AFL 2019 - AFL Round 17

[Snake_Baker]

Value I have identified (TAB)

Kruezer (125+ SC): $2.50 - Going well at the moment and playing on Allir in the ruck. My bet of the round.
Goldsetein (125+ SC): $2.10 - Going well at the moment and playing on Z. Clarke/McKernan in the ruck.
Adelaide (score 90+ only): $1.65 - Playing Gold Coast up there in good weather. Kicked 93 v Brisbane at the Gabba 6 weeks ago.
Oliver (30+): $1.55 - Gawn vs English? LOL. Averages 30, and he'll get an arm chair ride.
Rockliff (30+): $1.60 - Possession accumulator who will be best suited by wet conditions in Adelaide.
North (+1.5): $1.90- Good value at those points

 

[iluvparis]

I wouldn't be touching the Oliver one at that price - admittedly no Gawn but he was on something like 12 halfway through the 3rd quarter last week and needed an epic last quarter just to get into the mid 20s

 

[Distinctive_]

SB sgm
4u Hurn, Sidebottom, Shuey 20+ @$2

 

[sojthebest]

Put $50 on the Pies at $3.55 on Sportsbet. Very confident they'll win tonight and $3.55 is ridiculous. Drinks are on me tonight

 

[Robo87]

0.5u J.Cameron 2g+ @3.75 SB (kicked 6.2 in last 3 weeks.)
0.3u J.Cameron 3g+ @8.50 SB

0.5u sgm @11.75 SB
(wc win, 20+pos - pendles, sidey, shuey, philips, yeo, 25+pos- gaff, ags- cripps,cameron,degoey, 2g+darling)

 

[GROTTO]

0.5u J.Cameron 2g+ @3.75 SB (kicked 6.2 in last 3 weeks.)
0.3u J.Cameron 3g+ @8.50 SB

0.5u sgm @11.75 SB
(wc win, 20+pos - pendles, sidey, shuey, philips, yeo, 25+pos- gaff, ags- cripps,cameron,degoey, 2g+darling)

That must have been a painful 10 minute wait for Cameron. lol

 

[Robo87]

That must have been a painful 10 minute wait for Cameron. lol

Yea look It was more painful watching him kick 4 and realising I missed out on the $31 odds.. #firstworldproblems

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

He was $151 for Rising Star after kicking his 3rd tonight. Into $13. Cashout of $83 IF you had $10 on him.

 

[the_big_sav]

id be making plays at wc syd rich dogs. so on this year id suggest pies dees giants

these last quarter comebacks can pi$$ off

 

[sojthebest]

Easy money. $3.55 was laughable.

 

[bato]

Infuriating how they just fall apart and ruin my multi.

 

[targett]

Collingwood have been strong plays as an underdog for a long time. Since 2012 they are a quality 25-11 against the spread getting two-plus goals. Interstate getting more than two goals, the Magpies are a remarkable 11-1 against the spread.
West Coast have covered just three of nine at home off a win of 60-plus points while non-interstate favourites of more than two goals off conceding 50 or fewer cover at just 46%.

Never in doubt Lads

 

[Ohh Ok]

That was a painful loss..

In a rut atm, will keep plugging at it. Some of these might lose a bit of value I’m thinking, so hitting now.

3u Jones 20+, Murphy 20+, Walsh 20+ $2.10 (SB)
2.5u Cunningham 20+ $1.83 (SB)

1.5u Matera AGS, Wingard AGS $2.09 (lads)

4u Parish 20+, Shiel 20+, Dumont 20+ $2.37 (SB)

 

[JuniorWatch]

Woops. Loaded up a bit too hard on WC there.
Nice work Pies backers.
Dees overloaded with defenders. It's try and pick who plays fwd time.
I'm going Bailey Fritsch.
2+ $6
3+ $23
b365

 

[NonPhixion]

Fyfe to get close attention from Howe?
Disposal unders could be a play

 

[Robo87]

0.5u sgm @11.75 SB
(wc win, 20+pos - pendles, sidey, shuey, philips, yeo, 25+pos- gaff, ags- cripps,cameron,degoey, 2g+darling)

For the record i blame cripps' and his damn injury ruining this entire multi...

Hayward 2+ @3.30, 3+ @10 b365

Tailing Hayward
1u sgm- all ags: Tippa, Laverde, Fantasia, Zurhaar, B.Brown @4.46 lads
1u zurhaar 2g+ @3 b365
0.5u zurhaar 3g+ @8.50 b365
1u Tippa 2g+ @3 b365
0.5u Tippa 3g+ @8.50 b365

-Also i just noticed something on SB and not sure if this is an error- but SB are letting me multi a 2g+ and 3g+ for the same player and it gives me higher odds than just a normal 3g+ bet?? (eg. zurhaar 2g+@2.10 into zurhaar 3g+@3.60 = a 2leg same game multi @4.75) is this normal? anyone else noticed this before?

 

[RooTed]

#AFL #bettingtips

R17 Saturday Day

#AFLSwansBlues .5u TGS u160.5 $1.88 SB
#AFLHawksFreo .5u TGS u154.5 $1.88 BE

GL

On the gear using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[targett]

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

9 degrees in Hobart

Hawthorn 40+ @ $4.50.

Surely Freo will be looking for the showers after the first bounce.

 

[NonPhixion]

9 degrees in Hobart

Hawthorn 40+ @ $4.50.

Surely Freo will be looking for the showers after the first bounce.

Who is going to kick their goals?

 

[Ohh Ok]

-Also i just noticed something on SB and not sure if this is an error- but SB are letting me multi a 2g+ and 3g+ for the same player and it gives me higher odds than just a normal 3g+ bet?? (eg. zurhaar 2g+@2.10 into zurhaar 3g+@3.60 = a 2leg same game multi @4.75) is this normal? anyone else noticed this before?

can do the same with disposals, I wouldn’t touch it though. Looks like a reason for a ban

 

[Keystone agony]

I quite like Fremantle today. Coming off a humiliating loss theyll be looking to respond. Whilst the hawks got the complacency with a with an upset win last week. Danger game for the hawks even in tassy.

Lobb, McCarthy, Matera, Walters can get them to a score of 80 and be enough to win. I also like the 3 freo ins. Hawks fwd line suits freos defenders being a bit on the smaller side and not having too many power fwds

 

[Distinctive_]

Pointsbet has a couple of offers this week, although they have gotten the better of punters recently with these 'offers'

#1 - Danger 25+, Cats Win @$2.25

#2 - Lynch 1+ goal, Tigers Win @$2.50

 

[Mazza1234678]

Am I crazy or does that Carlton line look crazy generous

Still no buddy and Cripps comes in

I think there a good chance to win tbh

 

[Ohh Ok]

4u Fyfe 20+, Shiels 20+, Worpel 20+ $1.72 (SB)

3u Merrett over 27.5 disposals $1.80 (lads)

2.5u M.Crouch over 102.5 fantasy $1.87 (lads)
2u Fiorini over 97.5 fantasy $1.88 (PB)