Triple J Hottest 100 2025 (Plus 200-101 and 2005 Throwback)

[RedmanWasHere]

Start your engines.

We'll be driving in December on our way to the next hottest 100.

Who's in pole position here?

How many spots will be used by those on TikTok?

We ready to launch the chatter.

 

[JT_the_Man]

Always hard to say until mid November. Need to see which tracks stick around.

 

[Perko16]

Can see the top 20ish looking something like this:



1. Olivia Dean - Man I Need

2. Keli Holiday - Dancing2

3. Tame Impala - Dracula


Dom Dolla - Dreaming

Spacey Jane - Whateverrrr

Raye - WHERE IS MY HUSBAND!

Playlunch - Keith

Sombr - back to friends

Ninajarachi - iPod touch

10. Fred again.. - Victory Lap


Chappell Roan - The Subway

Olivia Dean - Nice too each other

doechii - Anxiety

Addison Rae - Fame is a Gun

Tate McRae - Sports Car

Sombr - 12:12

Ball Park Music - Please Don’t Move To Melbourne

Disco Lines & Tinashe - No Broke Boys

Lorde - What was that

Sombr - Undressed

Pink Pantheress - Illegal

Olivia Dean - So Easy (To Fall In Love)



♾

 

[RedmanWasHere]

Infohazard would surely get in.


Perhaps Britney in ‘03 or whatever the Confidence Man song is that Jade Thirlwall collaborated on.

 

[JT_the_Man]

Voting is open.

 

[Loonerty]

Working through my final 25 songs to cull now. I know a few of them aren't on the shortlist though...

 

[JT_the_Man]

I probably should've just done it quickly, cause I got a 10 I was pretty happy with then looked at the voting list again and now have problems cutting.

 

[RedmanWasHere]

As usual, I'm gonna listen to almost all of the samples and make a long shortlist then cut it down further.

The usual suspects like Kanye, Kendrick and similar rap types I avoid.

 

[thewitness]

I built a prediction model to try and get a rough idea of H100 that updated as the year went on.
This is how it turned out (purely from numbers with no of my own opinions inputted).

