Mega Thread Melbourne Cup Day 2015 * All betting discussion *

[KardiniaPark]

Will benefit from the step up in distance from 2000m, proven stayer so I think he is a chance.

Now GAGF.

Proven stayer is bending the truth LOL

 

[Morganashlee]

Proven stayer is bending the truth LOL

100% win rate in races over 2000, proven stayer

 

[sethlad]

Simple Verse who beat Bondi Beach in St Leger just won a 2400m G1 at Ascot on Champions Day

seth

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Dont think i could back Protectionist at Warnambool on current form TBH, travelled into it but was Jamiroqauing (aka:traveling without moving) in the straight..

i would be dead set stunned if he ran in the top 10 let alone won, but...Ive been wrong before and ill sure as s**t be wrong again.

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Simple Verse who beat Bondi Beach in St Leger just won a 2400m G1 at Ascot on Champions Day

seth

Its all coming up Lloyd!

(and me)

 

[KardiniaPark]

100% win rate in races over 2000, proven stayer

So you are choosing to ignore the 7th at Stawell over 2000? Are you counting from 2001m onwards? Haha

 

[Morganashlee]

So you are choosing to ignore the 7th at Stawell over 2000? Are you counting from 2001m onwards? Haha

Pretty much

 

[TBellicious]

Fame Game's run yesterday was the sort of run that makes you "jeez I want to be on that horse for its next race"

 

[Bobby Beecroft]

Simple Verse who beat Bondi Beach in St Leger just won a 2400m G1 at Ascot on Champions Day

seth

Interesting - I like most others think it will require a 'new' international on the scene to beat Fame Game at Flemington.

 

[rideclutch]

100% win rate in races over 2000, proven stayer

Do you part own Uncle Buck or something?

 

[iluvparis]

Different eyes see different things I guess. But yeah if you purely looked at that run asking can he win? Probably not. I was just pleased he put himself in the race, it didn't bother me too much what happened after that.

FFS mate. How much evidence do you NEED? Last years cup was one of the all time great fluke performances. People who backed him that day need to realise they were absolutely kissed on the dick and thank their lucky stars for their cash.


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[iluvparis]

Fame Game's run yesterday was the sort of run that makes you "jeez I want to be on that horse for its next race"

Knew this would be highlighted. Run was ok but subsequent price move looks too much for me. Did absolutely nothing in the run and 'just' managed to run past some tired horses.

How far is he going to get back in running?


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[iluvparis]

Interesting - I like most others think it will require a 'new' international on the scene to beat Fame Game at Flemington.

Surely Fame Game has to get past Trip to Paris first let alone any new blood?


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[Morganashlee]

Do you part own Uncle Buck or something?

If it wins again, I'm claiming it

 

[iluvparis]

Simple Verse who beat Bondi Beach in St Leger just won a 2400m G1 at Ascot on Champions Day

seth

Mares grade though (the girls ran nowhere in the arc)

I still have my doubts he's coming through second rate form lines. Not sure this tells us too much new. .


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[Viva la Mattner]

Surely Fame Game has to get past Trip to Paris first let alone any new blood?


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Mentioned it earlier looking at past form in UK do you believe Max Dynamite is overs considering its form around Trip to Paris? Smashed it in one of it's most recent runs

 

[iluvparis]

Mentioned it earlier looking at past form in UK do you believe Max Dynamite is overs considering its form around Trip to Paris? Smashed it in one of it's most recent runs

Yes on exposed UK form if they all lined up in a race tomorrow it would be hard to see how Max Dynamite wouldn't be shorter in the betting.

As Seth pointed out - there is no way Quest For More would be 5 times the price either


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[Viva la Mattner]

Yes on exposed UK form if they all lined up in a race tomorrow it would be hard to see how Max Dynamite wouldn't be shorter in the betting.

As Seth pointed out - there is no way Quest For More would be 5 times the price either


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26 on most recent OOE.
A few above no doubt drop out.
$81 worth a five dollar win bet for sure

 

[Gavin Excell]

The penalty is key but the CC winner is a live chance in the Melb Cup. Dual Derby winner suggests it has the stoutness.

 

[sethlad]

Reported that Protectionist is "highly unlikely to go on" this morning.

I know Sacred Verse beat mares but she was strong,hasnt put me off Bondi as Im already invested

seth

 

[FallingLiefs]

Surely Fame Game has to get past Trip to Paris first let alone any new blood?


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Very happy to take FG head to head with TTP.

 

[iluvparis]

Reported that Protectionist is "highly unlikely to go on" this morning.

I know Sacred Verse beat mares but she was strong,hasnt put me off Bondi as Im already invested

seth

Fair. But the race she won is close to the weakest G1 on the British calendar. Horse she beat won at 33/1 at listed level two starts ago (although has obviously improved)


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[iluvparis]

Very happy to take FG head to head with TTP.

What price would you offer on a h2h ?


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[iluvparis]

After yesterday my top 5 would now probably be

Trip To Paris
MK
Fame Game
Max Dynamite
Amralah

But would have little confidence to be honest. Should get to see Quest on Wednesday


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[FallingLiefs]

What price would you offer on a h2h ?


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Right now probably $2.50-$2.80

Pre-race where If I'm more confident maybe $3.50+