Our 2007-2022 win rate compared to the rest of the AFL

[Selfield]

I've finally found the win percentages of each club from 2007-2022 and while we all know there's a big gap between our win rate and the next best, it's interesting to see how close the win rates of Hawthorn, Sydney and Collingwood are, with a big gap to the rest after that.

Geelong - 73.58%

Hawthorn - 61.39%
Sydney - 60.11%
Collingwood - 59.42%

Richmond - 52.34%
West Coast - 52.32%
Western Bulldogs - 51.63%
Adelaide - 50.97%
Port Adelaide - 50.69%
Fremantle - 48.61%
St Kilda - 48.33%

North Melbourne - 44.71%
GWS - 44.00%
Essendon - 43.63%
Brisbane - 42.60%
Carlton - 38.81%
Melbourne - 37.89%

Gold Coast - 27.03%

The other thing I learned is Gold Coast have been even worse than I thought. Obviously the sample size for GWS and Gold Coast is smaller given they didn't exist in 2007 but it's interesting nonetheless.

Big 4? Nah. We're the Big 1 while Hawthorn, Sydney and Collingwood are the Semi Big 3. The rest are minnows including Richmond (sorry Tigers fans).

 

[standupand]

Amazing, right?

The time period is a bit selective but we've had the highest win % of any club of the 00s, the 10s and a good way ahead at the start at the 20s.

For longevity, it surpasses Hawthorn of the 70s-80s I believe and getting close to Collingwood's dominance of the 1910s to 30s.

 

[00VicWard001]

Are we the best performing club of the last 3 years? Top four 3 years in a row, 2 grand finals and 1 prelim final, 1 premiership.

Not bad in hindsight.

In my opinion, best performing over the last 4 and 5 year period would be Richmond, with 2 premierships, even though they’ve been poor the last 2 finals series.

 

[Mr Meow]

I've finally found the win percentages of each club from 2007-2022 and while we all know there's a big gap between our win rate and the next best, it's interesting to see how close the win rates of Hawthorn, Sydney and Collingwood are, with a big gap to the rest after that.

Geelong - 73.58%

Hawthorn - 61.39%
Sydney - 60.11%
Collingwood - 59.42%

Richmond - 52.34%
West Coast - 52.32%
Western Bulldogs - 51.63%
Adelaide - 50.97%
Port Adelaide - 50.69%
Fremantle - 48.61%
St Kilda - 48.33%

North Melbourne - 44.71%
GWS - 44.00%
Essendon - 43.63%
Brisbane - 42.60%
Carlton - 38.81%
Melbourne - 37.89%

Gold Coast - 27.03%

The other thing I learned is Gold Coast have been even worse than I thought. Obviously the sample size for GWS and Gold Coast is smaller given they didn't exist in 2007 but it's interesting nonetheless.

Big 4? Nah. We're the Big 1 while Hawthorn, Sydney and Collingwood are the Semi Big 3. The rest are minnows including Richmond (sorry Tigers fans).

Just one flag for Collingwood and Sydney during that period is a pretty poor return from that win rate. 1 from 3 GFs for the Pies, 1 from 4 GFs for the Swans. I know Geelong fluffed quite a few prelims over the previous decade but 4 flags from 6 GFs still reflects the 73.6% win rate quite nicely.

 

[Selfield]

Just one flag for Collingwood and Sydney during that period is a pretty poor return from that win rate. 1 from 3 GFs for the Pies, 1 from 4 GFs for the Swans. I know Geelong fluffed quite a few prelims over the previous decade but 4 flags from 6 GFs still reflects the 73.6% win rate quite nicely.

Hawthorn's win rate since the start of 2007 is now 60.42%, while Collingwood's is 60.31% and Sydney's is 59.69%.

Amazing to think Hawthorn have won 4 flags in that time while Collingwood and Sydney have only won 1 flag each.

 

[Mr Meow]

Hawthorn's win rate since the start of 2007 is now 60.42%, while Collingwood's is 60.31% and Sydney's is 59.69%.

Amazing to think Hawthorn have won 4 flags in that time while Collingwood and Sydney have only won 1 flag each.

True but they have fallen off a cliff since 2018 or so. Not sure how many years outside of the top 8 for the other three but it wouldn't be that many.

There's no doubting that Hawthorn are a high conversion club historically when they're top 4 - the recent two straight sets an aberration.

 

[uranium_death]

Hawthorn's win rate since the start of 2007 is now 60.42%, while Collingwood's is 60.31% and Sydney's is 59.69%.

Amazing to think Hawthorn have won 4 flags in that time while Collingwood and Sydney have only won 1 flag each.

Sydney have been very stiff though. They could have won 2016
Hawthorn won 3 prelims in a row by under a goal (and lost 2011 by under a goal)

Some teams get a better rub of the green. That's footy

St Kilda had two bounces go against them. Firstly the Scarlett toe-poke, and then the Milne bounce. If either went their way, the story could have been different

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