Spoiler: Witness' Hottest 100/200 prediction

1​	Man I Need	Olivia Dean
2​	undressed	sombr
3​	Dracula	Tame Impala
4​	No Broke Boys	Disco Lines & Tinashe
5​	Dancing2	Keli Holiday
6​	Dreamin [Ft. Daya]	Dom Dolla
7​	Car	Royel Otis
8​	A COLD PLAY	The Kid LAROI
9​	WHERE IS MY HUSBAND!	RAYE
10​	So Easy (To Fall In Love)	Olivia Dean
11​	12 to 12	sombr
12​	Loser	Tame Impala
13​	Tit For Tat	Tate McRae
14​	Whateverrrr	Spacey Jane
15​	HOW DOES IT FEEL?	The Kid LAROI
16​	All I Really Want	Yes Boone
17​	All The Noise	Spacey Jane
18​	Love Balloon	Ocean Alley
19​	How to Kill Houseplants	Spacey Jane
20​	Sports car	Tate McRae
21​	Revolving Door	Tate McRae
22​	moody	Royel Otis
23​	The Subway	Chappell Roan
24​	Disco Cowgirl	G Flip
25​	BMF	SZA
26​	Half the Laugh	Ruby Fields
27​	Blackberries	FISHER & bbyclose
28​	RUNNING LOW [Ft. Pardyalone]	Baker Boy
29​	Drenched	Ocean Alley
30​	Jealous Type	Doja Cat
31​	What Was That	Lorde
32​	you're a star	Fred again.. & Amyl And The Sniffers
33​	92 Purebred	Ruby Fields
34​	[REDACTED]	MAY-A
35​	I Can Die Now	Ruel
36​	Through My Teeth	Spacey Jane
37​	Everybody Scream	Florence + the Machine
38​	Easy	JACOTÉNE
39​	Hey You	The Belair Lip Bombs
40​	Nice To Each Other	Olivia Dean
41​	Delete	Ninajirachi
42​	Melodramatic Fanatic	Lime Cordiale & Ruel
43​	Girlfriend	Darcie Haven
44​	SOS	George Alice
45​	Victory Lap	Fred again.., Skepta & PlaqueBoyMax
46​	Sideways	Balu Brigada
47​	The Right	DJ Seinfeld & Confidence Man
48​	Born Again [Ft. Doja Cat & RAYE]	Lisa
49​	BALCONY	Teen Jesus and the Jean Teasers
50​	Left Of The Dealer	Ocean Alley
51​	All I Am	Ninajirachi
52​	Is It Real [Ft. Ravyn Lenae]	Flume & JPEGMAFIA
53​	MOTION SICKNESS	Nerve
54​	I wish I knew how to quit you	sombr
55​	He Said No	Meg Mac
56​	Backseat	Balu Brigada
57​	The Hit	aleksiah
58​	In Another Life	G Flip
59​	Maybe It All Works Out In The End	Mariae Cassandra
60​	Tonight's Entertainment	The Rions
61​	Shut You Out	The Rions
62​	PIRATE RADIO	Genesis Owusu
63​	Sweet n' Low	Peach PRC
64​	Shapeshifter	Lorde
65​	One Thing	Lola Young
66​	Be That to You	Mel Blue
67​	Sugar On My Tongue	Tyler, The Creator
68​	Chasing Hearts	Dice
69​	Monsoon	Emma Louise & Flume
70​	Our Greats	3%​
71​	Geezer	Kevin Abstract & Dominic Fike
72​	Worth My Time	Tyne-James Organ
73​	SUNLIGHT	Gordon's Grandson
74​	Hideaway	Mallrat
75​	Lose Yourself Again	Mansionair
76​	Cool Star	Cat & Calmell
77​	The Way I Love You	Jorja Smith
78​	Only Love	Mia Wray
79​	Employee	Ama
80​	Illegal	PinkPantheress
81​	Now or Never	Tkandz & CXSPER
82​	Hold My Hand	The Jungle Giants
83​	Press Pause	Kita Alexander
84​	off the rails	BENEE
85​	Stay Free	The Terrys
86​	Anxiety	Doechii
87​	Wild Guess	Ruel
88​	Movie Scene	grentperez
89​	d£aler	Lola Young
90​	Sweet And Slow	Teenage Joans
91​	Ring Ring Ring	Tyler, The Creator
92​	Think About Us	Sonny Fodera, D.O.D & Poppy Baskcomb
93​	Everyone Will See It	Old Mervs
94​	Stay	Fisher
95​	Afterlife	Alex G
96​	The Giver	Chappell Roan
97​	Burn It Down	Matt Corby
98​	Racer	Blusher
99​	Running On Empty	The Tullamarines
100​	All Over Me	HAIM
101​	Fame Is a Gun	Addison Rae
102​	Hide It Away	Wallows
103​	Arc de Triomphe	Aminé
