2011 Draft Discussion

[Cap]

sadly, I have zero interest in this years draft

can't see anyone we get actually making it given the reports on the plaer "avaliable at our pick"

Picking up Crouch,Brown et al has pretty much completed my interest in the list rejuvenation.

 

[C4[2]Yo`DooR]

Reported here that Carlton, Gold Coast and Adelaide are all heavily into Jordan Murdoch.

 

[WALL-e]

Chances Crozier will be taken at each pick, should he be available, taking into account what else 'may' be available.

1 GWS – 0%
2 GWS - 0%
3 GWS - 0%
4 GWS - 0%
5 GWS - 0%
6 Port Adel – 0%
7 GWS – 0%
8 Brisbane - 1%
9 GWS – 0%
10 GWS – 0%
11 GWS – 2%
12 Brisbane – 5%
13 GWS - 15%
14 GWS – 20%
15 Richmond – 30%
16 Fremantle - 20%
17 Bulldogs – 60%
18 North Melb – 35%
19 Essendon – 30%
20 Fremantle – 35%
21 Swans - Tom Mitchell (Swans F/S)
22 Carlton – 25%
23 WCE – 35%
24 Gold Coast – 60%
25 St Kilda – 30%
26 Richmond – 65%

PP 27 Adelaide – Chances left, on a statistical basis (though I await Stabby's correction on the matter) is 0.30%

 

[Bockchoy67]

Reported here that Carlton, Gold Coast and Adelaide are all heavily into Jordan Murdoch.

Rendell inches closer to his lifelong dream of a team filled solely with pacy tall utility types.

 

[FAITH]

Little disappointed to hear that Kerridge might be out of our grasp, if the rumours are to be believed, but that could bring its own benefits. Will be very interesting to see what happens tonight.

Bulldogs would be crazy to pass up Crozier though.

Looks like Kerridge will be gone by the time our pick comes up.
Forster/McKenzie/Murdoch still possibilities at 27 though

Ive never seen such a volatile draft in terms of where players may end up.

 

[Mego Red]

I cannot remember being this apathetic towards the draft in a very long time. Pick 27 in a pool that runs 15 players deep. Yay. Wake me up when it's over.

Honestly, I think it will be a miracle if any of our 2011 draftees are still on the team list in 2015. So why get excited about someone who is almost certainly doomed to failure, due to a lack of talent?

Jesus you can be a depressing bastard.

Time to leave Canberra, Vader.

 

[Hank93]

Looks like Kerridge will be gone by the time our pick comes up.
Forster/McKenzie/Murdoch still possibilities at 27 though

Ive never seen such a volatile draft in terms of where players may end up.

Would be really happy with one of those 3.

Murdoch is now my preferred option.

Doesn't look like he would make it to our pick though, with Carlton and Gold Coast seemingly very interested.

 

[Mad Fan of AFL]

Depressing attitude here. I am sure we will find a some good players considering our position. Where would Brown be taken if he was in the draft? Top 15 really?

 

[Wallace]

For shits and giggles, how about doing a closest-to-pin for tonight's draft?

My thoughts:

Pick 27: Nelson
41: Waldhuter
46: Boseley
64: Jaquier

Good idea!

27 - grigg
41 - spurr
46 - Ellis yoleman
64 - Clarke

 

[cammo6556]

For shits and giggles, how about doing a closest-to-pin for tonight's draft?

My thoughts:

Pick 27: Forster
41: Grigg
46: Waldhuter
64: Spurr

My thoughts.... will probably change them prior...

 

[Bockchoy67]

All you blokes are picking south aussies exclusively...you do realise Matt Rendell is in charge, right?

 

[Mad Fan of AFL]

Will Stabby post pick 27, Pick 41 etc, like he does every year or will we just use this thread relating to the draft?

 

[Jars458]

Pick 27: Grigg
41: Spurr
46: Pfeiffer
64: Clarke

 

[Bockchoy67]

Will Stabby post pick 27, Pick 41 etc, like he does every year or will we just use this thread relating to the draft?

