AFL 2023 - AFL Round 11 (Sir Doug Nicholls Round - part 2)

[balmainforever]

 

[dontlimitme]

lads the ******* burts get around us

 

[BloodRet]

 

[jikost]

Mihocek/Elliott 5+ @ $2.03 sb - For 50/50 odds this feels like it should get home... Surely at least one of these guys is kicking a few???

 

[BloodRet]

Can’t believe this game was even-money

 

[Selim]

It sucks sites like Pointsbet & TopSport dont pay out straight away

 

[tangolikelama]

Can’t believe this game was even-money

free money bro

 

[tangolikelama]

Where is this Samson Ryan giraffe looking campaigner

 

[NonPhixion]

Miller is atrocious

 

[HTPunter]

Not a fancy bet or great odds but still like it. Bit like Whitfield stats multiplier yesterday - sometimes just going simple is best.

Some value in these mark/tackle bets on TAB. Bont was $1.50 for 6+ tackles yesterday, had reached that mark 8/10 this year (saw this but didn’t have time to get on). Sparrow and Harmes got well over 4 tackles at $1.80 and $2 odds.

One I like early is Dylan Williams 4+ marks $1.60 TAB.

Gone 5, 8, 4, 5 in his last 4 since being sub. Worked his way into the side. Burton shifted forward gives him more role. Should get there with 4 uncontested switch marks.

Nothing special but an easy win early 2nd quarter

 

[mozz23]

Mihocek 2+
Bobby hill 2+
Ginnivan anytime

$4 bet right bonus back if one fails

 

[Robo87]

17 behinds already in the game before half time...
edit: 18, 19

 

[dontlimitme]

how was that not a free to burton ffs

 

[dontlimitme]

ffs

 

[Selim]

this is so damn s**t

 

[HTPunter]

Which one of you Richmond posters is Dustin Martin, trying his best to get Burton a goal

 

[BloodRet]

if this is another first quarter then nothing train I’m gonna ******* string

 

[dontlimitme]

if this is another first quarter then nothing train I’m gonna ******* string

if burton doesn't kick another i think we just shut this forum down

 

[windyhill]

Lions to be leading @ halftime. 1-12 or 13-24.

 

[Fabab]

zac bailey

33

Zac Bailey

Age

24

Ht

182cm

Wt

84kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.7

3star

K

6.9

3star

HB

5.9

4star

M

3.0

3star

T

2.2

4star

CL

0.9

3star

D

12.9

3star

K

7.3

3star

HB

5.6

3star

M

3.9

4star

T

2.4

3star

CL

0.7

3star

D

13.4

4star

K

6.6

3star

HB

6.8

5star

M

3.2

4star

T

2.8

5star

CL

0.6

3star

3or more $6,50 wa tab.

 

[gillon]

Zurharr 1, 2 and 3 is &1.90 $6.50 and 26 on DABBLE

Get that ASAP no way this is lasting

 

[dontlimitme]

now burton down back

* off hinkley

* off port

 

[Selim]

Zurhaar 2-4 @2.65, 6.25, 20

Stephenson 2-4 @3.25, 9.25, 31

Cox 2-4 @2.54, 5.90, 16

Johnson 2-5 @2.14, 4.50, 12, 34

 

[_ASP3X]

DeGoey 2+ - 2u @ $3.70
DeGoey 3+ - 1u @ $8.50
DeGoey 4+ - 0.5u @ $21

Johnson, Mihocek, Elliot 1+ goal each qtr - 2u @ $2.18

Crisp 80+ Fantasy - 1u @ $2.00
Crisp AGS - 1u @ $3.50
Crisp 2+ - 0.5u @ $21

 

[dontlimitme]

ash johnson bag to save the day please

 

[NYRB]

AFL Stat Multiplier from Points , trends for past 3 years for Collingwood v North Melbourne. (Goals x Kicks x Handballs)

Few tips and suggestions ,using $1 staking system.



OVER 34 Jack Crisp

25

Jack Crisp

Age

30

Ht

190cm

Wt

91kg

Pos.

D/M

Career

Season

Last 5

D

21.2

5star

K

11.5

4star

HB

9.7

5star

M

4.6

4star

T

4.0

5star

MG

307.6

4star

D

17.7

4star

K

10.7

4star

HB

7.0

4star

M

5.1

5star

T

1.6

3star

MG

307.6

4star

D

14.4

4star

K

8.4

4star

HB

6.0

4star

M

2.8

3star

T

3.0

5star

- has a similar vibe to a Sam Wicks style game on Friday Night.

UNDER 252 De Goey- 39 out of his last 48 games has gone the under. 2 Goals still should still the under cover in my opinion.

OVER 37 - Coleman Jones, speculative play today as I think he gets Collingwoods 3rd best defender and can stretch the Pies backline with his height. I also dont mind 2+/3+/4+ goals for him at 3.90/13/46 at Sportsbet. Have staked 1 u, 0.25 u, and 0.125 units on each.

OVER 56- Zurhaar- line was much higher about 7 weeks ago, with a spread of 120-141. Im taking the overs here at a much lower line, considering his average over the past 3 seasons is in the low 60s.