AFL 2018 - AFL Round 18

[Robo87]

Jumping on Wallis ATGS again 1u @2.40 SB. (kicked 1+ goals in 10/12 games)

(also WC win into Wallis ATGS SGM pays @3.00)
0.5u SGM - Wc 1-39,gaff 30pos, Kennedy MGgrp1, Wallis atgs @19.75 SB
0.5u SGM - Wc 1-39,macrae 30pos, Kennedy MGgrp1, Wallis atgs @16.25 SB

 

[chrisdon16]

Hawks have got a horrible team in. Missing Rioli, Sicily, O'Meara, McEvoy, and Burgoyne.

Won't make a difference U17s

 

[lids2richo]

Hawks have got a horrible team in. Missing Rioli, Sicily, O'Meara, McEvoy, and Burgoyne.

Can you really say they're "missing" someone who's retired?

 

[langdon19]

Scores headed up those looking to middle
Just dropped a bit on lb O141.5 $1.95
Instantly went suspended and went up

 

[demon_fanatic]

Scores headed up those looking to middle
Just dropped a bit on lb O141.5 $1.95
Instantly went suspended and went up

oh wow jeez jumped to 144.5 ubet.. i have middled 150 of the 300 at 142.5 neds... not a good sign the totals going up 3-4 points... one good eagles qtr of goals and the 150.5 will be burnt lol.. ill ride the other 150 on unders.. EDIT: FORGOT to check betting club found 141.5 there still $1.90 so 50 more on the overs .

 

[langdon19]

162-141 nice middle

 

[chrisdon16]

Hawks -65.5 live at HT?! Books are way off with that IMO

 

[chrisdon16]

Line should be around 80 IMO

 

[GROTTO]

Line should be around 80 IMO

Carlton just making 100% sure that the Number 1 draft pick is theirs.

Tanking has been in place for a while.

 

[demon_fanatic]

total is surging... up to 148.5 ladbrokes despite rain still definately around.. confusing move.

 

[langdon19]

total is surging... up to 148.5 ladbrokes despite rain still definately around.. confusing move.

Hasn't rained in hours.

 

[demon_fanatic]

Hasn't rained in hours.

oh ok the radar is deceptive then on bom.gov.au.

 

[Spads]

Hasn't rained in hours.

Sun is currently out. Rain on the radar looks minimal and will be passing showers anyway.

 

[langdon19]

oh ok the radar is deceptive then on bom.gov.au.

You can monitor the falls on willyweather
I watch bom radar for incomming rain

 

[Robo87]

1 Minute in and i can Tick Wallis off! You beauty!!

 

[langdon19]

1 Minute in and i can Tick Wallis off! You beauty!!

Tailed, just need Wc to win
Cheers

 

[Spads]

1 Minute in and i can Tick Wallis off! You beauty!!

23 seconds in.

 

[RooTed]

Line should be around 80 IMO

Ur on fire atm. Blues u65 no worries too. I took uTGS on it and missed but eagles helping me for game o142.5 at this point. Need gws to finish a good weekend.


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[chrisdon16]

St. Kilda +39.5
STK/RIC - u174.5
Gold Coast +63.5
Fremantle +39.5
ESS/FRE - o157.5
Brisbane +11.5
Melbourne +12.5
GEE/MEL - o160.5
Hawthorn -36.5
Carlton u65.5

R18: 9-1-0 +7.19u
YTD: 74-59-0 +7.93u
O/A: 274-209-0 +38.47u

Hawks live at HT was the cherry, also got on Hawks o105.5 at HT too (can screen shot it). Been a bit of a rollercoaster so far this season so nice to hit some winners.

 

[SterlingArcher]

St. Kilda +39.5
STK/RIC - u174.5
Gold Coast +63.5
Fremantle +39.5
ESS/FRE - o157.5
Brisbane +11.5
Melbourne +12.5
GEE/MEL - o160.5
Hawthorn -36.5
Carlton u65.5

R18: 9-1-0 +7.19u
YTD: 74-59-0 +7.93u
O/A: 274-209-0 +38.47u

Hawks live at HT was the cherry, also got on Hawks o105.5 at HT too (can screen shot it). Been a bit of a rollercoaster so far this season so nice to hit some winners.

Well done, there's some nice hits in there.

