AFL 2020 - AFL Round 16 (no aftertiming allowed)

[Del125763]

Disposal Lines for GWS V Crows from Sportsbet:

Brad Crouch Under/Over 24.5
Brodie Smith Under/Over 19.5
M Crouch Under/Over 26.5
Laird Under/Over 23.5
Hopper Under/Over 22.5
Conigilio Under/Over 22.5
Whitfield Under/Over 23.5

all of those lines are above the round 2- present averages.

Was expecting the disposal lines for GWS players to be a disposal or 2 lower. So = No play for me.

Giants average disposal is 299.5 per game, Crows average disposal conceded it 312.0 per game

 

[Del125763]

taken a bit of SGM Under Laird 23.5 disposals, Under Hopper 22.5 disposals paying $3.40 with my free bet on Sportsbet/BetEasy bonus

 

[Del125763]

ill have work so won't be able to watch the Crows v Giants game. I'll rejoin the forum for the Swans v Carlton game.

 

[karaoke]

B Keays disposals - got 22 last week
20+ - 3.75 pb (1.72 sb, 1.80 TAB)
25+ - 10.50 pb (3.40 sb, 3.75 TAB)

 

[LukeParkerno1]

B Keays disposals - got 22 last week
20+ - 3.75 pb (1.72 sb, 1.80 TAB)
25+ - 10.50 pb (3.40 sb, 3.75 TAB)

That's the one De Boar may tag, tread carefully

 

[Geeves Train]

B Keays disposals - got 22 last week
20+ - 3.75 pb (1.72 sb, 1.80 TAB)
25+ - 10.50 pb (3.40 sb, 3.75 TAB)

They did last week and he was 17 at HT, play it again Ben!!

 

[mookieb]

That's the one De Boar may tag, tread carefully

Would Ben Keays be the worst player in AFL to get tagged?

Surely Sloane?

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Would Ben Keays be the worst player in AFL to get tagged?

Surely Sloane?

Not sure, honestly picking who De Boar goes to is tricky. Do they go Brad Crouch? Sloane is surely not in great form anyway. Gut feeling is he'll go to Keays but it's not a market I'm going near, too many variables, I hate going near player markets when sides have designated taggers.

 

[Geeves Train]

Would Ben Keays be the worst player in AFL to get tagged?

Surely Sloane?

Brodie Smith is the crow teams tend to tag, I don’t think Sloane cops a tag, he has been getting run with roles. I was wondering if De Boer could even go to Crouch as he has been using it better lately. Unlikely to Keays imho. Keays 20+ looks a 50/50 for mine. If he plays like he did first half last week laughing, if he plays like he did 2nd half, crying!!

 

[Del125763]

Under 69.5 points for GWS Giants

Since round 2 onwards, they have been 2 times over 69.5 pts, 11 times under 69.5 pts.


Happy to take them at Pinnacle, for $1.884 for Under 69.5 pts.

 

[fredd]

If Ben Keays cops the de boer tag I'll give the game away.

If Smith goes anywhere near the middle he'll go there, even if he's not it's probably the most likely outcome. Otherwise it's a raffle between the Crouch brothers, Sloane or no tag.

 

[burge13]

Under 69.5 points for GWS Giants

Since round 2 onwards, they have been 2 times over 69.5 pts, 11 times under 69.5 pts.


Happy to take them at Pinnacle, for $1.884 for Under 69.5 pts.

You won't be able to watch this though. Got work if my mail is accurate

Perhaps watch on phone?

 

[burge13]

If Ben Keays cops the de boer tag I'll give the game away.

If Smith goes anywhere near the middle he'll go there, even if he's not it's probably the most likely outcome. Otherwise it's a raffle between the Crouch brothers, Sloane or no tag.

No need to tag. We're a long way bottom for a reason, hold the exit door open for me if they tag Keays. Pathetic sport if this happens

Crouch brothers aren't that dangerous by foot, no need to tag. Sloane hasn't done a great deal since returning, probably no need to tag. He hasn't been great since early 2018 from memory anyway

Really not sure how GWS get through this gauntlet without tagging /s

 

[Del125763]

You won't be able to watch this though. Got work if my mail is accurate

Perhaps watch on phone?

I'lll just bet on it blindly .

 

[mdizzle]

That's the one De Boar may tag, tread carefully

Haha there is literally 0 chance De Boer tags Keays

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Haha there is literally 0 chance De Boer tags Keays

Well he has to go to someone! Otherwise there is zero point in playing him. Adelaide player markets I have avoided anyway. Good luck to everyone though hope you all get some winners on those markets. I'm more looking at GWS players markets.

 

[burge13]

Well he has to go to someone! Otherwise there is zero point in playing him. Adelaide player markets I have avoided anyway. Good luck to everyone though hope you all get some winners on those markets. I'm more looking at GWS players markets.

He can play rather than tag which no one needs to do against us to win

 

[mdizzle]

Well he has to go to someone! Otherwise there is zero point in playing him. Adelaide player markets I have avoided anyway. Good luck to everyone though hope you all get some winners on those markets. I'm more looking at GWS players markets.

De Boer hasn't tagged in 2 of the last 6 games he's played (Port & GC). If he does tag there's Sloane, Crouch x2, Laird, Smith, hell even that spud Mackay before Keays

 

[LukeParkerno1]

He can play rather than tag which no one needs to do against us to win

Hey you are on a winning streak!

 

[benji21]

Hey guys was it Adelaide who give up big disposal numbers to inside mids??

Hawks give up most and normally give to a bunch to the main ball winner

 

[squeaky1000]

The only tag Keays could possibly be involved in is if he was to tag Whitfield. But probably unlikely given he has been playing fairly effectively as a ball winner the last month or so.

 

[dontlimitme]

boys remember when fiorini copped that hard tag and only got a few disposals and cooked us all, what a game that was by that mysterious tagger

 

[squeaky1000]

whitfield o23.5 @ 1.87 lads. 9/13 not including KO game.
adam kennedy 15+ @ 2.08 lads. 2/3 not including round 1 injury.

crows on average give up the 3rd most uncontested possesions in the comp which will suit both players. whitfield is whitfield, and kennedy has been the giants main wingman since his return. went through the games and he has started on the wing 46 times out of the 66 center bounce resets in there last 3 games. should be good for 15 at least.

I like the thinking and it's probably value but I just don't think I can bring myself to bet on Kennedy, he is so far from AFL standard its not even funny. Hope he goes well for you though

 

[LukeParkerno1]

boys remember when fiorini copped that hard tag and only got a few disposals and cooked us all, what a game that was by that mysterious tagger

Thou shall never mention the word Fioririni please

 

[bato]

Is anyone taking Adelaide ML?