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AFL 2021 AFL Round 9

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Jugada said:
GWS @ 2.80
GWS -32.5 @ 10
GWS -59.5 @ 51
GWS -89.5 @ 501

Tigs are in the bin. Playing awfully, injuries to key players, constant fight clubs and rolling over by big margins at the G when teams get on top of them.

Fill her up boys
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The game is at Marvel.
 

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Just so we're all clear here, the big train this week, Zurhaar, is a bloke who:

- Has kicked 3.5 combined in eight matches this season
- Is playing down in Tasmania where the weather may be seriously inclement
- For a team who are 0/8 so far this season, and
- Just lost the only decent half-forward in the team (Stephenson averaging 4 I50s per game over the past month)
- Against a team (Hawthorn) involved in the first goalless first quarter in decades just a few days ago
- Who he has only scored 1.0 against in both of his previous matches

That's the train you guys are buying tickets for? This is the chirrfooty punting board's big play for round 9?

Just when I thought you couldn't possibly be any dumber, you go and do something like this...

tenor.gif


I'm on for 3+, 4+ and 5+, and also the Scrimshaw 30+ and 35+ multis into 2+ / 3+
 
Taking off my wallstreetbets yolo hat and being more serious, here's the train I've loaded up on.

Koz Train Rd 9.jpg

2+ @ 2.20 (lads)
3+ @ 4.80 (lads)
4+ @ 13 (lads)
5+ @ 26 (sb)
6+ @ 101 (sb)

Kozzy kicked 6.3 against us in the practice match just three months ago.

We have been destroyed by a few big forwards this season, whoever McKay doesn't go to.

I'm hoping McKay goes to O'Brien Lewis or Jeka (if Jeka doesn't get dropped, which he probably should).

Kozzy also kicked 5.3 in his last match down in Tassie just a few weeks ago.
 
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I said in last weeks threads games at the Docklands 'dropped off by about 5% in scoring compared to 2000 decade and 2010 decade"

I reckon as a rough guide, scoring at Docklands has dropped by around 11% compared to the 2000 and early 2010 decade.

My 3 reasons are as follows:

1. Video Review
2. Players are more wary about getting fantasy points with cheap disposals nowadays/ betting on disposals etc
3. Teams are better able to handle the ball and playing to the time. i.e time awareness in managing time, you have staff holding out time warnings from the sidelines
4. Rule changes

Did some quick averages of around every 5 years

2000: 204.89 points
2005: 209.12 pts
2010: 189.33 pts
2015: 182.76 pts
2021: 182.31 pts

getting to 180 points at Marvel Stadium is equivalent to getting to 198-200 points back in 2000 decade
getting to 200 points at Marvel Stadium is equivalent to getting to 220-222 points in 2000 decade

I would love to see the higher scoring game again in future. But there needs to be rule changes for that to happen. Not sure if we will see further rule changes
 
NYRB said:
I said in last weeks threads games at the Docklands 'dropped off by about 5% in scoring compared to 2000 decade and 2010 decade"

I reckon as a rough guide, scoring at Docklands has dropped by around 11% compared to the 2000 and early 2010 decade.

My 3 reasons are as follows:

1. Video Review
2. Players are more wary about getting fantasy points with cheap disposals nowadays/ betting on disposals etc
3. Teams are better able to handle the ball and playing to the time. i.e time awareness in managing time, you have staff holding out time warnings from the sidelines
4. Rule changes

Did some quick averages of around every 5 years

2000: 204.89 points
2005: 209.12 pts
2010: 189.33 pts
2015: 182.76 pts
2021: 182.31 pts

getting to 180 points at Marvel Stadium is equivalent to getting to 198-200 points back in 2000 decade
getting to 200 points at Marvel Stadium is equivalent to getting to 220-222 points in 2000 decade

I would love to see the higher scoring game again in future. But there needs to be rule changes for that to happen. Not sure if we will see further rule changes
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You've given 4 reasons not 3 and none of them are specifically related to Marvel.
 
Just wanted clarification from punters on here, the only new info we had was Bolton last night we were informed has had surgery on his wrist and will miss games (story broke around 5pm), this was the only new additional issue that caused the odds from about 530pm to be smashed from ~$3.50 +21.5 to ~$2.60 +11.5 for the Giants?
 
GROTTO said:
Just wanted clarification from punters on here, the only new info we had was Bolton last night we were informed has had surgery on his wrist and will miss games (story broke around 5pm), this was the only new additional issue that caused the odds from about 530pm to be smashed from ~$3.50 +21.5 to ~$2.60 +11.5 for the Giants?
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Totally farcical move based on info that I would think is barely worth a point at the line - hoping they keep steaming in on the Giants and then I will jump on the Tigers later in the week.
 
iluvparis said:
Totally farcical move based on info that I would think is barely worth a point at the line - hoping they keep steaming in on the Giants and then I will jump on the Tigers later in the week.
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I just dont even recall Dusty moving the lines this much, esp when Bolton is considered to be "Dusty Lite" but had a great game admittedly and decent season so far.

I mean lines are bashed in all the time, but to be bashed that much that quickly on a Monday due to one player being out, is phenomenal.

That was Orazio Style Pounding taking place.
 

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GROTTO said:
Just wanted clarification from punters on here, the only new info we had was Bolton last night we were informed has had surgery on his wrist and will miss games (story broke around 5pm), this was the only new additional issue that caused the odds from about 530pm to be smashed from ~$3.50 +21.5 to ~$2.60 +11.5 for the Giants?
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Personally I think it's more a case of a lot of punters (not hardcore investors) hadn't even looked at the round 9 matches but the Bolton news drew attention to just how many star players Richmond are missing, then the punters flocked in and got on 'early'. Shai might have just been the straw that broke the camels back.
 
jikost said:
Robbie Gray 20+ @ 2.20 sb. More midfield minutes in the past 2 weeks. Had 26 in the showdown and 22 the week before.
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Adelaide don't have a strong midfield and Brisbane aren't a high disposal team so it was easier for the pear to win the disposal count in both matches. Might be a different story Vs the ball hogs from Footscray.
 

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chrisdon16 said:
iluvparis Richmond at the line for fading "the hyperlords" this week?!
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Depends how narrow it gets - although at the moment it makes the team close to pick-em once you take away the HGA which is just plain wrong.

Nothing super attractive this week - maybe small bet dogs H2H. Perhaps a couple of half unit wuss bets.
 
iluvparis said:
Depends how narrow it gets - although at the moment it makes the team close to pick-em once you take away the HGA which is just plain wrong.

Nothing super attractive this week - maybe small bet dogs H2H. Perhaps a couple of half unit wuss bets.
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Fading the public, that's the whole point isn't it? GWS has come in 10 points. Get on
 
Line movement is definitely a combination of losing Edwards and Bolton combined with the fact they don't really have fit players to come in to cover for them. Some people probably waiting til later but when it snowballs you need to also get in early or miss the price.

That and the fact they are playing like shit and were unders anyway
 
Jugada said:
Line movement is definitely a combination of losing Edwards and Bolton combined with the fact they don't really have fit players to come in to cover for them. Some people probably waiting til later but when it snowballs you need to also get in early or miss the price.

That and the fact they are playing like sh*t and were unders anyway
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Squiggle has them winning by a handy 4 goals - personally I'd say that would be a disappointing performance against the kebab eaters.
 
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