2016 AFL - Round 20

[balmainforever]

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Richmond |$2.60|$2.64|$2.50|$2.45|$2.70|$2.60
\Collingwood |$1.50|$1.49|$1.50|$1.52|$1.47|$1.50
\|line:**.5|line:12.5|line:**.5|line:12.5|line:13.5|line:12.5
\total score:|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Sydney |$1.22|$1.23|$1.24|$1.22|$*.**|$1.24
\Port Adelaide|$4.35|$4.20|$3.75|$4.00|$*.**|$4.00
\|line:**.5|line:26.5|line:**.5|line:25.5|line:**.5|line:25.5
\total score:|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Melbourne|$4.60|$5.30|$5.30|$5.00|$5.25|$5.25
\Hawthorn |$1.20|$1.16|$1.14|$1.15|$1.16|$1.16
\|line:**.5|line:31.5|line:**.5|line:32.5|line:32.5|line:32.5
\total score:|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Gold Coast|$6.25|$7.00|$5.00|$6.00|$6.25|$6.00
\G-W Sydney |$1.12|$1.10|$1.15|$1.11|$1.12|$1.12
\|line:**.5|line:40.5|line:**.5|line:40.5|line:40.5|line:40.5
\total score:|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\West.Bulldogs |$2.00|$2.01|$1.95|$1.95|$2.00|$2.00
\North Melb.|$1.80|$1.80|$1.80|$1.80|$1.82|$1.80
\|line:**.5|line:2.5|line:**.5|line:2.5|line:1.5|line:2.5
\total score:|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Adelaide|$1.01|$1.01|$1.01|$1.01|$*.**|$1.01
\Brisbane|$17.00|$21.00|$15.00|$13.00|$**.**|$17.00
\|line:**.5|line:75.5|line:**.5|line:76.5|line:**.5|line:74.5
\total score:|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Carlton|$2.45|$2.51|$2.50|$2.45|$2.60|$2.50
\St.Kilda|$1.55|$1.53|$1.50|$1.52|$1.50|$1.52
\|line:**.5|line:10.5|line:**.5|line:11.5|line:12.5|line:11.5
\total score:|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Geelong|$1.01|$1.01|$1.02|$1.01|$*.**|$1.01
\Essendon|$17.00|$21.00|$13.00|$13.00|$**.**|$17.00
\|line:**.5|line:68.5|line:**.5|line:62.5|line:**.5|line:**.5
\total score:|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Fremantle |$4.00|$4.10|$4.50|$4.25|$*.**|$4.00
\West Coast |$1.25|$1.24|$1.18|$1.20|$*.**|$1.24
\|line:**.5|line:25.5|line:**.5|line:28.5|line:**.5|line:**.5
\total score:|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5|***.5

ODDS AT 23.40 ON 31/07/16

 

[Pies n Punt]

At this stage liking the pies at $1.50 vs the tiges.

 

[benji21]

Like pies, syd and saints

 

[TheJanuaryMan]

line multi of coll, hawks, gold coast, north melb, st k and west coast.

 

[free at last]

North at the line...North are back to defending like they were in rounds 1-9.The dogs lost two more gun mids on the weekend,too many injuries now IMO.

 

[benji21]

2U pies and saints the line

 

[STANDBYHIRD12]

Pies, Hawks, GWS, North, Adelaide, Geelong @ $3.38- $105 (SBET)

 

[Zevon]

Hey guys, been lingering around the forums for a while but haven't posted until now.

Anyone keen on Melbourne +34.5 (tab)? They struggled to beat the Suns yesterday but the line is smaller elsewhere and it seems like the Hawks are just interested in four points at the minute, just doing enough rather than shooting for percentage boosting wins when they're already two games clear on top. Melbourne did ok against them in the earlier meeting this year as well. Thoughts?

 

[chrisdon16]

Sydney/Port-U176.5
Melbourne/Hawthorn-U180.5
Fremantle/West Coast-U167.5

 

[MowShow]

I'd be wary of a Saints drop off now that they're "officially" out of finals contention.

Also I've written off the Dogs at several times this year and they seem to manage to always be competitive. Don't think they'll win but North straight up looks like the play here at decent odds. Rather than taking the line.

Collingwood definitely the most appealing at this stage.

 

[free at last]

Sydney/Port-U176.5
Melbourne/Hawthorn-U180.5
Fremantle/West Coast-U167.5

I like all of those bets Ch16...I reckon you'll bounce back hard this week!

 

[Zevon]

Sydney/Port-U176.5
Melbourne/Hawthorn-U180.5
Fremantle/West Coast-U167.5

I like all 3 of these, but especially Sydney/Port given a less than stellar weather forecast up here leading into the weekend.