Wall-e already made a thread for each pick. They're locked until the draft.

 

[Mad Fan of AFL]

Good idea!

27 - grigg
41 - spurr
46 - Ellis yoleman
64 - Clarke

I dont know that we need to select Spurr at 41. He most likely will be around the mark with our last or around 50 ish where he may go.

 

[Hank93]

Will Stabby post pick 27, Pick 41 etc, like he does every year or will we just use this thread relating to the draft?

There lower down in the adelaide board http://www.bigfooty.com/forum/showthread.php?t=892152, hasn't been opened yet.

 

[Mad Fan of AFL]

There lower down in the adelaide board http://www.bigfooty.com/forum/showthread.php?t=892152, hasn't been opened yet.

Thanks Hdecure

 

[Footypie32]

Emma Quayle has said we are interested in Jimmy Webster at #27. Who is this?

 

[hugecannon]

27 - McKenzie
41 - Grigg
46 - Ellis-Yeoman
64 - Neale

I hope we take Lachie Neale despite his size I truly think he may end up being the bargain buys of this years draft.

 

[Vader]

Yes, I'm depressed at the low probability of us achieving anything vaguely resembling success at the draft table tonight. Rendell's failure with picks in the 30+ range has been highlighted recently - and pick #27 in this year's draft is probably worth pick #50 in any other draft, so no, I am not enthused.

What I am able to do is reconcile myself to the fact that we've already landed the fish we wanted to catch - Crouch & Brown. Everything I've read & seen indicates that Crouch will be that genuine gun we've been missing (recruitment-wise) for the last decade. I don't know as much about Brown, but by all indications he's as good as anything that would have been available at pick #10 in the draft, so "nothing ventured nothing gained".

If both of these players work out, then I will be satisfied that the year's drafting (and trading) was a success, regardless of the inevitable failure of this year's draft crop.

 

[Vader]

All you blokes are picking south aussies exclusively...you do realise Matt Rendell is in charge, right?

Some people never learn, despite the obvious lessons contained in our recent drafting history. They make the same mistakes every year..

 

[WALL-e]

All you blokes are picking south aussies exclusively...you do realise Matt Rendell is in charge, right?

Not to mention Big H is 2IC, both love their TAC boys.

Wall-e already made a thread for each pick. They're locked until the draft.

There lower down in the adelaide board http://www.bigfooty.com/forum/showthread.php?t=892152, hasn't been opened yet.

Thanks for noticing

Emma Quayle has said we are interested in Jimmy Webster at #27. Who is this?

Refer to my 2011 draft preview. I've put him in 2nd round with a chance we go at 27. He's a silky outside mid from tassie. Lovely skills.

 

[Campbell's Chunky]

I hope we get a guy who is good at football. Apart from that I know nothing.

 

[weneverland]

Yes, I'm depressed at the low probability of us achieving anything vaguely resembling success at the draft table tonight. Rendell's failure with picks in the 30+ range has been highlighted recently - and pick #27 in this year's draft is probably worth pick #50 in any other draft, so no, I am not enthused.

I think you are being a little pessimistic. Didn't someone recently post some stats that showed basically that after pick 5 it was just a lottery as to whether the player picked would survive in the AFL. Certainly the chances reduced as the picks went later but the curve pretty well flattened out after pick 20. That being the case I would expect that, just as in previous years, one of our four picks to be around in four years time. Anything more is a bonus.

 

[FAITH]

Would be really happy with one of those 3.

Murdoch is now my preferred option.

Doesn't look like he would make it to our pick though, with Carlton and Gold Coast seemingly very interested.

I think im with you on this one hdecure.
Murdoch-Forster-McKenzie either one really good players. Even Kerridge seems fine.

You never know if GC or Carlt rate just one boy higher thatn Murdoch at their picks he could slip to 27.

I wonder in what order Matt Rendell would have those 4?
If Murdoch/Forster/McKenzie and Kerridge all were available at 27 who would they take, tough choice?

I really hope we end up with a few SA boys.