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AFL 2018 - AFL Round 19

Who Covers the Line This week?


  • Total voters
    35
  • Poll closed .

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Jones will be out next week for swans..pies 2.25 next week looks good even minus de goey.... Bloody orazio had 2 set shots late to get the 2 foal pointsbet special
 

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I know I’m jumping the gun here but $1.75 Swans vs $2.05 Collingwood Round 20 has to swap by next week with Jones gone and Franklin with a big question mark!!
 
I know I’m jumping the gun here but $1.75 Swans vs $2.05 Collingwood Round 20 has to swap by next week with Jones gone and Franklin with a big question mark!!
I jumped the gun last week. Got Coll +7,5 and 40+ at $11. Swans are shot. 34 scoring shots to 16 which is the same sort of trend from the last month.
 

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Putting a unit on WB/PA u147.5 (SB NEDS $1.90)

Got the game at 150.5, but forecast is terrible for Ballarat on sunday inciuding the possibility of hail in the avo. Can't see this game cracking 130 if the forecast holds up.
 
1.5u Sloane 6+ tackles @1.80 WH (averaging 7+ tackles in 2017 (&'16), should go close to that by end of 2018 too imo.)
I'm continuing this.
1u Sloane 6+ tackles @1.85 WH (hasnt gone under 7 tackles in last 4 games)
1u Oliver 6+ tackles @1.60 WH (ave 6.9 tackles)
& if its wet/slippery, tackles should be up. Though Im not sure what time the "showers at night" are expected yet..


Without T.Lynch, GC's next highest averaging GS's are Young and Sexton, against the Blues I like either of them for 2g+ but better value's in Sexton.
1u Sexton 2g+ @2.75 lads
0.3u Sexton 3g+ @7.5 lads
0.5u Young 2g+ @2.25 lads
if anyone likes the blues, C.Curnow 2g+ is also @1.95 lads
 
I'm continuing this.
1u Sloane 6+ tackles @1.85 WH (hasnt gone under 7 tackles in last 4 games)
1u Oliver 6+ tackles @1.60 WH (ave 6.9 tackles)
& if its wet/slippery, tackles should be up. Though Im not sure what time the "showers at night" are expected yet..


Without T.Lynch, GC's next highest averaging GS's are Young and Sexton, against the Blues I like either of them for 2g+ but better value's in Sexton.
1u Sexton 2g+ @2.75 lads
0.3u Sexton 3g+ @7.5 lads
0.5u Young 2g+ @2.25 lads
if anyone likes the blues, C.Curnow 2g+ is also @1.95 lads

Sloane into $1.60 when I went to copy so good get with those odds.

Like the value of Sexton and Young too.

Just if anyone else looks into the goalscorer bets - Young is $4 for 3+ goals on Bet365, and odds for Peter Wright 2+ and 3+ goals are much better at Bet365 too ($2.33 and $5.50 for 2 and 3 at Bet365 respectively, compared to $1.90 and $3.50 at Lads). As far as I can tell otherwise Lads has better value.
 
Mitch Wallis $6 for 2+ goals and $26 for 3+ goals at Bet365.

Kicked 2+ 3 of his last 6. Kicked 3+ 2 of his last 6.

$1.67 for anytime goal scorer on Sportsbet with goals kicked 11/13 times this year.

I know there was talk earlier in this thread about the margins on GS bets for betting companies but still seems reasonable here. Clearly playing forward a lot more but still $6 for 2 goals in a team with a wonky forward line...
 

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Mitch Wallis $6 for 2+ goals and $26 for 3+ goals at Bet365.

Kicked 2+ 3 of his last 6. Kicked 3+ 2 of his last 6.

$1.67 for anytime goal scorer on Sportsbet with goals kicked 11/13 times this year.

I know there was talk earlier in this thread about the margins on GS bets for betting companies but still seems reasonable here. Clearly playing forward a lot more but still $6 for 2 goals in a team with a wonky forward line...
Kicked 1 in the first minute last week and then went missing. Will follow this again this week though
 

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