AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 10

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Sydney v Carlton
Sydney 1-24
Will Hayward To Kick 2+ Goals
Matthew Owies To Kick 2+ Goals
Under 190.5 Alternate Totals
Justin McInerney To Get 15+ Disposals
Matthew Kennedy To Get 15+ Disposals
Tom De Koning Anytime Goalscorer
Joel Amartey Anytime Goalscorer

$80.73 PB
 

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Why does the AFL hate us so much...

Thursday night and you put a game on in Darwin where no one can score lol

Wish Aussie markets would be like US ones, where you can back players for over and under on most lines.

This board would go wild cheering for some spud missing a shot on goal or getting benched.
 
They would cannibalise a few points off each other.

Any idea how often they hit those? Either solo or as a combo?

Interestingly Gold Coast are 5-2 up there and Geelong have never played at TIO.
I imagine TIO would be the leagues best HGA for GC. They come from a warm and humid location already and have acclimatised for a week. The game will be slippery and that's suits their midfield perfectly as they are big on contested possessions.

Cats should be short on line breakers with Danger and Cameron out. If Hardwick is smart he should put the clamps on Miers and / or Steward and their ball movement should be kaput.
 
They would cannibalise a few points off each other.

Any idea how often they hit those? Either solo or as a combo?

Interestingly Gold Coast are 5-2 up there and Geelong have never played at TIO.
they are usually okay to group a couple mids together (is common strategy in DFS) you target bad midfields who leak points, Tigers last week form example. Cats have given up big numbers to mids also so generally its fine, Darwin a bit of a red flag though, its the lowest scoring fantasy ground by a fair way.
 
they are usually okay to group a couple mids together (is common strategy in DFS) you target bad midfields who leak points, Tigers last week form example. Cats have given up big numbers to mids also so generally its fine, Darwin a bit of a red flag though, its the lowest scoring fantasy ground by a fair way.
Might be a bit silly here but what is a DFS?

Do agree with you on the scoring at Darwin for AFL Fantasy, just a brief sample of past 5 games tends to suggest it is lower scoring:

1715745546443.png

Im not sure if Thursdays match clears 3000+ AFL Fantasy Points combined for both teams.
 
Might be a bit silly here but what is a DFS?

Do agree with you on the scoring at Darwin for AFL Fantasy, just a brief sample of past 5 games tends to suggest it is lower scoring:

View attachment 1989562

Im not sure if Thursdays match clears 3000+ AFL Fantasy Points combined for both teams.
Daily Fantasy, like draftstars
 

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I mean both losing sides scored 75+ on the two games played there last year.
True.

Geelong if you check the points against on the ladder prove they are defensive orientated.

GC have let a few more points few this year than they would have liked but with their marking interceptors in defence and a weaken Geelong forward line I can see the u172.5 coming through.
 
Jack Martin the value in the swans game assuming he doesn’t do his usual hammy
 
what a putrid looking game it looks like tomorrow
Legit, without being a degen, even on a Thurs...will be though. Hence going to start some weird multis to keep me going.

Bowes 20+, C Guthrie 20+
Miller 25+, Anderson 25+
S Neale 2+
L Johnston AGS, B Humphrey AGS
Gold Coast to win 2nd Half only
@ $67 Bet365
 
Most Disposals Group A

Best Prices from TAB/Sportsbet

Anderson 2.95 (SB)
Flanders 3.05 (SB)
Miller 4.50 (SB)
Holmes 9.50 (TAB)
Stewart 13 (TAB)
Rowell 14 (SB)
Miers 17 (SB)
C Guthrie 21 (TAB)


Who is the value there? I cant be trusting Anderson at that price in those hot conditions up in Darwin. Also tends to underperform against Geelong.

Last encounter between these two sides, Stewart finished equal leader, with a player who isnt playing (Weller)

Happy to have a 1u Stewart most disposals at 13, 0.5u play on Miers at 17. Geelong may look to play a tad slower without their 2 big forwards up front.
 

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