Aussies 2024 Australian Swimming Trials

[RussellEbertHandball]

Ledecky won 800m in 8.14.12.

Titmus won Oz trials in 8.14.06

2nd placed Madden did an 8.20 and in Oz trials Pallister did an 8.18.

This Titmus v Ledecky battle might be closer than it looked a few weeks ago.

 

[gbear]

Ledecky won 800m in 8.14.12.

Titmus won Oz trials in 8.14.06

2nd placed Madden did an 8.20 and in Oz trials Pallister did an 8.18.

This Titmus v Ledecky battle might be closer than it looked a few weeks ago.

Wow. I reckon Titmus has a good short, just needs to pace the middle a bit better compared to trials.

 

[BGman]

The swimming for Brisbane is scheduled for the new Roma Street Brisbane Arena,

No longer according to their new Premier. He wants to transform Suncorp for the swimming. I suppose this all depends if the Socialists stay in government up there.

 

[BGman]

Haven't been confident Stubblety-Cook will defend his 200m Breaststroke Olympic title and even less so after US swimmer Matt Fallon at day 5 finas has just gone to #1 rank and pushed Zac to #6 in the qualifying period. Zac swam 2.07.40 at the trials.

2023-2024 LCM Men 200 Breast

swimswam.com

Zac is going to have to emulate his 2.06.38 from Tokyo. I for one aint saying he cant do that.

 

[RussellEbertHandball]

No longer according to their new Premier. He wants to transform Suncorp for the swimming. I suppose this all depends if the Socialists stay in government up there.

Does he??, or is it a thought bubble by News Corp???

 

[RussellEbertHandball]

Jack won in 23.99 and Harris 2nd in 24.26

 

[RussellEbertHandball]

Bobby Finke is back. Goes to 2nd ranked in 1500m

He will go close to defending his 800m / 1500m double from Tokyo. Irishman Daniel Wiffen is ranked 1st in both events.

 

[RussellEbertHandball]

It will great to get your update on this at the end of day 9 Russell.

Day 6 1st Aug / Finals start 4.30am AEST 2nd Aug
M 200m Back
W 200m Fly (CAN) W 200m Breast (SAF)
W 4 x 200m Free


Day 7 2nd Aug/ 3rd August
M 50m Free M 200m IM (FRA)
W 200m Back

Day 8 3rd Aug/ 4th August
M 100m Fly
W 200m IM (CAN)
Mixed 4 x 100m (GBR)


Day 9
M 1500m (IRL)
W 50m Free
M 4 x 100m Medley W 4 x 100m Medley


So days 6 to 9 my predictions are
USA 5, AUS 3, CAN 2, GBR 1, IRL 1, FRA 1, SAF 1,

My first 5 days and 20 events prediction was
USA 5, AUS 4, GBR 2, GER 2, FRA 1, CAN 1, IRL 1, JAP 1, and CHN 1 + 2 x 0.5 RSA 0.5 ITA 0.5

So USA 10, Oz 8 is similar to Tokyo. GBR 3 and CAN 3, FRA, IRL and GER 2.

I don't have an Oz Male winning an event but the 8 female events I have said Oz will win is 6 Freestlye events, and 2 backstroke events - 50m Free Jack, 100m Free MOC, 200m+400m Free Titmus the 4x 100m and 4x 200m Free relays and 100m+200m Back McKeown.

I haven't bothered to try and do silver and bronze medals, but I would expect total medals for USA to be between 25 and 30 and Oz 15 to 20.

SwimSwam will do their gold, silver and bronze predictions about 1 week before the games starts. They will be a lot more accurate than me, but I don't think there will be massive change from Tokyo for medals won by countries, just some who won a medal or two, might flip them to gold and vice versa.

Here is a partial medals table from Tokyo split between male and female and also a table showing relay results. I've only included nations that won gold and included Italy as they won 7 medals and could flip a couple of them. Netherlands I included as I thought they won 3 silvers but they won a silver in open swimming. Hong Konger Siobhan Haughey won silvers in the 100m and 200m Free.

 

[RussellEbertHandball]

Might have to change my 200m winner from German Martens to Romania's David Popovic. Martens time in April was 1.44.14, so Popovic is a full second faster.

 

[RussellEbertHandball]

Maybe another event I will have to change my pick. There is a swimming meet in Italy competing against the Euro championships. That might have prize money.

Daniel Wiffen did a 14.34 in April so I picked him in my list above. He has just swum a 14.53. Bobby Finke did a 14.40 overnight at US trials and second fastest in the 2023-34 qualifying period. Bobby might now start favourite to defend his Olympic title.

His brother Nathan Wiffen is in the final of a weakened Euro championship 1500m final.

 

[RussellEbertHandball]

Athletics statistician David Tarbotton had this graphic on his twitter site.

Olympic Games - swimming medal table: USA v Australia. History will repeat of the last couple of Olympics.

 

[RussellEbertHandball]

SwimSwam have now put up their dedicated 2024 Olympic link there in bight red at the top of their home page LHS.

Paris 2024 - SwimSwam

Paris 2024 swimming news on SwimSwam

swimswam.com

Looks like they are doing a preview of an event every day. They have started with the men's 100m backstroke. I said that either Ceccon of Italy or Xu of China would win in my predictions 2 weeks ago.

They have gone for Ceccon and slotted in the 2 Americans, Ryan Murphy

Ryan Murphy

Age

40

Ht

193cm

Wt

92kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

7.9

2star

K

5.0

2star

HB

2.8

2star

M

3.7

4star

T

1.0

3star

G

1.0

4star

No current season stats available

D

4.6

1star

K

3.6

2star

HB

1.0

2star

M

2.4

3star

T

0.4

3star

G

0.4

3star

and Hunter Armstrong for for silver and bronze. See;

2024 Olympics Previews: Another Round Of Ceccon Vs. The Americans On Tap In The Men's 100 Back

All boasting sub-52 PBs, Ceccon, Murphy, and Armstrong controlled the podium at the 2022 and 2023 World Championships and aim to do the same in Paris.

swimswam.com

 

[magpie_marty]

I wonder what times the Chinese swimmers are regarding pre games?