Will Carlton play Finals?

[athensblue]

Stocker, Kemp, lots of potential
Cunners and SPS need to take the next step
Dow and Obrien seem the most disappointing right now

These 6 alone step up, there is Huge upside and (excluding Kemp) are not 'young, they should be performing Now or at least progressed further.

Campo came to Carlton and blitzed in 95 as a 20 year old. Sure he had the masterclass around him but he was there performing.

Above the shoulders and culture make a world of difference.

Finally, Not sure if I am big on Papley at any price or Williams
Petraca would be great, but can't see it happening

Best recruit next year is CC, if the knee is good
He will get you 2 to 3 games alone and into the finals.

A surprise at trade period and lift from the 6 above gets us knocking on top 4. Stars need to start aligning.

No improvement from the 6 and CC's knee not good, things somewhat different

 

[Brackets]

They also nailed a few of their earlier midfielders and we may have missed with the same picks. I think we might be tracking a little behind them in terms of development.

Cuningham, SPS, Fisher, Dow, O'Brien, Walsh, Stocker all mids we've drafted with top 30 picks. That's a lot of currency to have added just one regular starter to our midfield to date.

 

[Michael Jezz]

Before the revised season, had us pegged for 8-13 wins, revised season, 6-10.

Seems we are on track for about 8 wins

Our rebuild timeline is still ahead of Lions and Saints, but this off season is very important

Brisbane finished 2nd on the Home and away last year. They are a top 4 side.

Carlton does not have Brisbanes advantages

A) Chris Fagan- Darn smart experienced coach
B) Lachie Neale a A grader requesting a trade
C) Priority picks gifted by the league
D) A draft Academy gifting them at least 3 or 4 of their 22
E) A home game advantage for 2/3s of a season
nor is Carlton anywhere near producing Brisbane's results

 

[Arr0w]

Brisbane finished 2nd on the Home and away last year. They are a top 4 side. Carlton does not have Brisbanes advantages
A) Chris Fagan- Darn smart experienced coach
B) Lachie Neale a A grader requesting a trade
C) Priority picks gifted by the league
D) A draft Academy gifting them at least 3 or 4 of their 22
E) A home game advantage for 2/3s of a season
nor is Carlton anywhere near producing Brisbane's results

Michael 5th year into their rebuild, 2018, Lions had ONLY 5 wins

A Fagan was less experienced before taking the gig at the Lions

B We have yet to enter a similar timeline trade period where the Lions got Neale

C **** the priority picks, will be sweeter without them

D See C

E Clubs win anywhere at any time

Now I will give you F, Saints are a Melbourne based side, no priority picks, no academy, who won 4 games in their 5th year, 2018.

 

[egalite]

Carlton will not contend, With Murphy and Simpson still out there and an over reliance on Cripps. Midfield needs to lead.

 

[HyphensBack]

Still Possible!
Still Dreaming of beating the Cats by 10 goals in the GF.

 

[Blues90]

IF we had C.Curnow all year this year would that have been the difference to make finals?

 

[lukep_86]

 

[Juddernaut08]

We have had some really close games and mostly won.

So I dont look back at Melbourne and Port and think what if.

I do regret the Hawks **** up as well as the losses to pies and gws

 

[RudyBlue]

We’re still a mathematical chance people

Lol

 

[Jeremias]

Maybe. We'll never know.

Ultimately it looks like we'll fall short and we only have ourselves to blame. I think we've largely covered Curnow's absence pretty well, though he will be a very welcome inclusion.

 

[Sammoll]

It's possible but very unlikely, to the point where there's no point even thinking about it. We missed our chance with the back-to-back capitulations against the Pies and the Giants. Although if we end the year with some momentum hopefully that gives us a good launching pad to be there next year.

 

[RedFury]

Yeah such a shame we let both those games slip in the last quarters. Win just one and we're up to it in our eyeballs.

 

[james Dean]

IF we had C.Curnow all year this year would that have been the difference to make finals?

Injuries are a part of footy, we’ll have them next year too.

