AFL 2020 - AFL Round 4

[Del125763]

You’d be better off playing a multi like this on bet365 with their accumulator bonus for afl would get a 30% bonus I believe

Ive used bet365 but can only get on with small stakes with them. Im aware there are things whereby you can win if you get 7/8 selections, 6/8 selections etc.

Permutation Betting/Combination Betting - Basic Explanation

An article explaining how permutation betting works, and the various different combination bets you can place on sports events.

www.gamblingsites.org

If you had 8 selections: they call it a 'Goliath' , 28 doubles/56 trebles/70 fourfolds/ 56 fivefolds/28 sixfolds/8 sevenfolds/1 eightfold .


Permutations was probably one of my slight weaknesses in math/stats during high school & uni. May look to open up the books again as a bit of a leisurely read.

 

[targett]

You’d be better off playing a multi like this on bet365 with their accumulator bonus for afl would get a 30% bonus I believe

One things for sure multi betting only accumulates losses and is a bookies haven

 

[Ohh Ok]

Ive used bet365 but can only get on with small stakes with them. Im aware there are things whereby you can win if you get 7/8 selections, 6/8 selections etc.

Permutation Betting/Combination Betting - Basic Explanation

An article explaining how permutation betting works, and the various different combination bets you can place on sports events.

www.gamblingsites.org

If you had 8 selections: they call it a 'Goliath' , 28 doubles/56 trebles/70 fourfolds/ 56 fivefolds/28 sixfolds/8 sevenfolds/1 eightfold .


Permutations was probably one of my slight weaknesses in math/stats during high school & uni. May look to open up the books again as a bit of a leisurely read.

I meant this:

Bet365 Aussie Footy Acca Bonus 65%

www.freebets.ws

I can’t actually get see the proper promotion on their website due to my location, but they still pay me the bonus.

One things for sure multi betting only accumulates losses and is a bookies haven

Definitely mate, but if you are going to play them, you might as well have the odds in your favour as much as possible. I still play multis from time to time as I believe there can be some value in them, but I tend to stick to 1-3 leggers from $1.90-$2.50, even then though they can be a lot tougher than you think to hit on a regular basis.

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

TAB odds if you can get all 8 right on the Unders/Overs market pay odds of $169.80- which is decent if you can nail it. You could probably get a bit of a booster with their multiplier, ill keep a close eye on the lines this week.

How do you expect to land this multi when you are 2 wins from 6 individual games this season?

 

[targett]

I meant this:

Bet365 Aussie Footy Acca Bonus 65%

www.freebets.ws

I can’t actually get see the proper promotion on their website due to my location, but they still pay me the bonus.


Definitely mate, but if you are going to play them, you might as well have the odds in your favour as much as possible. I still play multis from time to time as I believe there can be some value in them, but I tend to stick to 1-3 leggers from $1.90-$2.50, even then though they can be a lot tougher than you think to hit on a regular basis.

I see your point

I meant this:

Bet365 Aussie Footy Acca Bonus 65%

www.freebets.ws

I can’t actually get see the proper promotion on their website due to my location, but they still pay me the bonus.


Definitely mate, but if you are going to play them, you might as well have the odds in your favour as much as possible. I still play multis from time to time as I believe there can be some value in them, but I tend to stick to 1-3 leggers from $1.90-$2.50, even then though they can be a lot tougher than you think to hit on a regular basis.

I see your point . From a horse racing perspective it can be somewhat profitable but difficult.
If a punter is confident that their three best bets for the day are going to shorten significantly from their current fixed odds, then they can multi them together in different combinations. The bets will look less sophisticated and the punter can get his wagers accepted to win a higher amount than he would normally be able to do.
If the three horses are $2.50 but will start at $2 then you can see the punter’s profit compounding
2 Leg
Real odds (according to the starting price): $2 x $2 = $4.00
Punter’s Multi: $2.50 x $2.50 = $6.25
Three leg
Real odds: $2 x $2 x $2 = $8.00
Punter’s multi: $2.50 x $2.50 x $2.50 = $15.63

The punter is multiplying his considerable advantage over the market and getting odds that are 50-100% greater than the starting price.