104​	Relationships	HAIM
105​	In Love With A Memory [Ft. Clairo]	SASAMI
106​	Easy Goodbye	Emma Louise & Flume
107​	we never dated	sombr
108​	All Hat No Cattle	Hockey Dad
109​	Yougotmefeeling	Parcels
110​	Don't Go	Old Mervs
111​	Big Thoughts	Wafia
112​	Nokia	Drake
113​	All In	Sycco
114​	Meet Your Maker	DEVAURA
115​	It Gets Better	Kettama
116​	Red Lights	Beddy Rays
117​	Blame It On Me	Larissa Lambert
118​	Cinnamon	BENEE
119​	Second Best	The Last Dinner Party
120​	Feel The Friction	Sam Alfred
121​	Burner Account	Darcie Haven
122​	Crush [Ft. Jorja Smith]	AJ Tracey
123​	Dandelion	grentperez
124​	Sally, When The Wine Runs Out	ROLE MODEL
125​	Back To Friends	sombr
126​	iPod Touch	Ninajirachi
127​	Divine Feelings	Vance Joy
128​	Chemistry	Gigi Perez
129​	Alter Ego	Dice
130​	Pavement	Mallrat
131​	Pixelated Kisses	Joji
132​	Peacekeeper	Baker Boy
133​	Angel of Mine	tobiahs
134​	London Song	Ninajirachi
135​	Estimated Delivery	Spacey Jane
136​	million times	Esha Tewari
137​	Infohazard	Ninajirachi
138​	Drifting Away	IsGwan & thndo
139​	Who's Dat!	Drizzz
140​	Post Sex Clarity	Lola Young
141​	Man of the Year	Lorde
142​	I Could Love U	Logan Priest
143​	Please Don't Move To Melbourne	Ball Park Music
144​	THE RECAP (Bootleg Version) [Ft. Mozey]	Kneecap
145​	Nice Shoes	Steve Lacy
146​	Addison Road	Egoism
147​	Tonight	PinkPantheress
148​	**** My Computer	Ninajirachi
149​	FUN!	Kučka
150​	Romeo	PinkPantheress
151​	catch these fists	Wet Leg
152​	Bleed [Ft. Omar Apollo]	Malcolm Todd
153​	Kiss Me Like You're Leaving	Jem Cassar-Daley
154​	Headphones On	Addison Rae
155​	DEATH CULT ZOMBIE	Genesis Owusu
156​	Great Pretender	Dominic Fike
157​	Stronger	JACOTÉNE
158​	Raving In The Studio	Aitch & Bou
159​	Die Happy	Holly Humberstone
160​	Doomsday	Darcie Haven
161​	Where You Need To Be	Skin On Skin
162​	In My Head	Chris Lake & Amber Mark
163​	Stateside	PinkPantheress
164​	It's Amazing to Be Young	Fontaines D.C.
165​	Another World	The Belair Lip Bombs
166​	Lucky Dimes	The Temper Trap
167​	Arm's Length	Sam Fender
168​	Am I? (Tell Me)	Zafty
169​	Lil' Obsession	BOY SODA
170​	5 Dollar Pony Rides	Mac Miller
171​	Centrelink Summer	Suzi
172​	LCA	The Dare
173​	Bloom Baby Bloom	Wolf Alice
174​	Back Of My Hand	The Belair Lip Bombs
175​	FACEDOWN	Chase Atlantic
176​	WRK	JID
177​	Cry For Me	The Weeknd
178​	End of Summer	Tame Impala
179​	LV Bag [Ft. j-hope & Pharrell Williams]	Don Toliver & Speedy
180​	Glum	Hayley Williams
181​	Raindance [Ft. Tems]	Dave
182​	This Is the Killer Speaking	The Last Dinner Party
183​	Lovesick Lullaby	YUNGBLUD
184​	Distant Strangers [Ft. The Kid LAROI & Imogen Heap]	ONEFOUR
185​	Hurts Anymore	Larissa Lambert
186​	Maybe I'm Just a Freak	The Rions
187​	Make a Move	Lyric
188​	Thirst Trap	Audrey Hobert
189​	Dollar Shop Souvenir	Hannah Brewer
190​	Maroubra Villain [Ft. Hellcat Speedracer]	Kobie Dee
191​	Pocket Rocket	Beddy Rays
192​	Silver Lining	Laufey
193​	Summerinlove	Parcels
194​	See You Again	Old Mervs
195​	A Question Of You	Inhaler
196​	Darlin' [Ft. Sean Paul & Brodie]	Luude
197​	gossip	Confidence Man, JADE
198​	Milk & Honey	Tash Sultana
199​	Princess	BENEE
200​	Sue me	Audrey Hobert