 

[chrisdon16]

Carlton/St.Kilda-U171.5

 

[chrisdon16]

I like all 3 of these, but especially Sydney/Port given a less than stellar weather forecast up here leading into the weekend.

Only a shower (20% chance) forecast in Sydney on Saturday, hopefully more are forecast though

 

[benji21]

4U freo/wce 150 or less @3.60
With the weather expected. This price seems a little high

 

[chrisdon16]

4U freo/wce 150 or less @3.60
With the weather expected. This price seems a little high

Showers only in morning. Remember, it's a twilight game, 4:40 kick off Perth time. That's a big chunk of time for the rain to clear but, I like the bet anyway, and hopefully the ground is wet or more rain forecast leading up to Sunday

 

[Lensen]

2.40 perth time

 

[chrisdon16]

2.40 perth time

Ah yes, I stand corrected

 

[free at last]

Showers only in morning. Remember, it's a twilight game, 4:40 kick off Perth time. That's a big chunk of time for the rain to clear but, I like the bet anyway, and hopefully the ground is wet or more rain forecast leading up to Sunday

The three weather models I look at to see if rain is a strong chance are conflicting with each other....The U.S. and the European models are in agreement of rain showers throughout the day in Perth.The Bureau of meteorology is showing rain showers earlier in the day and then again closer to nightfall!

There will be definitely a good amount of precipitation occurring in Perth this weekend,still to far out to know with any confidence of when.

 

[puntking]

saints pies and north all good value imo

 

[free at last]

Showers only in morning. Remember, it's a twilight game, 4:40 kick off Perth time. That's a big chunk of time for the rain to clear but, I like the bet anyway, and hopefully the ground is wet or more rain forecast leading up to Sunday

BOM is now forecasting 70% chance of showers for Sunday in Perth,6-10mm...All weather models are now pretty much agreeing now too.

 

[chrisdon16]

BOM is now forecasting 70% chance of showers for Sunday in Perth,6-10mm...All weather models are now pretty much agreeing now too.

Nice

 

[aFiimOnz]

Just a few disposal bets for me this week, I only use Sportsbet. I was looking at singles on the first two and might multi the last two with something.

• Grant Birchil > 25 Disp v Melbourne @ 1.80
  • Hit 9/18 times this year
  • 25 + in 4/5 in last 5 games
  • 25+ in 5/8 games vs melbourne since 2010
• Stephan Coniglio > 30 Disp v Gold Coast @ 1.57
  • Hit 10/17 games this year
  • 30 + in 4/5 in last 5 games.
• Isaac Smith > 20 Disp v Melbourne @ 1.25
  • 20+ in 15/18 Games this year
  • 20+ 1/4 times vs Melbourne (twice hitting 19disp)
  • 20+ in 5/5 in last 5 games
• Jordan Lewis > 25 Disp @ 1.22
  • 25 disp in his last 9 in a row
  • 25+ in 5/5 in last 5 games
  • 25+ in 14/18 games this year.
  • Hit 4/5 times vs melbourne since 2010

 

[freo_leo29]

Just a few disposal bets for me this week, I only use Sportsbet. I was looking at singles on the first two and might multi the last two with something.

• Grant Birchil > 25 Disp v Melbourne @ 1.80
  • Hit 9/18 times this year
  • 25 + in 4/5 in last 5 games
  • 25+ in 5/8 games vs melbourne since 2010
• Stephan Coniglio > 30 Disp v Gold Coast @ 1.57
  • Hit 10/17 games this year
  • 30 + in 4/5 in last 5 games.
• Isaac Smith > 20 Disp v Melbourne @ 1.25
  • 20+ in 15/18 Games this year
  • 20+ 1/4 times vs Melbourne (twice hitting 19disp)
  • 20+ in 5/5 in last 5 games
• Jordan Lewis > 25 Disp @ 1.22
  • 25 disp in his last 9 in a row
  • 25+ in 5/5 in last 5 games
  • 25+ in 14/18 games this year.
  • Hit 4/5 times vs melbourne since 2010

Just a tip but i would wait for the player exotics markets for most of those as you will probaby get much better odds, especially if you shop around (Tab, Tabtouch, Crown, Lux, Unibet, Sportsbet)

 

[Pies n Punt]

Looking ahead to next round I like the roos to upset the hawkers winning streak SU at $3.45. 21.5 start I think is a very good bet, I think the hawks will get rolled. Melbourne are a funny team too, wouldn't be surprised to see them beat the hawks. Wouldn't be surprised to see them get demolished either.

My money's on north next week though to end the hawkers good run.

Dogs 1.60 vs the pies also.

GWS 1.36 home to west coast. Should get their first ever win vs the terrible eagles.