AFL 2020 - AFL Grand Final (no aftertiming allowed)

Remove this Banner Ad

Log in to remove this ad.

mouncey2franklin

Premiership Player
Jun 16, 2018
4,537
6,473
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Alright, my bets are all on.

Most centre around:

Bolton for goals
Draw at end of regular time (and also 'any other result')
Ablett for the Norm
Cats win
Total points unders (117.5 and 106.5 iirc)

Good luck to everybody :thumbsu:
 

LIONS15v

Debutant
Oct 12, 2020
121
98
AFL Club
Brisbane Lions
SGM:
- prestia, duncan, gola, Stewart, danger, selwood 15+,
selwood, ablett, martin, bolton AGS.

easy money :tonguewink: (also did the one above but without selwood and bolton)

hate betting AGS on key forwards in wet weather
 
Last edited:

ricardogp

Club Legend
Jun 26, 2012
1,906
823
AFL Club
Carlton
Other Teams
McLaren
With the weather like it is, is it likely to lead to more stoppages inside 50 and more chances for mids to get a 30m snap at goal? Any decent goal-sneaks 8n the markets?

Sent using Tapatalk
 

Robo87

Club Legend
Aug 3, 2014
1,468
1,437
Adelaide
AFL Club
Adelaide
anyone like pointsbet's 2 specials? - seem ok value.
--'dahlhaus to kick 2 goals and Geelong win'. @50 - probably wont happen but @50's its not the worst.
--'Dusty to kick 1 goal and Rich win' @3.50 (sgm is 2.48 on sb) - If rich win this is likely to come off imo.

my final bets:
1u sgm- bolton ags, hawkins ags, dusty 15+ @3.30 sb boosted
1u bb sgm- dusty 15+, menegola 15+, Bolton 2g+ @9.25 sb
2u bb sgm dusty 15+, menegola 15+, Duncan 15+, guthrie 15+, houli 15+ @2.05 sb
1.5u wire to wire- any other, points under 132.5 @2.62 lads
 

NYRB

Premiership Player
Oct 6, 2011
4,621
1,828
Auckland, New Zealand
AFL Club
GWS
Other Teams
Patriots, Perth Glory, Wildcats
Few Dark horses I reckon have a chance to get into the Top 3 in the Norm Smith tally:

$26.00 Pickett- finished Top 3 in last years Norm Smith tally

$21.00 Gary Rohan - he kicked a bag in a game at the GABBA (on this same ground) against the Saints

$6.50 Bolton - polled 3 votes the last time these two teams played



Small play on the outrights on Bolton at around $19 to win it.
 

2121

Premiership Player
Jun 4, 2007
3,494
1,654
somewhere
AFL Club
Port Adelaide
SGM
Houli under 18.5
Parfitt under 16.5
Tuohy under 16.5
Goat over 14.5
@ 13.75

Normy
Prestia
Bolton
Lambert


Total score under 110.5

Hope both teams have a sh*t one and i clean up.
 

LIONS15v

Debutant
Oct 12, 2020
121
98
AFL Club
Brisbane Lions
With weather set to clear, over 104.5 looks tasty now.

With all my unders bets at 117.5 early in the week, that sweet spot in between would be lovely
Wouldn't be surprised to see under 90 tbh.
I would liken the grand final to a game 7 in the NBA.
both teams (especially geelong) being super conversative and taking time with each possession)
 

(Log in to remove this ad.)

NYRB

Premiership Player
Oct 6, 2011
4,621
1,828
Auckland, New Zealand
AFL Club
GWS
Other Teams
Patriots, Perth Glory, Wildcats
SGM:

Disposals
Dangerfield 20+
Houli 19+
Cotchin 18+
Bolton 16+
Lambert 16+
Ablett 15+


Paying odds of $67.00

In wet weather , worth a nibble for me.......going to be alot of contested ball in and under.
 

iluvparis

Premium Platinum
Apr 1, 2005
36,824
29,735
AFL Club
Carlton
Other Teams
Calgary Flames, Man Utd
Did anyone get that Nathan brown promo of danger or dusty to win norm at $4?!

Already suspended!
 

Lyyynnnchy

Norm Smith Medallist
Oct 10, 2007
9,327
4,663
London, UK
AFL Club
West Coast
SGM:
- prestia, duncan, gola, Stewart, danger, selwood 15+,
selwood, ablett, martin, bolton AGS.

easy money :tonguewink: (also did the one above but without selwood and bolton)

hate betting AGS on key forwards in wet weather
picking 4 goal scorers is a tough ask when there’s no guarantee of more than 10 goals
 

Shinboner '07

Norm Smith Medallist
May 13, 2007
5,084
2,972
Melbourne
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Did anyone get that Nathan brown promo of danger or dusty to win norm at $4?!

Already suspended!
yeah wtf wanted to put it on and wad already suspended
 

LIONS15v

Debutant
Oct 12, 2020
121
98
AFL Club
Brisbane Lions
SGM:

Disposals
Dangerfield 20+
Houli 19+
Cotchin 18+
Bolton 16+
Lambert 16+
Ablett 15+


Paying odds of $67.00

In wet weather , worth a nibble for me.......going to be alot of contested ball in and under.
Nice SGM on Sportsbet.

Anyone ever noticed, on SB at least, that the odds of a disposals line (when it is 19.5 or 24.5) on a player is almost always greater than the odds of the corresponding disposal market (15/20)+?

Right now on SB, Dangerfield 20+ is $1.80 and but on over 19.5 he is $1.99.

Always worth checking both if you're betting on SB, not sure about other bookies
 

Remove this Banner Ad

Top Bottom