 

[thewitness]

My votes:
Teenage Dads - Fire Fire
Mia Wray - Only Love
Turnstile - BIRDS
JACOTENE - Why'd You Do That?
Old Mervs - Don't Go
Skegss - So Excited
1300 - BANGALANG
Genesis Owusu - PIRATE RADIO
Tame Impala - Dracula
BENEE - Cinnamon

 

[Loonerty]

 

[JT_the_Man]

I built a prediction model to try and get a rough idea of H100 that updated as the year went on.
This is how it turned out (purely from numbers with no of my own opinions inputted).

Spoiler: Witness' Hottest 100/200 prediction

Position	Track	Artist
1​	Man I Need	Olivia Dean
2​	undressed	sombr
3​	No Broke Boys	Disco Lines & Tinashe
4​	Dreamin [Ft. Daya]	Dom Dolla
5​	Dracula	Tame Impala
6​	Dancing2	Keli Holiday
7​	Car	Royel Otis
8​	A COLD PLAY	The Kid LAROI
9​	WHERE IS MY HUSBAND!	RAYE
10​	So Easy (To Fall In Love)	Olivia Dean
11​	12 to 12	sombr
12​	Loser	Tame Impala
13​	Tit For Tat	Tate McRae
14​	Whateverrrr	Spacey Jane
15​	HOW DOES IT FEEL?	The Kid LAROI
16​	All The Noise	Spacey Jane
17​	All I Really Want	Yes Boone
18​	How to Kill Houseplants	Spacey Jane
19​	Love Balloon	Ocean Alley
20​	Sports car	Tate McRae
21​	Revolving Door	Tate McRae
22​	The Subway	Chappell Roan
23​	moody	Royel Otis
24​	Disco Cowgirl	G Flip
25​	BMF	SZA
26​	Half the Laugh	Ruby Fields
27​	Blackberries	FISHER & bbyclose
28​	Drenched	Ocean Alley
29​	Jealous Type	Doja Cat
30​	RUNNING LOW [Ft. Pardyalone]	Baker Boy
31​	What Was That	Lorde
32​	you're a star	Fred again.. & Amyl And The Sniffers
33​	92 Purebred	Ruby Fields
34​	[REDACTED]	MAY-A
35​	I Can Die Now	Ruel
36​	Through My Teeth	Spacey Jane
37​	Everybody Scream	Florence + the Machine
38​	Easy	JACOTÉNE
39​	Hey You	The Belair Lip Bombs
40​	Delete	Ninajirachi
41​	Nice To Each Other	Olivia Dean
42​	Melodramatic Fanatic	Lime Cordiale & Ruel
43​	Girlfriend	Darcie Haven
44​	SOS	George Alice
45​	Victory Lap	Fred again.., Skepta & PlaqueBoyMax
46​	Sideways	Balu Brigada
47​	The Right	DJ Seinfeld & Confidence Man
48​	Born Again [Ft. Doja Cat & RAYE]	Lisa
49​	BALCONY	Teen Jesus and the Jean Teasers
50​	Left Of The Dealer	Ocean Alley
51​	Is It Real [Ft. Ravyn Lenae]	Flume & JPEGMAFIA
52​	MOTION SICKNESS	Nerve
53​	I wish I knew how to quit you	sombr
54​	He Said No	Meg Mac
55​	All I Am	Ninajirachi
56​	Backseat	Balu Brigada
57​	The Hit	aleksiah
58​	In Another Life	G Flip
59​	Maybe It All Works Out In The End	Mariae Cassandra
60​	Tonight's Entertainment	The Rions
61​	Shut You Out	The Rions
62​	PIRATE RADIO	Genesis Owusu
63​	Sweet n' Low	Peach PRC
64​	Shapeshifter	Lorde
65​	One Thing	Lola Young
66​	Be That to You	Mel Blue
67​	Sugar On My Tongue	Tyler, The Creator
68​	Chasing Hearts	Dice
69​	Monsoon	Emma Louise & Flume
70​	Our Greats	3%​
71​	Geezer	Kevin Abstract & Dominic Fike
72​	Worth My Time	Tyne-James Organ
73​	SUNLIGHT	Gordon's Grandson
74​	Hideaway	Mallrat
75​	Lose Yourself Again	Mansionair
76​	Cool Star	Cat & Calmell
77​	The Way I Love You	Jorja Smith
78​	Only Love	Mia Wray
79​	Employee	Ama
80​	Illegal	PinkPantheress
81​	Hold My Hand	The Jungle Giants
82​	Press Pause	Kita Alexander
83​	off the rails	BENEE
84​	Stay Free	The Terrys
85​	Anxiety	Doechii
86​	Wild Guess	Ruel
87​	Movie Scene	grentperez
88​	d£aler	Lola Young
89​	Sweet And Slow	Teenage Joans
90​	Ring Ring Ring	Tyler, The Creator
91​	Everyone Will See It	Old Mervs
92​	Afterlife	Alex G
93​	The Giver	Chappell Roan
94​	Stay	Fisher
95​	Racer	Blusher
