- Banned
- #1
It doesn't seem to be talked about often but one of Rudd's biggest blunders was not taking the Liberals to a DD over the CPRS. He had the trigger, would have wiped the floor with the Libs, gotten the legislation through, and avoided the fatal embarrassment of backing down on the 'greatest moral challenge of our time'. Instead he blinked, his opinion polling plunged, Julia got her knife out of the top draw and began sharpening it furiously, and the rest is history.
Abbott doesn't enjoy the spectacular opinion polls that Rudd did after 2007 (and up until early 2010, can you believe it). Personally I think it would be colossal stupidity for the Libs to go to a DD right now. It is always a risky move for a government because of the halved Senate quota, but in 2014 Abbott might struggle to even retain the House.
At the same time, if he backs down now he will look weak and his budget will be shot to s**t. A strategy of blaming Labor for not cutting welfare, services and money to states (i.e. schools and hospitals) for the next two years doesn't strike me as a winner either. For the first time in a long time, the ALP have landed a strategic blow - one which the Libs left open with their jaw in the air.
I'd personally love to see a DD, not only for the lulz but also for the increased representation of minor parties in the Senate but I have a bad feeling Clive is going to do a deal with Abbott.
Thoughts?
Abbott doesn't enjoy the spectacular opinion polls that Rudd did after 2007 (and up until early 2010, can you believe it). Personally I think it would be colossal stupidity for the Libs to go to a DD right now. It is always a risky move for a government because of the halved Senate quota, but in 2014 Abbott might struggle to even retain the House.
At the same time, if he backs down now he will look weak and his budget will be shot to s**t. A strategy of blaming Labor for not cutting welfare, services and money to states (i.e. schools and hospitals) for the next two years doesn't strike me as a winner either. For the first time in a long time, the ALP have landed a strategic blow - one which the Libs left open with their jaw in the air.
I'd personally love to see a DD, not only for the lulz but also for the increased representation of minor parties in the Senate but I have a bad feeling Clive is going to do a deal with Abbott.
Thoughts?