- Dec 27, 2016
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In a remote camp ground 99% of Australia has never heard of? ... Could understand if it was in a resort somewhere like Lisbon, Portugal... oh wait, that's been done. Ok, ANY resort or holiday spot near a major centre. Plenty of places around Perth, if you're confined to that state. But in that place... and to get away with it completely leaving no clues... clever or lucky? ... I don't know what I'm trying to say, but does any of it make sense?
Missing child aside, does anyone else find it more than a little disturbing that considering how risky it is to leave WA and not get stranded at the moment that after a week there's still 12 child sex offenders unaccounted for?
That's 12 potentially dangerous individuals who can't be found to verify their whereabouts if required after a week. Imagine of one of them was accused of something and had to be found. I know our state is huge but surely you can't just drop off the radar so easily
It just seems too brazen, too lucky, too convenient that he’s got away leaving no trace.The brazenness of it almost makes me wonder if it's possibly a first time offender.
Say someone who had been having thoughts, possibly like others have said having a peep into people's tents. This night he's having a peep and this time decides to act on his thoughts. No real planning or thoughts of what to do afterwards just pure impulse kicking in.
He somehow manages to get back to his car without her waking up or anyone being alerted but he hasn't really thought too much further ahead he's just surviving on pure luck. Some first time creep on an adrenaline kick with nerves setting in could explain the tyres screeching if he accidentally floored it while his mind is racing thinking about what he's supposed to do next
Hopefully there’s an unaccounted for sex offender serial killer in WAAs usual 'headline' first with zero context from the media..!
12 unaccounted registered offenders, OK but from how many - 10 or 15,000...? And they are probably all dead, someone just hasn't updated the records...
In the below, I’ve marked the approx. position of the tent with a red X.
It might be a bit to the NW of this if it's where No. 16 is, if No 16 was removed recently and replaced with a camping spot.
Broken Paradign’s positioning of the tent correlates with a camping area (green) next to a parking area (yellow) on the below 2018 Council diagram of the site.
View attachment 1265786
It just seems too brazen, too lucky, too convenient that he’s got away leaving no trace.
Hopefully there’s an unaccounted for sex offender serial killer in WA
Hopefully there’s an unaccounted for sex offender serial killer in WA
In my view, any perpetrator would have long since been spooked by the amount of publicity in this case, and certainly once police publically shifted to the abduction theory and a reward was offered.People here know more on this than I do but if she was abducted, surely today's media blitz would've spooked the perpetrator.
In my view, any perpetrator would have long since been spooked by the amount of publicity in this case, and certainly once police publically shifted to the abduction theory and a reward was offered.
I personally don’t think the window is closing on finding her; I think that has passed. I think the window is closing on solving what happened at all.
If they can match up campsite CCTV with vehicle details and online payment records I assume that would have been done days ago. I think either they have very vague/incomplete information and have exhausted all other efforts to fill the gaps (hence the dashcam and CCTV request) or they have none (hence again the dashcam and CCTV request).To stay at the campsite you don't pre-book. Instructions on council site say go there choose your site then pay on line. That's probably why they have cctv setup. Police may have cross checked records of vehicle entry vs online payment records and have records of vehicles not linked to a payment hence they know who to track down. Hopefully!
The Daniel Morcombe case took longer to solve and they still eventually did, so it’s not completely hopeless, but yes, becomes harder and harder. The William Tyrell investigators may be able to provide insight about things they wished they’d done but didn’t. That can be enormously helpful.I worry they are considering speaking with the Tyrrell case investigators. 7 years no outcome.
Been ages since I posted in here, but this case piqued my interest because police are (rightly IMO) offering a reward early in the piece rather than waiting until years down the track when they’ve exhausted everything else.
The dashcam footage is interesting. I see two options here. Either they have looked at any dashcam footage and CCTV directly relevant to the campsite itself and found a vehicle or vehicles of interest they want to track OR they are hoping to find a vehicle of interest in this.
Personally I think it is the latter. They have asked for footage from 6pm on the Friday, which is before the arrival of the family. If they had vehicles of interest already, I don’t think they’d need that. I suppose they could be just trying to match things up or want to be as vague as possible not to tip off a suspect and be planning to disregard some, but I tend towards believing that the search is so broad they haven’t narrowed it down. I think they are trying to find a vehicle or vehicles that were in the area the evening before and follow a trajectory the next morning that is consistent with whatever timeline they have come up with.
I genuinely don’t like their chances.
I assume nighttime dashcam and CCTV in actual darkness on a country road is pretty useless for identifying much. How much footage is going to exist from the night before after 6pm before it got dark, and especially given any perpetrator may have come in to the area completely after dark?
Then with Cleo being taken between 1:30-6am, and the most likely time being around 3am (not just due to the sound of car tyres screeching, but also because that’s a likely time for everyone in the camping area to be asleep and someone to pull off a brazen act), that is approximately 2.5 hours before light. So in the morning they’re essentially missing 2.5 hours where they can follow anything. Perpetrator could have hotfooted it hundreds of kms away, could have gone to Carnarvon and hidden, or could have stayed nearby.
It is in my view a long shot to see a car in the area or somewhere consistent the evening before and match it to one in the morning full stop, let alone any such match being anything more than coincidence.
I also personally don’t believe that police have a specific vehicle they are looking for because it has taken so long for them to do this. If they had a clear idea it would have come from interviews with the other campers or the CCTV from the nearby buildings, which they had days ago. Of course they don’t necessarily tell the public everything they know, but they would still in my view have asked for the footage if they had information even if they didn’t tell the public what that information was. Can’t see them being suspicious about, say, a white van four days ago but waiting until now to launch a huge search for where that white van might be.
I also don’t think they would ask for that volume of footage now if they were after something specific. The argument about tipping off the perpetrator and risking the perpetrator killing Cleo doesn’t hold. In my view the publicity in this case and the offer of a reward already risked that. No point making a search for a vehicle more difficult for no discernible purpose.
I think this is a Hail Mary. I don’t think they have a clue and they know time is running out.
The Daniel Morcombe case took longer to solve and they still eventually did, so it’s not completely hopeless, but yes, becomes harder and harder. The William Tyrell investigators may be able to provide insight about things they wished they’d done but didn’t. That can be enormously helpful.
To stay at the campsite you don't pre-book. Instructions on council site say go there choose your site then pay on line. That's probably why they have cctv setup. Police may have cross checked records of vehicle entry vs online payment records and have records of vehicles not linked to a payment hence they know who to track down. Hopefully!
Not sure why they particularly chose 1000kms, but it seems to me that they effectively want to cover all of northern country WA up to the point that is becomes too complicated (eg Perth where the sheer amount of footage would be a hindrance rather than a help).I like your thoughts on timing. Maybe the current distance parameter in police dashcam cctv request is linked to 1. 30am and the time they arrived on scene. getaway at average 100kph x say x 10 hours.