Whilst this is an extreme and rare example you can see what some pro punters are able to with multiples.

 

[iluvparis]

I meant this:

Bet365 Aussie Footy Acca Bonus 65%

www.freebets.ws

I can’t actually get see the proper promotion on their website due to my location, but they still pay me the bonus.


Definitely mate, but if you are going to play them, you might as well have the odds in your favour as much as possible. I still play multis from time to time as I believe there can be some value in them, but I tend to stick to 1-3 leggers from $1.90-$2.50, even then though they can be a lot tougher than you think to hit on a regular basis.

That looks like a promo for UK accounts

 

[Ohh Ok]

I see your point

I see your point . From a horse racing perspective it can be somewhat profitable but difficult.
If a punter is confident that their three best bets for the day are going to shorten significantly from their current fixed odds, then they can multi them together in different combinations. The bets will look less sophisticated and the punter can get his wagers accepted to win a higher amount than he would normally be able to do.
If the three horses are $2.50 but will start at $2 then you can see the punter’s profit compounding
2 Leg
Real odds (according to the starting price): $2 x $2 = $4.00
Punter’s Multi: $2.50 x $2.50 = $6.25
Three leg
Real odds: $2 x $2 x $2 = $8.00
Punter’s multi: $2.50 x $2.50 x $2.50 = $15.63

The punter is multiplying his considerable advantage over the market and getting odds that are 50-100% greater than the starting price.

Whilst this is an extreme and rare example you can see what some pro punters are able to with multiples.

Definitely, I was going to give an example of a double I put on last night.
Was Powerr CC ($1.67) into Barcelona ($1.33) for $2.22 boosted to $2.27. When I last checked the odds before going to bed Poweer CC were $1.33 and Barca were $1.29 paying $1.71. I went to bed pretty content knowing I’d beaten the market with a huge edge.

That looks like a promo for UK accounts

Can assure you we get this promo in Australia.

Here’s a screen shot of an old one (mini brag post)

True odds were $93, with the bonus I got $118. Two years old, but it’s still around.
They offer it for major tennis tournaments, the top four euro soccer leagues + a league, Aussie football (nrl and afl), NFL, and NBA

 

[targett]

 

[targett]

 

[Ohh Ok]

Interested in people’s take on the Sydney vs Bulldogs game. I’m pretty strong on the dogs, but they’ve come from $1.65 on Friday into $2 now.

 

[iluvparis]

Interested in people’s take on the Sydney vs Bulldogs game. I’m pretty strong on the dogs, but they’ve come from $1.65 on Friday into $2 now.

Found it close to impossible - think the dogs are the better side - but whether they are better by enough to offset playing in Sydney? Im just not sure

 

[targett]

Found it close to impossible - think the dogs are the better side - but whether they are better by enough to offset playing in Sydney? Im just not sure

Not sure if round 2 was an outlier or not.Played well last week but I'd have to see that effort again.Im on Sydney 4.5 1.9 and look to middle this position pre match.

 

[5 Bucks]

Found it close to impossible - think the dogs are the better side - but whether they are better by enough to offset playing in Sydney? Im just not sure

Aren't the Swans hot garbage at the SCG these days though?

 

[Ohh Ok]

I didn’t really think the ground would favour one team more than the other, nor would the forecasted weather conditions. I’d say the swans benefited from Cunnington being out last game as he usually leads the way in contested possessions. On paper to me the bulldogs just stand out as the clear stronger side. The dogs have greater season ambitions and as a result a greater confidence in team ability, I think the win over GWS displayed some of the intensity we’d expect and was exactly what they needed to jump started their season. I just can’t get over the fact that a dogs side that closed favourites against the pies in round 1 (long time ago) is now sitting at $2.10 against Sydney (who have exceeded my expectations).

