GROTTO
TheBrownDog
- Jul 5, 2013
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I tried that, wasnt allowed. Its actually a solid bet.
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AFL 2020 - AFL Grand Final (no aftertiming allowed)
- Thread starter balmainforever
- Start date
- Tagged users None
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anyone like pointsbet's 2 specials? - seem ok value.
--'dahlhaus to kick 2 goals and Geelong win'. @50 - probably wont happen but @50's its not the worst.
--'Dusty to kick 1 goal and Rich win' @3.50 (sgm is 2.48 on sb) - If rich win this is likely to come off imo.
my final bets:
1u sgm- bolton ags, hawkins ags, dusty 15+ @3.30 sb boosted
1u bb sgm- dusty 15+, menegola 15+, Bolton 2g+ @9.25 sb
2u bb sgm dusty 15+, menegola 15+, Duncan 15+, guthrie 15+, houli 15+ @2.05 sb
1.5u wire to wire- any other, points under 132.5 @2.62 lads
--'dahlhaus to kick 2 goals and Geelong win'. @50 - probably wont happen but @50's its not the worst.
--'Dusty to kick 1 goal and Rich win' @3.50 (sgm is 2.48 on sb) - If rich win this is likely to come off imo.
my final bets:
1u sgm- bolton ags, hawkins ags, dusty 15+ @3.30 sb boosted
1u bb sgm- dusty 15+, menegola 15+, Bolton 2g+ @9.25 sb
2u bb sgm dusty 15+, menegola 15+, Duncan 15+, guthrie 15+, houli 15+ @2.05 sb
1.5u wire to wire- any other, points under 132.5 @2.62 lads
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D
Del125763
Guest
Few Dark horses I reckon have a chance to get into the Top 3 in the Norm Smith tally:
$26.00 Pickett- finished Top 3 in last years Norm Smith tally
$21.00 Gary Rohan - he kicked a bag in a game at the GABBA (on this same ground) against the Saints
$6.50 Bolton - polled 3 votes the last time these two teams played
Small play on the outrights on Bolton at around $19 to win it.
$26.00 Pickett- finished Top 3 in last years Norm Smith tally
$21.00 Gary Rohan - he kicked a bag in a game at the GABBA (on this same ground) against the Saints
$6.50 Bolton - polled 3 votes the last time these two teams played
Small play on the outrights on Bolton at around $19 to win it.
- Jun 4, 2006
- 4,534
- 1,232
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- Essendon
What’s everyone got for first goal?
SGM
Houli under 18.5
Parfitt under 16.5
Tuohy under 16.5
Goat over 14.5
@ 13.75
Normy
Prestia
Bolton
Lambert
Total score under 110.5
Hope both teams have a shit one and i clean up.
Houli under 18.5
Parfitt under 16.5
Tuohy under 16.5
Goat over 14.5
@ 13.75
Normy
Prestia
Bolton
Lambert
Total score under 110.5
Hope both teams have a shit one and i clean up.
Wouldn't be surprised to see under 90 tbh.
I would liken the grand final to a game 7 in the NBA.
both teams (especially geelong) being super conversative and taking time with each possession)
D
Del125763
Guest
SGM:
Disposals
Dangerfield 20+
Houli 19+
Cotchin 18+
Bolton 16+
Lambert 16+
Ablett 15+
Paying odds of $67.00
In wet weather , worth a nibble for me.......going to be alot of contested ball in and under.
Disposals
Dangerfield 20+
Houli 19+
Cotchin 18+
Bolton 16+
Lambert 16+
Ablett 15+
Paying odds of $67.00
In wet weather , worth a nibble for me.......going to be alot of contested ball in and under.
- Jul 23, 2010
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three bet
playup promo gryan Myers FGS @ $17 (pays out if he kicks second goal)
zac tuohy AGS
dahlhaus <13.5 disposals
playup promo gryan Myers FGS @ $17 (pays out if he kicks second goal)
zac tuohy AGS
dahlhaus <13.5 disposals
LukeParkerno1
Post-Human
Martin 15+
Edwards 15+
Danger 15+
Stewart 15+
Short 15+
SGM
Edwards 15+
Danger 15+
Stewart 15+
Short 15+
SGM
iluvparis
Import Whisperer
- Apr 1, 2005
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- Calgary Flames, Man Utd
LukeParkerno1
Post-Human
Backing Edwards and Cotchin Norm
Smith
Smith
Sportsbet/ Bronwyn offering either dusty or danger for norm Smith @$4, max $50 bet.
Good value
On Pixel 4a using BigFooty.com mobile app
Good value
On Pixel 4a using BigFooty.com mobile app
picking 4 goal scorers is a tough ask when there’s no guarantee of more than 10 goalsSGM:
- prestia, duncan, gola, Stewart, danger, selwood 15+,
selwood, ablett, martin, bolton AGS.
easy money(also did the one above but without selwood and bolton)
hate betting AGS on key forwards in wet weather
It's on tab anyway
- Jun 4, 2006
- 4,534
- 1,232
- AFL Club
- Essendon
Bolton first goal
yeah wtf wanted to put it on and wad already suspended
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LukeParkerno1
Post-Human
Generous too probably less than 5 goal scorers
Nice SGM on Sportsbet.
Anyone ever noticed, on SB at least, that the odds of a disposals line (when it is 19.5 or 24.5) on a player is almost always greater than the odds of the corresponding disposal market (15/20)+?
Right now on SB, Dangerfield 20+ is $1.80 and but on over 19.5 he is $1.99.
Always worth checking both if you're betting on SB, not sure about other bookies
OhhDeledio
Premiership Player
good luck everyone 
Yeah that is very true, it was a very small play on the 4 AGS.
I put more on the one without selwood and bolton.
D
Del125763
Guest
Yep do notice this. Better to take the unders/overs on the player if you get the chance.
Another bet I like:
Richmond aren't a high disposal team, so feel like its between Guthrie, Danger and Menegola. If Danger plays forward, it will probably between a battle of 2.
- Jun 4, 2006
- 4,534
- 1,232
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- Essendon
Rip up your ablett bets
