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- Dec 14, 2015
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- 73,289
- AFL Club
- Essendon
- Moderator
- #1
So you're probably aware of the spreadsheets I keep posting everywhere. Well this will be something of a home for it I guess.
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Was replying to this in the expectations thread but I think it's better served over here.
Dropping Stanton and Kelly (and presumably Baguley) from the backline would leave us with Gleeson, McKenna, McGrath, McNiece (R) and one of Jerrett or Morgan. That's a fairly unaccountable set of players with no-one to really direct them into position except Hurley. The last two don't even do consistently well in the VFL, so it'd be the gift of all gifts to be playing either of them over the old guys.
Watson and Hocking, well presumably Myers comes in for Watson. Hocking wasn't playing anyway except for one game when Green and Howlett both had injuries. Bird is 28, so I doubt he comes in for a youth policy. So some combination of Goddard? (how far are we taking this youth policy?), Zerrett, Heppell, Parish, Zaharakis, Colyer, Langford, Mutch and Clarke. I know you don't like Colyer but he is far from the first player I'd be dropping. If he's not accountable enough then play him forward (apparently that gets you a free pass for two-way running).
Howlett is essentially a small forward, he's only played one game so far and that was to cover injury (and then got injured himself). I guess they could bring Begley in instead. The forward line is pretty settled compared to the rest of the ground.
Not sure what any of them will learn if the opposition are going from the centre circle to the goals in a matter of seconds though.
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While I understand the sentiment I do feel that simply dropping a host of older players simultaneously is a bit rash; it presumes these guys have nothing to offer. The mantra that we should simply play the kids also has its risks. We're mediocre now - if we only played the kids we'd be back to the same situation as last year only the quality youngsters we have don't have the experience of the older players to learn from in real match conditions. Instead we have an inexperienced team that simply loses a lot. I'm not saying that we shouldn't turn players over, of course we should. But it should certainly be a measured approach that we take. Also, a lot of people seem to be expecting that the older players should be playing at the same pace and skill level as they did before the ban. I'm not willing to write them off that quickly. There's a lot of footy and a lot of possessions to have before they really hit their straps again. These older players can help the youngers more easily adapt to Woosha's gameplan.I voted "We're too sentimental, gotta be ruthless." But the club royally ruined some of these guys careers and we owe them a year of AFL game time at minimum for what we did to them. This year was always going to be a payback/transition year and nothing more. Worsfold essentially gets two mulligans which is fine by me.
As much as I love Watson, Stanton, Hocking etc they are just not good enough anymore, and will rightfully/unfortunately be shown the door come seasons end.
Worsfold will move them on and he owes them nothing, he didn't get them into this mess but he is giving them an honorary end to their careers which they ALL deserve.
Being a Falcons fan, we fired our coach at the end of 2014 and had a huge overhaul of players since and made the Superbowl (that we should have won) in his 2nd year.
This was done by cutting the players that didn't fit his ideal team makeup, obviously you cannot just cut players in the AFL like you can American sports but the Falcons team of 2016 had 18~ out of 53 players still on the team 2 years removed from the last regime.
Bottom line, a new coach needs time to get players that suit his gameplan and Worsfold has not yet been fully afforded that luxury.
I'd predict an increase in unverifiable pressure acts.Drop Green for a mid and see how Zaka does as a small forward.
Well written post.Selections
I don't get what Dea brings and i feel we're rushing McKenna because we did that last year out of necessity and aren't sure if sending him back to VFL will sting him and stutter his development.
Other than, the selections haven't bugged me too much. Will be a test and learn year with our line up.
Defence
I don't mind the current backline. I feel we shouldn't be so concrete in the decision that Hooker is a forward when we need a better defender to sure up games. Hogan goes back. As did Gunston & Roughead. And Riewoldt.
Hartley & Hurley, plus Hooker when needed, is solid for the talls.
McGrath - godsend.
McNiece looks like Baguley Mk2.
Ambrose is a loss. Reckon we're 2 games better had he not injured himself, plus another game had Hartley played against Carlton.
I have impatience for Ridley. Really liked him as a kid. His injury was shattering. I reckon he'd be close to best 22 by midseason had it not happened.
Development : Need to work out what role Gleeson will play and whether he is a viable defensive option. Happy to sit and wait for McKenna and Morgan to continue to develop.
Recruiting: Would love another lock down defender (Luke Brown) and a rebounder (Jones, Wigg).
Midfield
Story of effort vs the list talent. I think we are ok for talent. Wouldn't mind another couple of inside types who can tackle and clear the ball as our best options aren't exactly young.
Parish is showing 2nd year blues. Merrett has been off his best. I wonder how much they have taken a step back with the older boys back. Would love Heppell to embrace their leadership and knowledge from 2016 and have them supported by the experience of Heppell, Watson, Goddard and Myers, rather than dictated too.
