2018 Australian Open

[MJC23]

I got one 50c in my first 7 spins and have now spun 10 in a row

 

[Substance]

I've rolled 14 straight 50c on day 4. It always lands between the 10 and 5. I think I'm stuck with 50c for CTA.

 

[Chism]

I am done with CTA as nothing but .50c rolls now.

Last 10 games all .50c and WH have shat themselves and it is not luck at all.

 

[Vitalogy]

The awkward moment you run out of mens games to bet on, except for Nishikori who I refuse. They've even stopped you from betting on opponents if you have already betted on that match.

 

[jefffff34]

My tally...
50c: 10
$1: 2
$5: 1

Tally $176.50 with 2 of the above 50 centers in play.

My whole idea is to see how much my bonus tally I can get up to with $25 put in. Can't really complain so far.

BTW the 10 50 centers have all been in a row.

 

[Vitalogy]

This is what the T&C has -

Bonus Bet awarded per Ace Probability
50c Bonus Bet 86%
$1 Bonus Bet 5%
$2 Bonus Bet 5%
$5 Bonus Bet 3%
$10 Bonus Bet 1%

 

[Fuzzy Happy Poo]

This is what the T&C has -

Bonus Bet awarded per Ace Probability
50c Bonus Bet 86%
$1 Bonus Bet 5%
$2 Bonus Bet 5%
$5 Bonus Bet 3%
$10 Bonus Bet 1%

The first few days it definitely wasn't that, but now it is

 

[Vitalogy]

The first few days it definitely wasn't that, but now it is

But if your betting more than once on the same player wouldn't your probability be higher in landing a bigger bet? Say in a 10 minute period you cash out 15 times, and bet on say Federer in that period and presuming only a few other people are betting on that Federer at the same time is perhaps why we were getting better outputs? If you know what I mean.

 

[benno_]

Each individual spin the odds of 50c are still 86%. Even if your last 99 spins were 50c, the 100th spin has an 86% chance it will be 50c. Same as roulette, if your last 9 spins were red, still means its 50/50 odds your 10th spin will be red.

In saying that though, it does seem a little suss most had fairly decent luck the first day or so before going back to what seems to be the 86% advertised. Maybe it's to suck people in and get hooked early in the 1st round when it's easier to pick a winner, so they keep betting further into the tournament when its harder to tip and eventually lose and WH get their money back? Who knows.

 

[iluvparis]

I haven't had a CTA bet playing for an hour or so - getting itchy

 

[Watts4Dinner]

Got a $5 spin on Gasquet. FML

 

[Vitalogy]

Each individual spin the odds of 50c are still 86%. Even if your last 99 spins were 50c, the 100th spin has an 86% chance it will be 50c. Same as roulette, if your last 9 spins were red, still means its 50/50 odds your 10th spin will be red.

In saying that though, it does seem a little suss most had fairly decent luck the first day or so before going back to what seems to be the 86% advertised. Maybe it's to suck people in and get hooked early in the 1st round when it's easier to pick a winner so they keep betting further into the tournament when its harder to tip and eventually lose and WH get their money back? Who knows.

Yeah I get that, but roulette isn't computerised. This might work on having computerised numbers for the 100 spins so number 15 and 79 spins is where the $5 are etc and it resets after 100 spins, we don't know how they've coded it. So if you roll 15 times in a row your probability become higher that you'll hit one of the winning numbers in 100. It may not be individual spins.

 

[benno_]

Yeah I get that, but roulette isn't computerised. This might work on having computerised numbers for the 100 spins so number 15 and 79 spins is where the $5 are etc and it resets after 100 spins, we don't know how they've coded it.

Yeah true, that is a possibility. Personally i never really trust computerised roulette type things, you never know how they could have rigged it lol

 

[X_box_X]

Each individual spin the odds of 50c are still 86%. Even if your last 99 spins were 50c, the 100th spin has an 86% chance it will be 50c. Same as roulette, if your last 9 spins were red, still means its 50/50 odds your 10th spin will be red.

Are you sure it's a 50% chance of hitting red?

I believe you will find it's a 48.6% chance of hitting red.

 

[Chism]

Last ones in play and i doubt i do it anymore and i put these on yesterday morning when you could still cash out and re spin and it took me ages to get both to $1 after .50c just kept coming so settled for $1.

 

[benno_]

Are you sure it's a 50% chance of hitting red?

I believe you will find it's a 48.6% chance of hitting red.

haha, yeah i was going to get technical and include 0 and 00, but thought I'll just keep it simple 50/50 for my explanation

 

[Chism]

haha, yeah i was going to get technical and include 0 and 00, but thought I'll just keep it simple 50/50 for my explanation

You should never touch any wheel that has the 00 if you play Red and Black.

They are the house cashes in numbers and one 0 on the board is bad enough.

 

[benno_]

You should never touch any wheel that has the 00 if you play Red and Black.

They are the house cashes in numbers and one 0 on the board is bad enough.

Yeah, that's why I hate (and rarely do) go to Crown over here, not sure what others are like but they have 00 over here. They also have 'Blackjack Plus' where the dealer doesn't bust on 22, such bs.

 

[Bucking Beads]

Going Benoit Paire vs Fabio Fognini. Once again only nabbed 50 cents per ace.

 

[Hamingja]

**** you Heather Watson **** you. Served for it the second set. Then went 0/14 on break points in the third, including 5 match points.

 

[iluvparis]

**** you Heather Watson **** you. Served for it the second set. Then went 0/14 on break points in the third, including 5 match points.

Women's tennis - the sports betting equivalent of taking crack.

 

[X_box_X]

haha, yeah i was going to get technical and include 0 and 00, but thought I'll just keep it simple 50/50 for my explanation

You could always keep it even simpler by using heads or tails.

That, or you could always approach the woman of your dreams and ask her, "if I flip a coin, what are my chances of getting head"?

 

[X_box_X]

**** you Heather Watson **** you. Served for it the second set. Then went 0/14 on break points in the third, including 5 match points.

Ouch. Not a great day for the Brits with Edmund also going down (to date, this is the only bet I have lost on).

Konta did advance through to the third round, though, but she is half Aussie and represents Great Australia.

 

[McLeodMagic]

I was lucky enough to get $10 on Andy Murray last night, and got $2 on Karlovic today

With the bonus bets, is it minimum bets of $10 with odds over $1.50?

 

[iluvparis]

I was lucky enough to get $10 on Andy Murray last night, and got $2 on Karlovic today

With the bonus bets, is it minimum bets of $10 with odds over $1.50?

Yup