96​	Running On Empty	The Tullamarines
97​	All Over Me	HAIM
98​	Fame Is a Gun	Addison Rae
99​	Hide It Away	Wallows
100​	Arc de Triomphe	Aminé
101​	Relationships	HAIM
102​	In Love With A Memory [Ft. Clairo]	SASAMI
103​	Easy Goodbye	Emma Louise & Flume
104​	we never dated	sombr
105​	All Hat No Cattle	Hockey Dad
106​	Don't Go	Old Mervs
107​	Yougotmefeeling	Parcels
108​	Now or Never	Tkandz & CXSPER
109​	Big Thoughts	Wafia
110​	Nokia	Drake
111​	All In	Sycco
112​	Meet Your Maker	DEVAURA
113​	It Gets Better	Kettama
114​	Red Lights	Beddy Rays
115​	Blame It On Me	Larissa Lambert
116​	Cinnamon	BENEE
117​	Second Best	The Last Dinner Party
118​	Feel The Friction	Sam Alfred
119​	Burner Account	Darcie Haven
120​	Crush [Ft. Jorja Smith]	AJ Tracey
121​	Burn It Down	Matt Corby
122​	Dandelion	grentperez
123​	Sally, When The Wine Runs Out	ROLE MODEL
124​	Back To Friends	sombr
125​	Chemistry	Gigi Perez
126​	Alter Ego	Dice
127​	Pavement	Mallrat
128​	Peacekeeper	Baker Boy
129​	Angel of Mine	tobiahs
130​	Pixelated Kisses	Joji
131​	Estimated Delivery	Spacey Jane
132​	million times	Esha Tewari
133​	Infohazard	Ninajirachi
134​	iPod Touch	Ninajirachi
135​	Drifting Away	IsGwan & thndo
136​	Who's Dat!	Drizzz
137​	Divine Feelings	Vance Joy
138​	Post Sex Clarity	Lola Young
139​	Man of the Year	Lorde
140​	I Could Love U	Logan Priest
141​	Please Don't Move To Melbourne	Ball Park Music
142​	THE RECAP (Bootleg Version) [Ft. Mozey]	Kneecap
143​	Nice Shoes	Steve Lacy
144​	Addison Road	Egoism
145​	Tonight	PinkPantheress
146​	FUN!	Kučka
147​	**** My Computer	Ninajirachi
148​	Romeo	PinkPantheress
149​	catch these fists	Wet Leg
150​	Bleed [Ft. Omar Apollo]	Malcolm Todd
151​	Kiss Me Like You're Leaving	Jem Cassar-Daley
152​	Headphones On	Addison Rae
153​	Think About Us	Sonny Fodera, D.O.D & Poppy Baskcomb
154​	Great Pretender	Dominic Fike
155​	Stronger	JACOTÉNE
156​	Raving In The Studio	Aitch & Bou
157​	Doomsday	Darcie Haven
158​	Where You Need To Be	Skin On Skin
159​	In My Head	Chris Lake & Amber Mark
160​	Stateside	PinkPantheress
161​	It's Amazing to Be Young	Fontaines D.C.
162​	Lucky Dimes	The Temper Trap
163​	Arm's Length	Sam Fender
164​	Am I? (Tell Me)	Zafty
165​	Lil' Obsession	BOY SODA
166​	5 Dollar Pony Rides	Mac Miller
167​	Centrelink Summer	Suzi
168​	LCA	The Dare
169​	DEATH CULT ZOMBIE	Genesis Owusu
170​	Bloom Baby Bloom	Wolf Alice
171​	Back Of My Hand	The Belair Lip Bombs
172​	FACEDOWN	Chase Atlantic
173​	WRK	JID
174​	Cry For Me	The Weeknd
175​	LV Bag [Ft. j-hope & Pharrell Williams]	Don Toliver & Speedy
176​	Glum	Hayley Williams
177​	This Is the Killer Speaking	The Last Dinner Party
178​	End of Summer	Tame Impala
179​	Lovesick Lullaby	YUNGBLUD
180​	Distant Strangers [Ft. The Kid LAROI & Imogen Heap]	ONEFOUR
181​	Hurts Anymore	Larissa Lambert
182​	Maybe I'm Just a Freak	The Rions
183​	Make a Move	Lyric
184​	Thirst Trap	Audrey Hobert
185​	Dollar Shop Souvenir	Hannah Brewer
186​	Pocket Rocket	Beddy Rays
187​	Silver Lining	Laufey
188​	Raindance [Ft. Tems]	Dave
189​	See You Again	Old Mervs
190​	Summerinlove	Parcels
191​	A Question Of You	Inhaler
192​	Darlin' [Ft. Sean Paul & Brodie]	Luude
193​	gossip	Confidence Man, JADE
194​	Milk & Honey	Tash Sultana
195​	Sue me	Audrey Hobert
196​	Why'd You Do That?	JACOTÉNE
197​	Coast Is Clear	Ball Park Music
198​	Stay In Your Lane	Courtney Barnett
199​	Romeo (Conan Gray)	Conan Gray
200​	Alter Ego (Evie Irie)	Evie Irie