 

[Blue_Fusion]

Here's what would need to happen and my rating on how possible each scenario is:

-> Beat Adelaide and Brisbane (3/10)
-> Hope that the Dockers beat the Dogs (4/10) or the Suns and Port beat the Pies (1/10)
-> IF the Pies beat the Suns and the Dockers beat the Dogs, percentage will come into play and so we'd have to hope the Dogs don't beat the Hawks by more than 20 points (5/10).
-> Hope that Melbourne beat GWS and lose to * (5/10) or if the Pies lose to both Suns and Port then Melbourne have to lose 1 game (8/10)

Stranger things have happened, haven't they?

 

[Accidental genius]

Here's what would need to happen and my rating on how possible each scenario is:

-> Beat Adelaide and Brisbane (3/10)
-> Hope that the Dockers beat the Dogs (4/10) or the Suns and Port beat the Pies (1/10)
-> IF the Pies beat the Suns and the Dockers beat the Dogs, percentage will come into play and so we'd have to hope the Dogs don't beat the Hawks by more than 20 points (5/10).
-> Hope that Melbourne beat GWS and lose to * (5/10) or if the Pies lose to both Suns and Port then Melbourne have to lose 1 game (8/10)

Stranger things have happened, haven't they?

Thanks for this. I couldn’t find a ladder predictor that is available at this point. Seems our hopes are slim.

 

[Accidental genius]

^^gws losing to crows shows anything is possible though.

 

[juzza316]

Thanks for this. I couldn’t find a ladder predictor that is available at this point. Seems our hopes are slim.

Still, nice to be a mathematical chance going into the final two weeks for the first time since 2013 - here is a ladder predictor where dreams are made.....

Squiggle AFL Ladder Predictor

Squiggle, the home of computer-aided AFL footy tipping, offers a handy ladder predictor tool.

predictor.squiggle.com.au

 

[Arr0w]

Just keep developing the gameplan/tactics, continiuty, etc and whether we make finals or not, it will be a great platform for years to come

 

[Manhattanite]

Here's what would need to happen and my rating on how possible each scenario is:

-> Beat Adelaide and Brisbane (3/10)
-> Hope that the Dockers beat the Dogs (4/10) or the Suns and Port beat the Pies (1/10)
-> IF the Pies beat the Suns and the Dockers beat the Dogs, percentage will come into play and so we'd have to hope the Dogs don't beat the Hawks by more than 20 points (5/10).
-> Hope that Melbourne beat GWS and lose to * (5/10) or if the Pies lose to both Suns and Port then Melbourne have to lose 1 game (8/10)

Stranger things have happened, haven't they?

Good analysis - just a few comments:
I think percentage will come into play so we need to beat the Crows by at least a few goals so that if we do beat the Lions by a kick we should have enough % in the bank

We need the Dogs to drop one - and a loss to the Hawks while unlikely on form is possible because the Dogs are erratic - and a loss to the Dockers is also very possible

I think we would prefer the Giants beating the Demons - we need both teams to lose a game and I think the Saints are more likely to beat the Giants than the Dons are off knocking the Dees over

So this weekend I’m supporting the Blues, Hawks and Suns and a draw between the Giants and Demons!


Sent from my iPhone using BigFooty.com

 

[RedFury]

A team making finals from our position would be extremely unlikely - if I was to use a gameplay analogy I'd say it's akin to a team coming back from a 7 goal deficit in driving rain with shortened quarters.

 

[HyphensBack]

Alternative way we can make Finals.

we finish 9th based on % BUT
Richmond has another COVID breach and get docked points and we sneak in and ......

 

[katmanblue]

Yeah such a shame we let both those games slip in the last quarters. Win just one and we're up to it in our eyeballs.

As long as we learned something, then.

As Cripps said: we are learning the hard way.

On SM-N960F using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[BigBreakfast]

Before the revised season, had us pegged for 8-13 wins, revised season, 6-10.

Seems we are on track for about 8 wins

Our rebuild timeline is still ahead of Lions and Saints, but this off season is very important

I don’t want to compare our build to anyone else, Arrow. Nothing is linear, we are on the right track. Like many I picked us to finish in 9 to 11 range and that’s where we are. Our next evolution needs to be to build skills through the midfield, internally or through acquisitions and develop the capacity to dictate tempo.

Then again, an injury here or there and we are back to non linear development.

I hope our recruiting team doesn’t go overboard proving they are equal or better than SOS and pull the trigger on deals that set us back.

Finals next year please.

 

[footy75]

Elimination final this week.

Beat the Crows and we are still in it.

Don't **** this up