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AFL 2022 AFL Round 2

Line Winners?


  • Total voters
    30
  • Poll closed .

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Think the Dogs represent good bounce back value against the Blues.
That line is too small imo, think they win by 15-20.

Swans at home are a great bet against the Cats.

Giants at over $2 or at the line are excellent value against the Tigers.

Demons into Port might be a safe little multi.
 

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Ill stick my head out and say Buddy Franklin doesnt get his 1000th goal in the wet this Friday night. 4 goals might be a big too much for the Big Bud in heavy conditions- but Ive been wrong on him in the wet before.

The reason why companies a bit reluctant to release totals is because of the changing nature of weather.

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I don't think the Dogs are travelling too well at the moment. Forward line is going to be an issue all season, outside of Naughton, who isn't the most reliable kick, there doesn't seem to be much else there. Carlton now have the midfield depth to match the Dogs and if Bontempelli doesn't play I'd definitely fancy the Blues to get it done.
 
Sportsbet goal kicker odds are putrid. Hopefully other bookies are a bit more generous and not scared after round 1.
SB know at this point so many people use them regardless. Their odds won't change until people lose elsewhere at greater odds...

Their disposal/goal scorer stuff are disgraceful really
 
Daniher/Cameron/Mcstay/Mccarthy 3,4,5 and Bailey/Rayner/Fort 3,4,5 all this week. Bris dons at Marvel.

Odds dogshit atm for SB see what else comes out, maybe bet fort now? kicked 2 straight vs power

Fort 2+ @ 4
3+ @ 12
4+ @ 51
5+ @ 161 (sb trick)
 

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1u Shaun Higgins 4+ @ $296 (SB multi trick)

1u Oliver Florent 4+ @ $235 (SB multi trick)
 
Does anyone remember which round it normally pays off to stop the early season overs plays and switch to the unders? Memory serves it is around R4 or 5
Also using the following for O/U betting

Closer to summer, over
Closer to winter, under
Closer to Night, under
Closer to Day, over

Also rules changes means longer QTR so far, bookies will probably get it right in round 4-5

On Pixel 4a using BigFooty.com mobile app
 

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Dogs vs Blues has to be the biggest R1 odds reaction match. Blues were 11.5 point dogs against a cooked bottom 8 team and now are just an 8.5 point dog against the second best team in the league?
With my Carlton hat on, there is a few things you are conveniently ignoring.

  • We were 6 goals up against the Dogs last year late deep in the third quarter and are likely a much better side this year.
  • We have three tall forwards that will trouble the Bulldogs defenders in the air.
  • We now have the midfield to not only match the Dogs', but to beat them on the inside, crucial in gaining field position and momentum.
  • Aside from a 10 minute patch where they kicked 6 goals as a result of huge momentum, the Dogs' looked ordinary against the Dees, scoring only 5 goals in the rest of the game time.
 
1u Shaun Higgins 4+ @ $296 (SB multi trick)

1u Oliver Florent 4+ @ $235 (SB multi trick)
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3u - Collingwood -15.5 - $2 - Ladbrokes
I was surprised and impressed by Collingwood on the weekend. Although I don’t believe they have what it takes to make finals this year, they still have a fair bit of quality and class in their line up. Daicos and Lipinkski fitted in seamlessly, whilst many of their young up and comers looked to have stepped up a level. There clear intent to work on quicker ball movement was on display Friday night as they comfortable ran over the Saints. Will be boosted by the likely return of Hoskin-Elliot. The crows played on a scorching hot Sunday arvo and went away with a. One point loss. At many points in the game they flirted with getting blown away, and if it weren’t for a big third quarter or brain lapse from Freo the winning margin would’ve been much greater. Six of their twelve goals came in the third. As the game progressed a number of Crows players went down with cramps. Two days less turn around for the Crows heading into this one, so we may see some fatigue carrying over and fresher legs from the pies. Line moving out quick so have some wiggle room to hedge out if need be.

3u - GWS +2.5 - $2 - Ladbrokes
Wrong team favourite. Richmond lost Prestia in their hit out against the Blues. It’s unlikely that he’ll be featuring against the Giants, his ball winning ability against this tough midfield unit will be sorely missed. Riewoldt also underwent surgery Friday night for a thumb injury that he sustained during the match, he would also be a massive out for the Tigers as a leader and target. As a result, Balta will be required to swing forward (leaving defence vulnerable) or stay back (leaving forward line weak). Will be great for Davis, who will now match up on Lynch (held Franklin to 1 on the weekend). Vlaustin, Lambert and McIntosh still look at least a week away, which are some key experienced heads. Richmond were blown away on the spread and explosiveness of the Carlton midfield and were damaged by their ability to hit the scoreboard (6.3). GWS will be able to do much of the same with explosive talent coming through and midfielders that pop up and regularly kick goals. The Giants will take positives from their performance against Sydney, they were level in scoring shots yet inefficiency and inability to run out the game (factors for both these sides on the weekend) will be heavily looked at during the week. Expecting the Giants to start favourites in this one.

Edit: Sloane out too
 
With my Carlton hat on, there is a few things you are conveniently ignoring.

  • We were 6 goals up against the Dogs last year late deep in the third quarter and are likely a much better side this year.
  • We have three tall forwards that will trouble the Bulldogs defenders in the air.
  • We now have the midfield to not only match the Dogs', but to beat them on the inside, crucial in gaining field position and momentum.
  • Aside from a 10 minute patch where they kicked 6 goals as a result of huge momentum, the Dogs' looked ordinary against the Dees, scoring only 5 goals in the rest of the game time.
Leading the Dogs for a period in a single match last time (before losing) is not a very reliable indicator of ability. Nor is nit picking stats from the Dogs match against the Dee's.

I actually am pretty bullish on the Blues this year but the Dogs are already a proven top team with a much bigger body of work that is top 2 in the league. The fact Carlton are shorter odds vs the Dogs than they were vs the Tigers just last week is just wrong
 

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AFL 2022 AFL Round 2

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