I think it's done a pretty good job, that top 10 wouldn't be overly surprising to me. At the same time there are some obvious outliers that I imagine perform a lot better than the model predicts.

 

[Dancing Potato]

I built a prediction model to try and get a rough idea of H100 that updated as the year went on.
This is how it turned out (purely from numbers with no of my own opinions inputted).

Spoiler: Witness' Hottest 100/200 prediction

Position	Track	Artist
1​	Man I Need	Olivia Dean
2​	undressed	sombr
3​	No Broke Boys	Disco Lines & Tinashe
4​	Dreamin [Ft. Daya]	Dom Dolla
5​	Dracula	Tame Impala
6​	Dancing2	Keli Holiday
7​	Car	Royel Otis
8​	A COLD PLAY	The Kid LAROI
9​	WHERE IS MY HUSBAND!	RAYE
10​	So Easy (To Fall In Love)	Olivia Dean
11​	12 to 12	sombr
12​	Loser	Tame Impala
13​	Tit For Tat	Tate McRae
14​	Whateverrrr	Spacey Jane
15​	HOW DOES IT FEEL?	The Kid LAROI
16​	All The Noise	Spacey Jane
17​	All I Really Want	Yes Boone
18​	How to Kill Houseplants	Spacey Jane
19​	Love Balloon	Ocean Alley
20​	Sports car	Tate McRae
21​	Revolving Door	Tate McRae
22​	The Subway	Chappell Roan
23​	moody	Royel Otis
24​	Disco Cowgirl	G Flip
25​	BMF	SZA
26​	Half the Laugh	Ruby Fields
27​	Blackberries	FISHER & bbyclose
28​	Drenched	Ocean Alley
29​	Jealous Type	Doja Cat
30​	RUNNING LOW [Ft. Pardyalone]	Baker Boy
31​	What Was That	Lorde
32​	you're a star	Fred again.. & Amyl And The Sniffers
33​	92 Purebred	Ruby Fields
34​	[REDACTED]	MAY-A
35​	I Can Die Now	Ruel
36​	Through My Teeth	Spacey Jane
37​	Everybody Scream	Florence + the Machine
38​	Easy	JACOTÉNE
39​	Hey You	The Belair Lip Bombs
40​	Delete	Ninajirachi
41​	Nice To Each Other	Olivia Dean
42​	Melodramatic Fanatic	Lime Cordiale & Ruel
43​	Girlfriend	Darcie Haven
44​	SOS	George Alice
45​	Victory Lap	Fred again.., Skepta & PlaqueBoyMax
46​	Sideways	Balu Brigada
47​	The Right	DJ Seinfeld & Confidence Man
48​	Born Again [Ft. Doja Cat & RAYE]	Lisa
49​	BALCONY	Teen Jesus and the Jean Teasers
50​	Left Of The Dealer	Ocean Alley
51​	Is It Real [Ft. Ravyn Lenae]	Flume & JPEGMAFIA
52​	MOTION SICKNESS	Nerve
53​	I wish I knew how to quit you	sombr
54​	He Said No	Meg Mac
55​	All I Am	Ninajirachi
56​	Backseat	Balu Brigada
57​	The Hit	aleksiah
58​	In Another Life	G Flip
59​	Maybe It All Works Out In The End	Mariae Cassandra
60​	Tonight's Entertainment	The Rions
61​	Shut You Out	The Rions
62​	PIRATE RADIO	Genesis Owusu
63​	Sweet n' Low	Peach PRC
64​	Shapeshifter	Lorde
65​	One Thing	Lola Young
66​	Be That to You	Mel Blue
67​	Sugar On My Tongue	Tyler, The Creator
68​	Chasing Hearts	Dice
69​	Monsoon	Emma Louise & Flume
70​	Our Greats	3%​
71​	Geezer	Kevin Abstract & Dominic Fike
72​	Worth My Time	Tyne-James Organ
73​	SUNLIGHT	Gordon's Grandson
74​	Hideaway	Mallrat
75​	Lose Yourself Again	Mansionair
76​	Cool Star	Cat & Calmell
77​	The Way I Love You	Jorja Smith
78​	Only Love	Mia Wray
79​	Employee	Ama
80​	Illegal	PinkPantheress
81​	Hold My Hand	The Jungle Giants
82​	Press Pause	Kita Alexander
83​	off the rails	BENEE
84​	Stay Free	The Terrys
85​	Anxiety	Doechii
86​	Wild Guess	Ruel
87​	Movie Scene	grentperez
88​	d£aler	Lola Young
89​	Sweet And Slow	Teenage Joans
90​	Ring Ring Ring	Tyler, The Creator
91​	Everyone Will See It	Old Mervs
92​	Afterlife	Alex G
93​	The Giver	Chappell Roan
94​	Stay	Fisher
95​	Racer	Blusher
96​	Running On Empty	The Tullamarines
