AFL 2018 - AFL Round 6

[balmainforever]

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\West.Bulldogs |$1.43|$1.43|$1.43|$1.42|$1.45|$1.44
\Carlton |$2.90|$2.90|$2.90|$2.95|$2.85|$2.80
\|line:15.5|line:15.5|line:15.5|line:16.5|line:15.5|line:15.5
\total score:|171.5|171.5|171.5|170.5|170.5|171.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Geelong |$1.53|$1.43|$1.40|$1.42|$1.45|$1.44
\Sydney |$2.90|$2.90|$2.95|$2.95|$2.85|$2.80
\|line:15.5|line:16.5|line:16.5|line:16.5|line:15.5|line:15.5
\total score:|168.5|165.5|165.5|165.5|165.5|166.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\North Melb. |$2.40|$2.55|$2.50|$2.40|$2.50|$2.45
\Port Adelaide |$1.60|$1.53|$1.52|$1.60|$1.56|$1.56
\|line:9.5|line:11.5|line:11.5|line:9.5|line:11.5|line:10.5
\total score:|179.5|180.5|180.5|180.5|179.5|180.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\G-W Sydney |$1.11|$1.13|$1.13|$1.12|$1.14|$1.11
\Brisbane |$7.00|$6.40|$6.00|$6.75|$6.25|$6.75
\|line:38.5|line:36.5|line:36.5|line:38.5|line:36.5|line:39.5
\total score:|160.5|158.5|158.5|157.5|159.5|160.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Hawthorn |$1.38|$1.36|$1.36|$1.40|$1.38|$1.37
\St.Kilda |$3.15|$3.20|$3.20|$3.05|$3.20|$3.15
\|line:17.5|line:19.5|line:18.5|line:17.5|line:18.5|line:18.5
\total score:|175.5|177.5|176.5|174.5|173.5|175.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Adelaide |$1.07|$1.11|$1.10|$1.08|$1.08|$1.08
\Gold Coast |$9.00|$7.00|$7.00|$8.50|$9.00|$8.00
\|line:47.5|line:49.5|line:46.5|line:47.5|line:46.5|line:48.5
\total score:|179.5|181.5|180.5|182.5|183.5|180.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Essendon |$2.00|$1.84|$2.00|$1.95|$1.95|$1.95
\Melbourne |$1.85|$1.97|$1.80|$1.90|$1.90|$1.86
\|line:M2.5|line:E1.5|line:M2.5|line:M1.5|line:E1.5|line:M1.5
\total score:|185.5|184.5|184.5|183.5|185.5|185.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Collingwood |$2.75|$2.70|$2.60|$2.70|$2.75|$2.75
\Richmond |$1.47|$1.49|$1.50|$1.49|$1.48|$1.46
\|line:13.5|line:14.5|line:12.5|line:13.5|line:13.5|line:14.5
\total score:|172.5|170.5|170.5|170.5|170.5|172.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Fremantle |$2.45|$2.20|$2.30|$2.30|$2.30|$2.25
\West Coast |$1.58|$1.70|$1.62|$1.65|$1.65|$1.65
\|line:9.5|line:6.5|line:8.5|line:8.5|line:7.5|line:7.5
\total score:|173.5|173.5|173.5|172.5|171.5|173.5

ODDS AT 23.00 ON 26/4/18

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Don't mind the prices for Fremantle, Carlton (not as if the dogs are great and they are coming back from WA) and North.

St Kilda might be worth a dabble at that price too. Hawks looked pretty ordinary yesterday minus Cyril and Puopolo.

 

[mookieb]

Best value for me seems to be WC.

IMO they have a significantly more experienced and superior team which in the pressure of a derby should be telling. Won both matchups easily last year. Far more scoring power in attack. Sandilands normal ruck dominance should be nullified somewhat by Nic Nat / Lycett double team. Hill and Tabener likely to miss for Freo.

Biggest dangers for WC are Walters, but he is likely to countered by a great player in Sheppard and of course Fyfe who might be tagged by Hutchings. Teams were very successful last round in curtailing prime movers (Mitchell, Kennedy, Zorko).