 

[mookieb]

Looks a good round for betting and got on a few early in the week:

Geel -7.5. 21-0 at Skilled (excluding Syd). Been far superior in big games than Melbourne who are starting to lose some quality (Hibberd, Lever, Viney) at the time Geel gets some back (Henderson, Menzel).

Coll -11.5. Both teams haven't really gone well against top 8 teams, but Coll has been superior on the season and i'm keen to oppose NM who haven't really impressed over the last 5 games. They don't have the depth to cover the loss of Wood, Waite and Jacobs and lost to a depleted Syd despite days out from Majak (4 goals) and Ziebell (5 goals).

StK +39.5. In good form and at ES. Won't win but should cover that line with Rich missing a few key players.

Ade -5.5. Got Bris horribly wrong last week, but I feel a drop in intensity is coming after 3 big weeks. I expect Ade to kick on with confidence from their great win so they should cover with a finals spot on the line. With players back starting to look like the team that made the GF last year.

WC -40.5. Think WC are the bet of the round coming off a great win vs WB with a dispirited 2nd half against Melb. WB typically get pumped against good teams and WC should have a field day except the weather looks not good and i'll have to reassess closer to game time.

GWS +11.5 + H2H. Really hoping that Gray is a late out after all he was knocked cold. Jonas and Ryder missing so a fair bit of upper end talent if all 3 don't play against a team playing pretty well.

Cashed out GC +53.5 when Martin and Swallow pulled out.

Cashed out Hawks -38.5 when Sicily and O'Meara pulled out.

Cashed out half my WC -38.5 with the forecast of heavy rain.

Lost O157.5 and U166.5 middle by a goal in the last 2 minutes.

Lost the Syd / GC overs when teams kicked 20. 32.

With a minute to go I switched from watching the Bris / Ade game to the Geel game (I had Ade -5.5) with Ade up by 10 points and having a shot at goal from 30m out. Bris kick a goal in the final seconds.

Be careful - i'm on GWS.

 

[chrisdon16]

Cashed out GC +53.5 when Martin and Swallow pulled out.

Cashed out Hawks -38.5 when Sicily and O'Meara pulled out.

Cashed out half my WC -38.5 with the forecast of heavy rain.

Lost O157.5 and U166.5 middle by a goal in the last 2 minutes.

Lost the Syd / GC overs when teams kicked 20. 32.

With a minute to go I switched from watching the Bris / Ade game to the Geel game (I had Ade -5.5) with Ade up by 10 points and having a shot at goal from 30m out. Bris kick a goal in the final seconds.

Be careful - i'm on GWS.

Brutal mate know how you feel

 

[demon_fanatic]

Cashed out GC +53.5 when Martin and Swallow pulled out.

Cashed out Hawks -38.5 when Sicily and O'Meara pulled out.

Cashed out half my WC -38.5 with the forecast of heavy rain.

Lost O157.5 and U166.5 middle by a goal in the last 2 minutes.

Lost the Syd / GC overs when teams kicked 20. 32.

With a minute to go I switched from watching the Bris / Ade game to the Geel game (I had Ade -5.5) with Ade up by 10 points and having a shot at goal from 30m out. Bris kick a goal in the final seconds.

Be careful - i'm on GWS.

Yeh I cashed out my under 150.5 when 4 early goals in wc vs wb n both teams playing direct.. beveridge has decided no more 2nd half blowouts so we get 5 goals in two qtrs combined..not even gunna hit my over 141.5 now,live total was up at 172.5 -175.5l late1st qtr, bloody joke.

 

[demon_fanatic]

Darling great kick..Johanisson drops a sitter in front of goal..f this , edit: thank god the over at least hit n I hit a few late middles 141.5 bclub to 147.5 crown n 148.5 pbet..bit annoyed bout cashing out the 300 b365 bet on under 150.5 for $163 but 4 goals in first 8 mins of game ,I wasn't thinking the 2nd n 3rd be so putrid, could of been worse if lecras didn't get late goal and over 141.5 missed

 

[mookieb]

Brutal mate know how you feel

Good finish with GWS and WC, but missed some opportunities this week.

I consider myself unlucky with the Ade pick (last minute goal, bad umpiring, Ade injuries and the last second goal), can't blame myself for the Geel selection and had a good read on the remainder of games except StK which I probably should have avoided.

Well done on a good week.