97​	All Over Me	HAIM
98​	Fame Is a Gun	Addison Rae
99​	Hide It Away	Wallows
100​	Arc de Triomphe	Aminé
101​	Relationships	HAIM
102​	In Love With A Memory [Ft. Clairo]	SASAMI
103​	Easy Goodbye	Emma Louise & Flume
104​	we never dated	sombr
105​	All Hat No Cattle	Hockey Dad
106​	Don't Go	Old Mervs
107​	Yougotmefeeling	Parcels
108​	Now or Never	Tkandz & CXSPER
109​	Big Thoughts	Wafia
110​	Nokia	Drake
111​	All In	Sycco
112​	Meet Your Maker	DEVAURA
113​	It Gets Better	Kettama
114​	Red Lights	Beddy Rays
115​	Blame It On Me	Larissa Lambert
116​	Cinnamon	BENEE
117​	Second Best	The Last Dinner Party
118​	Feel The Friction	Sam Alfred
119​	Burner Account	Darcie Haven
120​	Crush [Ft. Jorja Smith]	AJ Tracey
121​	Burn It Down	Matt Corby
122​	Dandelion	grentperez
123​	Sally, When The Wine Runs Out	ROLE MODEL
124​	Back To Friends	sombr
125​	Chemistry	Gigi Perez
126​	Alter Ego	Dice
127​	Pavement	Mallrat
128​	Peacekeeper	Baker Boy
129​	Angel of Mine	tobiahs
130​	Pixelated Kisses	Joji
131​	Estimated Delivery	Spacey Jane
132​	million times	Esha Tewari
133​	Infohazard	Ninajirachi
134​	iPod Touch	Ninajirachi
135​	Drifting Away	IsGwan & thndo
136​	Who's Dat!	Drizzz
137​	Divine Feelings	Vance Joy
138​	Post Sex Clarity	Lola Young
139​	Man of the Year	Lorde
140​	I Could Love U	Logan Priest
141​	Please Don't Move To Melbourne	Ball Park Music
142​	THE RECAP (Bootleg Version) [Ft. Mozey]	Kneecap
143​	Nice Shoes	Steve Lacy
144​	Addison Road	Egoism
145​	Tonight	PinkPantheress
146​	FUN!	Kučka
147​	**** My Computer	Ninajirachi
148​	Romeo	PinkPantheress
149​	catch these fists	Wet Leg
150​	Bleed [Ft. Omar Apollo]	Malcolm Todd
151​	Kiss Me Like You're Leaving	Jem Cassar-Daley
152​	Headphones On	Addison Rae
153​	Think About Us	Sonny Fodera, D.O.D & Poppy Baskcomb
154​	Great Pretender	Dominic Fike
155​	Stronger	JACOTÉNE
156​	Raving In The Studio	Aitch & Bou
157​	Doomsday	Darcie Haven
158​	Where You Need To Be	Skin On Skin
159​	In My Head	Chris Lake & Amber Mark
160​	Stateside	PinkPantheress
161​	It's Amazing to Be Young	Fontaines D.C.
162​	Lucky Dimes	The Temper Trap
163​	Arm's Length	Sam Fender
164​	Am I? (Tell Me)	Zafty
165​	Lil' Obsession	BOY SODA
166​	5 Dollar Pony Rides	Mac Miller
167​	Centrelink Summer	Suzi
168​	LCA	The Dare
169​	DEATH CULT ZOMBIE	Genesis Owusu
170​	Bloom Baby Bloom	Wolf Alice
171​	Back Of My Hand	The Belair Lip Bombs
172​	FACEDOWN	Chase Atlantic
173​	WRK	JID
174​	Cry For Me	The Weeknd
175​	LV Bag [Ft. j-hope & Pharrell Williams]	Don Toliver & Speedy
176​	Glum	Hayley Williams
177​	This Is the Killer Speaking	The Last Dinner Party
178​	End of Summer	Tame Impala
179​	Lovesick Lullaby	YUNGBLUD
180​	Distant Strangers [Ft. The Kid LAROI & Imogen Heap]	ONEFOUR
181​	Hurts Anymore	Larissa Lambert
182​	Maybe I'm Just a Freak	The Rions
183​	Make a Move	Lyric
184​	Thirst Trap	Audrey Hobert
185​	Dollar Shop Souvenir	Hannah Brewer
186​	Pocket Rocket	Beddy Rays
187​	Silver Lining	Laufey
188​	Raindance [Ft. Tems]	Dave
189​	See You Again	Old Mervs
190​	Summerinlove	Parcels
191​	A Question Of You	Inhaler
192​	Darlin' [Ft. Sean Paul & Brodie]	Luude
193​	gossip	Confidence Man, JADE
194​	Milk & Honey	Tash Sultana
195​	Sue me	Audrey Hobert
196​	Why'd You Do That?	JACOTÉNE
197​	Coast Is Clear	Ball Park Music
198​	Stay In Your Lane	Courtney Barnett
199​	Romeo (Conan Gray)	Conan Gray
200​	Alter Ego (Evie Irie)	Evie Irie