Loving more Goddard on the ball.
Zaka needs a new role imo as well. Something to change it up and get him focused and playing with intent. Runs around with too little output these days.
Our ruck stocks concern me. Slow, zero presence and offer little defensively or offensively.
Development: Sooner we get more time into Langford and Laverde in there, the better. Same applies to Francis. Reckon he could give Oliver a run for his money if he had the tank (funnily enough the same thing Oliver was missing early on).
Recruiting: Brodie Grundy would top the list for me. He's mobile, has excellent work rate around the ground, and acts as another midfielder. The modern game is about more than good tap work and then lumbering around.
Rate a signing like Grundy over Hopper/Fyfe for us. We have kids getting ready to step into the midfield. We have nothing coming through rucks short of a project kid in Draper.
Forward
Funnily enough, after years of hating it, i like it.
I like Hooker up forward, though shouldn't be averse to sending him back when needed (see above).
I called Green a passenger on Anzac Day. From that point, he has certainly proven he plays a role.
Tippa & Fanta have been excellent. Cant knock either.
We are better with a third tall. When Francis is in, or McKernan is rucking and he goes down there, we have the room the rest of the forwards seem to like.
Less Langford and Laverde here. They may look comfortable there, but they are potentially the answer to our needs in the middle for clearance/quality ball user mids.
Keen to see Stewart get a run as FF and Hooker play back to see if the option is viable when the need arises.
Development: Begley is the one here. Love the idea of Begley and Francis swapping time on the ball with time in forward 50, or even Begs forward and Francis back.
Recruitment: Short of Tom Lynch coming up for sale, nothing. The smalls are young enough and i think we can cover the loss of one of Tippa/Green/Fanta with Zaka/Colyer/Parish helping out. even McGrath getting a bit more forward.
Shorter version:
Drop Dea.
Play McKenna in VFL
Hooker forward or back? Why not both based on need
Need a ruck more than anything else
Langford/Laverde = midfielders
Begley/Francis = proper utilities
McNiece = Bags Mk2.
Small forwards good
Could do with a small and medium defender
Find a new role for Zaka
Find a role for Gleeson
Shopping list:
Tom Lynch (if available)
Brodie Grundy
Luke Brown
Harrison Wigg
Drop Green for a mid and see how Zaka does as a small forward.
Once Langford returns (possibly this week) to afl, perhaps he can go in for a bit before laverde returnsWell written post.
I know theirs only so many midfield roles at VFL level but I would really like for Begley to get more minutes before the years out.
He's playing that awkward Langford role of playing half forward that drifts through the middle. He looks to me like a player that hunts the ball and needs time on ball.
I hope so.Once Langford returns (possibly this week) to afl, perhaps he can go in for a bit before laverde returns
I must be watching the wrong players. Luey looks like Jane and plays like princess laya. I know bellchambers is a show pony pretty boy but I reckon by the end of the year he will offer far more in terms of hitouts than either of the other 2. At least he can jump more than 3cm off the ground which luey can't.Bellchambers is the least physical of the trio. He's a look like ken play like barbie kind of big man. Bellchambers is useless at ground level whereas McKernan and Leuenberger are ok at this. Bellchambers doesn't tackle - Leuenberger and McKernan are big tacklers. Bellchambers is the better mark of the trio. Leuenberger has the best aerobic fitness of the trio. Leuenberger is the worst forward of the trio.
My opinion is:
Leuenberger can only play ruck and is a first ruck.
Bellchambers doesn't have the tank to play four quarters consistently as a number one ruck but is too immobile to be a 2nd ruck - so he's just a backup ruckman for mine.
McKernan also cannot cope with playing four quarters of ruck so isn't a number one ruckman, he is very mobile and capable in multiple roles so is a decent 2nd ruckman option.
If we play only one ruckman I'm going with leuy. If we play two it's leuy and smack.
Neither choice is that exciting tbh.I must be watching the wrong players. Luey looks like Jane and plays like princess laya. I know bellchambers is a show pony pretty boy but I reckon by the end of the year he will offer far more in terms of hitouts than either of the other 2. At least he can jump more than 3cm off the ground which luey can't.
Sink or swim, bitchNeither choice is that exciting tbh.
I'm starting to think we just upgrade Draper and throw him to the wolves.
Yeah but he's crap in the ruck and does nothing up forward as a second ruck. He's literally had half a good year at AFL level amongst 7 and a half years of crapI believe we should be playing McKernan, either as starting ruckman (with Daniher for support, as Worsfold seems to prefer), or as backup ruckman and resting 3rd tall forward.
He offers us so much more around the ground than Bellchambers and Leuenberger.