If we win a premiership, then it doesn't matter how long he remains at his peak. It will have been worth the price we paid.
What if we win a flag but he misses large portions of the season with injury?
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If we win a premiership, then it doesn't matter how long he remains at his peak. It will have been worth the price we paid.
I would have thought any new contract Gibbs has with the AFC would not take much into consideration if he was front loaded at Carlton.
I am sure he would be on the same good coin as any blue chip mid at any other Club.
If he's a part of that premiership team, then it will be worth it. We got close last year, without him in the team, only to fall at the final hurdle when our midfield imploded. If we win the GF due to having a midfield that doesn't implode, then it's definitely worth it.What if we win a flag but he misses large portions of the season with injury?
If Carlton ends up near the bottom as they're looking like given their start, the positional difference between pick 10 and 16 we gave up last year will be more than the difference between that pick 16 and this years Carlton 2nd round pick we got (in a stronger draft with potentially good enough SA telent).... giving up 2x 1st round picks (less change from later rounds). ...
Gibbs actually took a paycut coming to AFC.Gibbs may have been offered a few dollars more, but Adelaides obligation would have simply been to take over the current contract.
I don't know whether or not a new 'deal' was negotiated. It may have been but didn't really need to be, although Gibbs wouldn't have said no.
Point is that a relatively cheap, quality mid may allow the club to hang onto another player they may have lost for more money elsewhere.
Gibbs actually took a paycut coming to AFC.
According to W Carey most players are at the peak of their game from the age of 27-29 so you would think Gibbs has this year and the next before we see a noticeble decline.His decline will imo definitely occur before 100+ games. More than likely It will be around the end of the 3rd season with us or early into the 4th. If the AFC had gone after him last year, he may achieved one of your criteria. With that said, I do believe he will remain serviceable for us in his 4th season. But definitely will be in the decline phase by then.
As to premierships with him. Given I think this is Sloane's last year with us, that part of the equation regarding premierships will be answered this year. Losing Sloane in our midfield is a body blow imo. If Brouch was injury free, then there would be some room to believe we could win the flag next year without a player like Sloane.
The only caveat to premierships next year or the year after that is if we manage to grab a blue chip FA or pay overs for a contracted one.
This is dumbIf he's a part of that premiership team, then it will be worth it. We got close last year, without him in the team, only to fall at the final hurdle when our midfield imploded. If we win the GF due to having a midfield that doesn't implode, then it's definitely worth it.
If we only get 70 games out of him at his peak, with no flag, then the deal will have been an expensive failure. 70 games just isn't enough to justify giving up 2x 1st round picks (less change from later rounds). For this to be worth it, we have to win big, or we have to get a lot of high quality mileage out of him.
Given the price we paid, we've risked big, hoping for a big reward. If we don't get that reward, then the price we paid will have been too high.
This is dumb
Why not double down and claim the price we paid also depends on whether pick 10 Lochie O’Brien and pick 16 Ed Richards go on to play in premierships? If they never win premierships, then the price we paid was effectively zero regardless of what they achieve as players?
The value of trading for Gibbs is an increased chance of a premiership now.
The actual outcome will depend on this and many other factors. It is dumb to say premiership = win, no premiership = lose.
Because that's the price we chose to pay - enhancing our team now, instead of picking 2 players who could have been with us for 10+ years. We've gambled on Gibbs, at the potential price of future output from the draftees we gave up. The question is whether or not that gamble pays off - and only time can provide the answer to that question.This is dumb
Why not double down and claim the price we paid also depends on whether pick 10 Lochie O’Brien and pick 16 Ed Richards go on to play in premierships? If they never win premierships, then the price we paid was effectively zero regardless of what they achieve as players?
The value of trading for Gibbs is an increased chance of a premiership now.
The actual outcome will depend on this and many other factors. It is dumb to say premiership = win, no premiership = lose.
You do realise draft picks are a gamble too, right?Because that's the price we chose to pay - enhancing our team now, instead of picking 2 players who could have been with us for 10+ years. We've gambled on Gibbs, at the potential price of future output from the draftees we gave up. The question is whether or not that gamble pays off - and only time can provide the answer to that question.
We swapped gambles. We gambled on the now, instead of gambling on the future. No argument there.You do realise draft picks are a gamble too, right?
How do you reckon we'd be going right now without him in the team? No Crouch x 2, Douglas missing one, Sloane seemingly a bit impaired.
Turn it up.
The argument is we went a year too late. And the science is in on that one.We swapped gambles. We gambled on the now, instead of gambling on the future. No argument there.
Supposedly we gave him a new 4 year deal when he came over, whether that was simply a 2 year extension on his Carlton deal, or a whole new deal together I'm not sure.Gibbs may have been offered a few dollars more, but Adelaides obligation would have simply been to take over the current contract.
I don't know whether or not a new 'deal' was negotiated. It may have been but didn't really need to be, although Gibbs wouldn't have said no.
Point is that a relatively cheap, quality mid may allow the club to hang onto another player they may have lost for more money elsewhere.
Im just going to leave this here... and to think people were asking the question back in 2016 as to why the club would even be interested in him
https://www.bigfooty.com/forum/thre...cont-in-part-2.1147170/page-282#post-51793038
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The need for Gibbs is getting less as each week our mids become a better unit.
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Nah I do think we still need Gibbs to add to our ranks.
Not only will he take a tonne of pressure off of Sloane, which will hopefully help him perform every game rather than just some, but imagine replacing a Mackay, or an out of form Atkins/Douglas with Gibbs. Are we also really going to pin our midfield resurgence on a former basketballer and injury prone junior? That's a very fine line to walk and could seriously bite us in the ass if we aren't careful.
Instantly makes our midfield unit a whole heap better. Our midfield is operating well at the moment yes, but it could still be better, a lot better. Gibbs makes it better.
He's a goal threat, he's a brilliant kick, good tackler, smart footballer and can take a strong contested mark. He's doesn't rely on his athleticism to be an A grade player, and has proven to be quite durable, another bonus people tend to overlook when discussing his age. He can even float across HBF like Boyd in his later years if we really need.
Gibbs is certainly worth chasing again, as he is a class player and brings a lot to our team over various aspects.
Yes Rockliff might come for free, but imo I don't think he's worth adding to our ranks. He doesn't provide us with an edge that we don't already have and isn't as versatile as Gibbs.
azza77, Aug 10, 2017Report
I thought one of the knocks on his game was that he is afraid to go and get the hardball? haven't seen this at all, in fact the opposite.
Correct.The argument is we went a year too late. And the science is in on that one.
You do realise draft picks are a gamble too, right?
How do you reckon we'd be going right now without him in the team? No Crouch x 2, Douglas missing one, Sloane seemingly a bit impaired.
Turn it up.
The argument is we went a year too late. And the science is in on that one.