I think it's done a pretty good job, that top 10 wouldn't be overly surprising to me. At the same time there are some obvious outliers that I imagine perform a lot better than the model predicts.

Yeah, Ball Park Music is way off at 141.

They're probably a sneaky top 20 chance, and a top 50 lock at a minimum.

 

[thewitness]

Yeah, Ball Park Music is way off at 141.

They're probably a sneaky top 20 chance, and a top 50 lock at a minimum.

Yeah that one stands out as a significant outlier.

I know that there is a problem in my prediction with songs released before March and a separate problem with Australian songs released before September, but that said "Don't Move to Melb" actually didn't get a huge amount of airplay on Triple J.

 

[JT_the_Man]

No Warm Tunas this year sadly.

Sunsetting 100 Warm Tunas (for now) | 100 Warm Tunas

The internet’s most accurate predictions of triple j’s Hottest 100, updated daily

100warmtunas.com

 

[TubbsFarquhar]

Man I Need looks to be the early favourite which just seems odd to me.

It's a nice enough song with a good melody, but hardly the type of song the JJJ demographic would vote for given its more adult contemporary sound. It'd be somewhat similar to Adele winning the countdown back in 2011.

Still, there'd be worse winners, and I'd take it over Dancing2 for instance.

 

[DaRenegade]

yeah this year was pretty mid for music tbh, I am definitely way too old coz looking at thewitness list I don’t know half the top 20

would love for Beddys LAV to have a Dune Rats like surge from 2022 and think it’s highly possible as it’s a belter of a cover, think either Tame, Dom Dolla or Olivia Dean wins it