Strategy Can the Saints make the finals this year?

[Defacto]

i had us 9th, 1 win behind north, tha's with us beating north and north dropping a lot of games

 

[Kildonan]

Another way of wording the question is:
Can we win 7 from the next 9 ?
Well it is possible but highly unlikely.

One concession I will make is that if we do make the finals we do so in good form - so who knows what may happen then.

 

[Wooffa]

Another way of wording the question is:
Can we win 7 from the next 9 ?
Well it is possible but highly unlikely.

One concession I will make is that if we do make the finals we do so in good form - so who knows what may happen then.

Looking at the run home St. Kilda have a big chance of making the finals in my book. Norf have a nightmare run home and look shot IMO. The Bulldogs and West Coast are not safe. If St. Kilda win the 7 out 9 games left, keep playing with the spirit and skill they showed the other night they will make it. games left : Gold Coast (W) Essendon (W) Melbourne (W) Western Bulldogs ( 50/50) Norf (50/50 ) Carlton (W) Sydney (L) Richmond ( W ) BL (W)

 

[RoundCubic]

It's funny, if we'd beaten north and hawthorn like we should've, we probably would make finals provided we don't drop one we shouldn't, how often would a team make the finals having lost by 103 and 88 points in the space of a month in the season? We'd probably end up at the adelaide oval if we did make it and get belted again. Think we'll end up on 12 wins which probably wouldn't get us there, but if we can grab the north game, who knows? either way, as long as we've improved come the end of the season, I'll be happy and so should everyone.

Dogs last year lost to the Hawks by 70 and Eagles by 77 not as bad but still

 

[bird_man]

I have us finishing 10th. Which is superb considering where we have come from. Not so great for our draft pick though.

 

[ozish]

I don't really rate us a chance to make the 8. When we were looking at our "Premiership Track" for 2018 before Round 1 last year, making the 8 was a dream result this year. Even to make the 8 next year, and then the top 4 with a shot at the flag in 2018 is a meteoric rise. But while it's mathematically possible it's nice to at least think about it.

I do have one strong opinion though - if we do happen to make the 8 this year, people *will* rate us for the finals, since we'll have a record of something like 11-3 for the last 14 rounds.

Another way of wording the question is:
Can we win 7 from the next 9 ?
Well it is possible but highly unlikely.

One concession I will make is that if we do make the finals we do so in good form - so who knows what may happen then.

GMTA Not only will the Saints be in good form, the supporters will be in good cheer!

 

[crasha301]

Imagine if we had of won against north and hawks, finals would be a must.

 

[George]

 

[saintbatty]

Warnie hugely optimistic or can't count (We need to win 7/9)

 

[George]

Warnie hugely optimistic or can't count (We need to win 7/9)

Suns, Bombers, Demons, Blues, Tigers, Lions

That's six...

 

[saintbatty]

Six aint seven. And I'm an optimistic sort but half of those are 50/50 games.

 

[George]

Six aint seven. And I'm an optimistic sort but half of those are 50/50 games.

What if we play like we did on Saturday night?

 

[freebloke]

Still sticking by my prediction... 13 wins, but due to the even comp, saints miss the 8th.

 

[George]

Still sticking by my prediction... 13 wins, but due to the even comp, saints miss the 8th.



View attachment 261326

Would be the first time in 24 years that a team has won more than 12 games and missed the eight (Carlton - 14 wins in 1992, when there was only a top six)

 

[freebloke]

Would be the first time in 24 years that a team has won more than 12 games and missed the eight (Carlton - 14 wins in 1992, when there was only a top six)

It's not a normal year. Dons have a * next to their results this year, so there is some abnormality.

Plus, if you look at my ladder, I am forecasting no more wins for the Lions this year, and Dons to get their 2nd win against Lions.

 

[Sweaty]

I'd be happy with 10+ wins, but i would love to see us take apart a couple teams to pad our percentage. Finals? I just want to see us improve and win games at this point.

 

[Pakenhamsaint]

With my ladder predictor:

I've got us dropping, WB, NM, SYD & RICH.
We have to beat 3 out of those 4 to be 8th. If we don't win against North it will be up to percentage.

 

[SaintsSeptember]

I just can't see us getting past the gap between 8th and 9th.

 

[saintbill]

Have picked essentially no upsets and come out with the below:

Assumptions:
We lose to Sydney, Dogs & North

We beat the rest.

Realistically, we will probably lose at least 1 of Richmond, Melbourne, Gold Coast. However, I am optimistic it is not beyond us to snag 1 of the first group of games.

If we want to play finals, essentially we have to win the 6 games we start slight favourite and knock off North. Beating Sydney or Dogs won't really matter, they are both playing finals regardless. Displacing North is the only way we could sneak in. They won't win many games in the back end, cops a lot of flak but Hutchy is on the money with his view on North. Very lucky to beat us and Melbourne, could just as easily be 7-6 with no chance of finals given their run home.

 

[dougiemac]

We will towel North. They were my pick to fall furthest this season.

 

[Joffaboy]

Reckon 10-12 wins would be realistic.
Disappointed in anything less than 10.

Finals? Think we are drinking our own bathwater.

 

[westernsainter]

We're still too inconsistent to win all of our 'winnable' games + beating North.

I'm bloody happy with this season, and if we finish above 11th then next season we'll be a serious force - and we WILL play finals footy.

 

[Persevering Saint]

Just for giggles, where would we be on the ladder predictor if we won ALL our remaining games? I say this fully expecting it won't happen, but I'm just curious.

 

[TheBalls]

Just for giggles, where would we be on the ladder predictor if we won ALL our remaining games? I say this fully expecting it won't happen, but I'm just curious.

I have us 6th ahead of West Coast (7th) and Dogs (8th) in this scenario.

 

[RoundCubic]

Just for giggles, where would we be on the ladder predictor if we won ALL our remaining games? I say this fully expecting it won't happen, but I'm just curious.

probably still 8th