freo were going through a tough training load during their poor performances against StKilda and Carlton?

I cant see them beating Sydney without Johnson and McPharlin though.

 

[Nothing]

Anybody think that Freo were going through a tough training load during their poor performances against StKilda and Carlton?

I cant see them beating Sydney without Johnson and McPharlin though.

Not from what I understand and not generally what the training watchers reported. For the Saints game, it appeared that the players were ill. This might have been as a result of a heavy workload but I think it was probably more viral/gastro. Carlton were very good and Freo were lucky to escape wth the 4 points. I'd be hesitant to suggest that was workload.

Freo can win but I'd be leaning to the Sydney line or 1-39 at this stage.

 

[banana_bus]

Not from what I understand and not generally what the training watchers reported. For the Saints game, it appeared that the players were ill. This might have been as a result of a heavy workload but I think it was probably more viral/gastro. Carlton were very good and Freo were lucky to escape wth the 4 points. I'd be hesitant to suggest that was workload.

Freo can win but I'd be leaning to the Sydney line or 1-39 at this stage.

Good analysis mate, if true that makes sense, as they were very poor.

They have been rock solid in the last couple of weeks.

 

[TheKanga]

I'm liking Sydney 1-39 & at the line for insurance if they win 40+

 

[SterlingArcher]

Anybody think that Freo were going through a tough training load during their poor performances against StKilda and Carlton?

I cant see them beating Sydney without Johnson and McPharlin though.

Well, just for info sake, Carlton went 23 point win over North, 5 point loss to Freo, 39 point win over GC and 6 point loss to Geelong. Not a bad month for us, bookended with Buddy and Port flogging us. I'd think this run of form (if we'd played that sort of footy all year, would be the mid-range side we were last year) doesn't indicate much about Freo.

I agree 100% about no Johnson/McPharlin though. All of a sudden, Dawson-Silvagni-Spurr-Duffield-Ibbotson-??? is up against a forward line of Buddy-Tippett-Goodes-McGlynn + whoever else the Swans decide to go down there. Freos midfield will have to kill it to give the Swans a chance, or very very negative footy (I don't mean just pressure footy, I mean true flooding etc and back Hill-Ballantyne-Walters-Pearce on the rebound).

 

[SterlingArcher]

More injury news updates - this time for Suckling http://www.afl.com.au/news/2014-09-02/knee-set-to-keep-suckling-out-of-final

 

[Parko31]

Hawks 1 - 19
Swans 1 - 24
2U @$12