2018 Rookies

[toxic]

 

[Seymour Skinner]

Interesting.

So you dont see a spot for him?

I'm a big fan.
But dunno if he'll sting enough games together to be a decent cow. Think he'll get games in patches, was emergency for the GF, but the players that need to be replaced for round 1 are all different roles to CEllis besides Prestia, who I'm pretty sure will come back round 2.

 

[raymagoo]

****ing hate this mind **** of a game

 

[Here2tellyouwhy]

I love Ross Lyon

Ross I take it all back

 

[Riviat]

I love Ross Lyon

Ross I take it all back

Ross after dropping them in Rd 2

 

[Dark Sharks]

I will forever hate west coast recruiters for overlooking Banfield in 2 drafts when everyone was jumping up and down on our board begging for him to be taken, it was that obvious

Don't even get me started on Ryan.

 

[Here2tellyouwhy]

I will forever hate west coast recruiters for overlooking Banfield in 2 drafts when everyone was jumping up and down on our board begging for him to be taken, it was that obvious

Don't even get me started on Ryan.

I feel the pain bro. Dynamic midfielders just ain't our thing anymore

 

[Marlowe]

I just learned Bailey is not related to Drew Banfield, even though one of Drew's sons is actually named Bailey.

What a strange world.

 

[Here2tellyouwhy]

I just learned Bailey is not related to Drew Banfield, even though one of Drew's sons is actually named Bailey.

What a strange world.

The real Bailey Banfield would never play for those purple muppets

 

[Marlowe]

The real Bailey Banfield would never play for those purple muppets

They're going to rename the Western Derby the Bailey Banfield Cup in 20 years.

 

[LuvtheKangas]

I feel the pain bro. Dynamic midfielders just ain't our thing anymore

How can you say that when Chris Masten is still on your list???

 

[Here2tellyouwhy]

How can you say that when Chris Masten is still on your list???

That cuts deep bro

 

[gutsroy]

Helps Fogarty initially, guess the question is for how long:

 

[cybajedi]

Helps Fogarty initially, guess the question is for how long:

Teases us with a decent forward rookie for round 1. Job security makes him a no go for me.

 

[Nelso]

I will forever hate west coast recruiters for overlooking Banfield in 2 drafts when everyone was jumping up and down on our board begging for him to be taken, it was that obvious

Don't even get me started on Ryan.

SPP says hi as well

 

[WaynesWorld19]

Helps Fogarty initially, guess the question is for how long:

I was told 4 weeks ago Tex would miss the first 2 rounds

 

[gutsroy]

Of WC fwd eligible rookies, comparative JS? Ryan > Venables > Waterman?
Venables some sort of chance for mid time, Waterman likely to get squeezed out when Eagles' tall fwds return, Ryan likeliest mid-term to be getting a gig and hopefully spiking a big score at some stage?

 

[Here2tellyouwhy]

SPP says hi as well

Ohhhh **** no...

Dark Sharks getting all triggered for sure

 

[Here2tellyouwhy]

Of WC fwd eligible eokkies, comparative JS? Ryan > Venables > Waterman?
Venables some sort of chance for mid time, Waterman likely to geg squeezed out when Eagles' tall fwds return, Ryan likeliest mid-term to be getting a gig and hopefully spiking a big score at some stage?

Pretty much.
Rioli plays when fit which is not often

 

[JDavey]

I'm surprised no one has Bonner from Port in their back line. Is he injured or unlikely to play? Any Port supporters out there that can help?

He's in my side but I might move him back out before lockout. I think I'd rather pay 85k more for him over Coffield. There was talk he would surpass Pittard this year anyway (not sure if that was Bigfooty hype or well informed opinion), but with his injury Bonner will get a great look in the first three games.

Interestingly in JLT2 he was pushed from HBF to wing which makes me think even if Pittard does return he won't be dropped (just moved to a position where he might score a little bit less).

So what am I hoping for?

- If he averages below 70-80 it won't be a disastrous pick but one that should've probably been better used.
- If he averages 80 that will put him as a better midprice selection then any of the popular forwards (Christensen, Bell, Dunkley).
- If he averages 85-90 he could end up a low D7 or a straight swap to a fallen premium
- If he averages 90+ you're laughing.

So how confident am I that he hits the 80 mark?

Pre-season:
JLT1: 49 from 69% TOG (Pittard: 105)
JLT2: 78 from 81% TOG (Pittard: 35 from a half)

Neither score was great, JLT 2 showed some promise though.

2016:
R23: GCS - 76

2017:
R22: WBD - 75
R23: GCS- 81
EF: WCE - 74

Decent scores, but two games were v GCS

Verdict:
With his four games to date + JLT 2 I believe Bonner can safely average 75, with 85 as a realistic upside. This has been made safer with Pittard's injury, but offset by the amount of Port Adelaide players demanding SC points this year (Ryder, Wines, SPP, Hartlett, Rocky, Ebert, Boak, Westhoff, Wingard, Dixon) and the seemingly endless supply of HBF's on their list.

He is by no means a must pick and a lot of people haven't considered him at all due to structural reasons. But at his price (~47 average) I see him as a great value D4 option coming into R1 that appeals to me more than fielding 3 DEF rookies.

 

[ItsAllAboutMe]

Forward rookies are so bad they make Rayner look like rookie Barlow.

Rayner does not seem a bad selection until your realise (well i just did) the Oli Florent is priced almost identically to Rayner... If your considering Rayner and dont have Florent its a no brainer to pick the boy from Sydney IMO.

 

[Bollox]

Stoddard's JS i imagine to be shakey

Extremely shakey.
Kid has surprised, looks composed, can take a mark, and is quick.
But he'll need to be played as a loose HBFer coming off the bench. He's no KPD, nor anywhere near midfield.

We have McVeigh, Lloyd, Mills, Newman and Rampe for that if we want.
Cant see more than a cameo appearance to reward a good prospect and send a message to the list.
He'd need to somehow murder a game to hold his spot.
If named, i wont buy unless there's a drought.

 

[patfootball04]

Mark O'Connor (GEEL). 123k DEF. Haven't seen much about him on BF but scored 69 in JLT. I understand he was awful last year but what is his JS like?

 

[Dark Sharks]

SPP says hi as well

Double slap in the face when North got Kyron Hayden this year as well.

Just give me ONE Dustin Martin fend off extraordinaire player to fap too FFS, it's all that i ask.

 

[Here2tellyouwhy]

Double slap in the face when North got Kyron Hayden this year as well.

Just give me ONE Dustin Martin fend off extraordinaire player to fap too FFS, it's all that i ask.

Have you ever considered fapping to delicious quads...