MARCH Daily Punt....

[iluvparis]

Terravista for me - cracking second up record - course specialist - and assume this was the plan all along given they sacrificed the Newmarket with training idiocy.

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Terravista for me - cracking second up record - course specialist - and assume this was the plan all along given they sacrificed the Newmarket with training idiocy.

Wha? Not sticking with Sweet Idea? Magic man, wet track...

I still have no idea what to make of the Newmarket other than the big three were all pretty shitful in their own ways, I was Terra that day and he ran reasonably. Probably open to the most improvement so I can see why you two are half keen.

I was there for SI win last start it was very impressive and she still had improvement to come, yes its a big jump out of handicaps and mares grade but after that win im convinced that she is going as well as the 'big 3' this time in.

Would be willing to forgive LR, destroyed them on a wet surface last year and that last start was his worse in years.

Probs the two I see some sort of value around.

 

[iluvparis]

Wha? Not sticking with Sweet Idea? Magic man, wet track...
.

First Up specialist for mine.

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

First Up specialist for mine.

I would have said the same, but that run was different to what she usually does: Jump, lead, fight hard. Ive never seen her take a sit off a hot speed (like she will get this week also) canter up to them and just blow them away effortlessly.

I also heard that she wasn't expected to go that well first up, she has plenty of improvement left. Maybe a different horse this campaign? I was surprised she ran the distance in the Myer last spring as well, seems to be able to settle, seems a different horse over the past 6 months to what we have seen in the previously.

 

[iluvparis]

Possibly a different horse but that's all just guess work and that's not really how I punt.

No dramas to me if she wins given the collect first up.

 

[Main Man]

I thought Sweet Idea was very good first up but she did get the perfect race shape, Deep Field went mental in front and really set it up for, it looked like she was flying late but in reality was running past some tired horses.

Don't get me wrong, still an elite performance (I only had it 2-3 lengths off the big 3s career peaks) but can she do it again?

I tend to agree that she is better first up, unlikely to get the same race shape here, it will be genuinely run but not like the Galaxy and she doesn't have the same turn of foot that the big 3 have at their best.

I think she is short enough to be honest but not surprised to see her win.

Another race I'm finding it hard to get excited about from a punting point of view.

I still believe Chautauqua is still (potentially anyway) the best of them all but a wet track and away from Flemington? Again he is short enough, Tommy Berry goes on & hopefully he does not fall asleep at the wheel like Dunn did last time.

Lankan Rupee, outstanding first up but issues last time, is he there to run his best?

Terravista, people say he was disappointing first up, whilst it was a difficult task given to him being first up I'm more inclined to think the Darley sprint was a career spike and his Newarket run closer to his true level, he does handle wet and no surprises if he wins but but I'm not sure he is the Worlds best sprinter.

One of them will win, which one do you back if any?

 

[PureFooty]

I'll be having a fairly large bet on Chautauqua, as well as Preferment, and more on the double. Preferment is 2.40 chance in my eyes. Chautauqua is the best horse in the race a better ride will show us that.

 

[yaco55]

Disagree - still think you are completely cherry picking but each to their own.

Harntell runs below par and TTW wins easily. It's not like he bombed.

What about The Great Gatsby in Dubai on the weekend - $4.00 on race morning, starts $2.50 - smashed by the early morning fave.

Found that the speed is lacking in many of the races on dubai World Cup night - The 1600m+ races go slower than a jumpers flat.

 

[yaco55]

I thought Sweet Idea was very good first up but she did get the perfect race shape, Deep Field went mental in front and really set it up for, it looked like she was flying late but in reality was running past some tired horses.

Don't get me wrong, still an elite performance (I only had it 2-3 lengths off the big 3s career peaks) but can she do it again?

I tend to agree that she is better first up, unlikely to get the same race shape here, it will be genuinely run but not like the Galaxy and she doesn't have the same turn of foot that the big 3 have at their best.

I think she is short enough to be honest but not surprised to see her win.

Another race I'm finding it hard to get excited about from a punting point of view.

I still believe Chautauqua is still (potentially anyway) the best of them all but a wet track and away from Flemington? Again he is short enough, Tommy Berry goes on & hopefully he does not fall asleep at the wheel like Dunn did last time.

Lankan Rupee, outstanding first up but issues last time, is he there to run his best?

Terravista, people say he was disappointing first up, whilst it was a difficult task given to him being first up I'm more inclined to think the Darley sprint was a career spike and his Newarket run closer to his true level, he does handle wet and no surprises if he wins but but I'm not sure he is the Worlds best sprinter.

One of them will win, which one do you back if any?

I am waiting for Chautauqua in the All Aged Stakes in two weeks.