2016 AFL - Round 14

[targett]

While I was at it I got
Crows tgs u99.5. 1.9
North tgs u84. 1.9
Q1 total u45. 1.9
Q3 total u46.5 1.9
Q4 total u46.5 1.9

TGS 1.93

 

[balmainforever]

OPENING POST UPDATED

ODDS AT 18.20 ON 22/06/16

 

[Spads]

1U Ade -17.5

 

[Jugada]

All over North at the line

+19.5 is getting ridiculous

 

[benji21]

Any opinions on gws the minus against carlton?
They have put better sides to the sword at home!

 

[TheCatsMan]

Any opinions on gws the minus against carlton?
They have put better sides to the sword at home!

I would be very wary if Mumford is still out.

 

[targett]

Any opinions on gws the minus against carlton?
They have put better sides to the sword at home!

GWS have covered 6/6 lines at home @ 276 points difference ranked #1 in the league

Blues have covered 3 non covered 3 lines away @ -17 points difference

 

[Jugada]

Any opinions on gws the minus against carlton?
They have put better sides to the sword at home!

Were flat last week and look in desperate need of the bye for mine. Not a game im interested in tbh

 

[benji21]

Hmm yeah maybe one to miss. But may keep an eye on the teams.

 

[chrisdon16]

Crows North

I might be mistaken but didn't the market opend at 149.5?

 

[Sketi]

Saw the stats posted from the reddit quote, but I looked through the games briefly and it didn't look like too many upsets and split fairly evenly between teams coming off the bye hitting and not hitting the line. I assume you would need more than one year to determine whether it's a trend or just normal variance?

North losing to Gold Coast by 55 and the Swans losing to Richmond at the SCG were a couple of the more noteworthy ones.

I can tell you definitely that the Swans have struggled after the bye in recent years, often losing when faves (except for smashing Geelong but they had come off 3 consecutive 6 day breaks).

Think I got shut down last year in this forum though by folks saying it was just a myth Probably won't be putting my money on results being effected but 50/50 games such as Freo / Pies might help sway me in the tipping.

 

[Robo87]

All over North at the line

+19.5 is getting ridiculous

so this makes the +23.5 line on b365 off the scales? It's there if you want it.

Also like North to kick 11-12 behinds at $140+ odds and 13+ behinds at $201 for each half. Slippery conditions, chance of key players back (if not they've shown kicking terribly isn't an issue regardless last week with 11 behinds in the first half), plus adelaide have allowed 11+ behinds against twice this year (Port and Geelong) so think they're both worth a nibble!

tailed this. & i looked into this some more, North have hit the "7-8 behinds in a half band" 8/26 times this year (the equal most for north, equal with the "5-6 behinds" band) Thats nearly a 1in3 chance to hit the SB odds set at $12 and $11. It seems like reasonable value, put 0.5u on '7-8 behinds' for each half.

 

[X_box_X]

Place a Head to Head bet on Thursday night’s Adelaide vs North Melbourne game and if your team scores 100 points or more but lose, money back up to $50 (on-line account bets only).

LOL.

 

[mookieb]

Place a Head to Head bet on Thursday night’s Adelaide vs North Melbourne game and if your team scores 100 points or more but lose, money back up to $50 (on-line account bets only).

LOL.

If it was Palmerbet it would be 120 points...

 

[chrisdon16]

While I was at it I got
Crows tgs u99.5. 1.9
North tgs u84. 1.9
Q1 total u45. 1.9
Q3 total u46.5 1.9
Q4 total u46.5 1.9

TGS 1.93

What time was this?! I literally was updating sportsbet every minute before they posted the totals on Monday at 1:30

 

[Parko31]

$40 for Sloane/Thomas 30disposals/3goals is way overs!
Only going to out a little bit on as its raining and Rory has only hit 30 touches twice this year but he is in form and hit 29 last week

 

[Parko31]

2U North over 7.5 goals @$1.88
I know it's gonna be wet but the lowest haul North have had all year is 9 goals. 7.5 is only 2 a qtr

 

[targett]

Place a Head to Head bet on Thursday night’s Adelaide vs North Melbourne game and if your team scores 100 points or more but lose, money back up to $50 (on-line account bets only).

LOL.

A claytons special

 

[free at last]

North @ +25.5 is looking worthy IMO

Now +28.5pts WTF is going on?

 

[benji21]

North @ +25.5 is looking worthy IMO

Now +28.5pts WTF is going on?

I think the rain is mean't to die off towards the evening. Unless there is a thunderstorm. Maybe people reacting to that?

 

[targett]

North @ +25.5 is looking worthy IMO

Now +28.5pts WTF is going on?

Looks like the predicted rain has eased off.no way near the amount coming now

 

[iluvparis]

North losing to Gold Coast by 55 and the Swans losing to Richmond at the SCG were a couple of the more noteworthy ones.

I can tell you definitely that the Swans have struggled after the bye in recent years, often losing when faves (except for smashing Geelong but they had come off 3 consecutive 6 day breaks).

Think I got shut down last year in this forum though by folks saying it was just a myth Probably won't be putting my money on results being effected but 50/50 games such as Freo / Pies might help sway me in the tipping.

Pretty sure Lensen has stats to suggest that since byes came back its a myth

 

[jaymasha]

Looks like the predicted rain has eased off.no way near the amount coming now

checking the radar, the rain is moving east, doesn't seem like there's any more following after the current band.

 

[free at last]

Looks like the predicted rain has eased off.no way near the amount coming now

There should still be a lot of rain looking at the recent SAT image,massive amount of speckled cloud to the SW of Adelaide.

Cold and showery afternoon/evening coming up IMO.

 

[benji21]

There should still be a lot of rain looking at the recent SAT image,massive amount of speckled cloud to the SW of Adelaide.

Cold and showery afternoon/evening coming up IMO.

They have been talking about snow for the past few days here. Haven't even seen hail yet