With the intensity of a derby and Freo playing 5 rookies and other youngsters I can see them struggling to match WC in intensity.

 

[chrisdon16]

North +15.5

 

[DylanR]

I like Geelong v Swans under 177.5 (lads)

 

[mookieb]

I like Geelong v Swans under 177.5 (lads)

Great pick up. The total is 170.5 on Bet365.

I expect a very high pressure game between these sides.

Could only get on $57 though on Lads but better than nothing.

 

[kaiserchief13]

Carlton, North, St Kilda good odds

 

[Spacedog]

Geelong -9.5 with Buddy and Hannebery out at home. I can't see Sydney winning the midfield even if geelong are missing both Selwoods

 

[chrisdon16]

I actually think no buddy could be a good thing for Sydney. As good as he is, sydney have been relying on him too much. Should free them up a bit and they seem to rise to the occasion when they're put under the pump.

 

[Shinboner '07]

Carlton will get their first win. Dogs are shit

 

[CatFan79]

Should free them up a bit and they seem to rise to the occasion when they're put under the pump.

+ we've lost only 2 games in the past 2 years at home, both to the Swans.

 

[Jugada]

Buddy being out is only a big negative for the Swans no matter how you try to spin it

 

[langdon19]

North vs Port O180.5
GWS vs Bris O158.5
Good luck everyone

 

[LFC2010]

Considering how much buddy conscious Sydney have been this season it may help them I50, not enough to beat the cats though

Geelong are a good price IMO.
North will also smash us the way we've been playing lately.

I know Higgins may miss, but we have zero leg speed in the middle, that something you need at Etihad to beat these teams.
Ben Brown is a chance at 10goals on the weekend.

 

[demon_fanatic]

North vs Port O180.5
GWS vs Bris O158.5
Good luck everyone

Yeh the gws total is pretty low thought it be 170ish

 

[langdon19]

Yeh the gws total is pretty low thought it be 170ish

Yes,glad im not the only one, its like all the bookies are out by 10% on that one, touch of rain around but not enough to affect that total.

 

[chrisdon16]

GWS will have to score around 110-120 to cover as the Lions are atrocious away from the Gabba, it was only a few weeks ago they didn't score a goal for 3 quarters. Based on GWS current form seems 50/50 that they even score 100+, even against Brisbane who have improved heaps down back this season, having said that it's at Spotless so maybe the Giants can find their mojo at home.

 

[Lensen]

so atrocious away from the gabba that they scored 92 against port three weeks ago

 

[langdon19]

Was about to post that, and I rate the port defence at AO.
It is a concern, in years gone by this would be a 200 plus game.

 

[chrisdon16]

That's true, I think that game was maybe more of Port having a bad game. But who knows, this season is stuffed Brisbane might come out and beat GWS this week.

 

[mookieb]

That's true, I think that game was maybe more of Port having a bad game. But who knows, this season is stuffed Brisbane might come out and beat GWS this week.

I'm not sure 1 game from Bris against Port is a significantly large enough sample size compared to their other games on the road over the last multitude of years.

 

[chrisdon16]

I'm not sure 1 game from Bris against Port is a significantly large enough sample size compared to their other games on the road over the last multitude of years.

True. Their realistic football on the road was put on display against Richmond. But as I said who knows with this league.

 

[tangolikelama]

Honestly I think North are ridiculous value.

 

[Lensen]

you're going to have a bad time with this "ridiculous league" if you consider 17 to be a team's "realistic football on the road" when their last 10 road scores have been

17
92
82
91
45
81
90
81
84
75

 

[chrisdon16]

you're going to have a bad time with this "ridiculous league" if you consider 17 to be a team's "realistic football on the road" when their last 10 road scores have been

17
92
82
91
45
81
90
81
84
75

An average of 73.8. Against the best defence in the league at their first home game of the season coming off an embarrassing draw. Silly reasoning maybe, but those factors have to be taken into account. Can't see them cracking 70 on the weekend.