 

[Sausage Legs]

Interested in people’s take on the Sydney vs Bulldogs game. I’m pretty strong on the dogs, but they’ve come from $1.65 on Friday into $2 now.

Don't rate swans

 

[5 Bucks]

Swans match up well against the Roos in that they're teams that give great effort but don't quite have the talent. The dogs have the talent and if they bring the effort then it shouldn't be any trouble.

 

[BuddysBuddy23]

Found it close to impossible - think the dogs are the better side - but whether they are better by enough to offset playing in Sydney? Im just not sure

Dogs are the better side no doubt, If Heeney is well held(And that’s a big if the way he’s travelling) the Swans don’t have enough to trouble the Dogs side that turned up v GWS. Being in Sydney shouldn’t pose too many threats as another poster has stated, the Swans’ recent record at the SCG is hardly anything to fear anymore. Also their recent record at Marvel(Where they played Nth last week) is actually pretty impressive. I expect the Dogs to win this

 

[JuniorWatch]

McCartin out, Naismith in means Sinclair goes fwd.
AGS $3.20 B365
2+ $9.50 B365
3+ $51 B365

SGM: Libba 20+, Hayward AGS, Sinclair AGS $14s SB

 

[NonPhixion]

Sam Lloyd AGS $1.95 - 365
Hasn't hit the scoreboard yet surprisingly, surely due for 1. kicked a goal 20/23 last year

 

[Benjo_]

McCartin out, Naismith in means Sinclair goes fwd.
AGS $3.20 B365
2+ $9.50 B365
3+ $51 B365

Sinclair named in the ruck not that it means much but I agree in that Naismith is still their number 1 ruck. Bit weird that Horse is playing the trio of Nai, Sinclair and McLean

 

[JuniorWatch]

Sinclair named in the ruck not that it means much but I agree in that Naismith is still their number 1 ruck. Bit weird that Horse is playing the trio of Nai, Sinclair and McLean

Yeah Naismith should ruck the majority of time.
What I love about B365 is that you can just load up on odds like $51 for 3+ and if they don't come in (they should), just cash out for the original stake.

 

[targett]

Yeah Naismith should ruck the majority of time.
What I love about B365 is that you can just load up on odds like $51 for 3+ and if they don't come in (they should), just cash out for the original stake.

Until they limit you to $10 stakes and its not worth the time

 

[Benjo_]

Yeah Naismith should ruck the majority of time.
What I love about B365 is that you can just load up on odds like $51 for 3+ and if they don't come in (they should), just cash out for the original stake.

Right on cue lol

 

[Parko31]

This is quite an amazing stat.
Will Hayward has hit the scoreboard in 50 of his 56 games. (not all goals) AGS in 38/56
6x 3 goals
15x 2 goals
17x 1 goal
Odds on Sportsbet are:
AGS $2
2+ $6.5
3+ $26

AGS would be a nice multi booster

Also like Liam Ryan:
Has scores of 3.3, 0.4, 3 this year
Sportsbet odds:
1+ $1.45
2+ $3.4
3+ $9.5
4+ $36
5+ $101

Keep in mind his accuracy isn't the best

Hayward AGS/Ryan 1+ $2.90
Hayward AGS/Ryan 2+ $6.80
Hayward AGS/Ryan 3+ $19
Hayward AGS/Ryan 4+ $72
Hayward AGS/Ryan 5+ $202

 

[Parko31]

Jamie Elliott
2+ $3.4
3+ $9.5

Some value here, Elliott loves kicking 2 or 3 snags a game.

Someone already mentioned Perryman but big value here (Be cautious of Collingwoods stong backline)
Coleman Medal leader with tallies of 4.0, 2.0, 2.0
1+ $1.67
2+ $4.5
3+ $15
4+ $67

Josh Daicos
1+$2.40
2+$9.50
3+$51

Callum Brown
1+$2.25
2+$8.5
3+$41

both also have value imo (small bets)