AFL round 1

[asanque]

Good research, but I would have thought the result would be 'no bet'?

All previous games have gone overs, but there is rain tonight.
Sort of evens itself out?

Both teams have pretty bad defences.

Good game not to have a bet on overs/unders

Although the Blues kicked atrociously (countered by Tigers kicking well)

 

[The GOAT]

2 units - Blues -20.5

This

 

[krisholio14]

I thought the value bet of the week was Carlton -19.5 @ 1.92.

Took a nice chunk of those odds and it's looking good at half time

Now i'm worried

Waite getting K.O'ed means i've done me dollars I think.

I don't know how the hell I got out of that one but i'm not going to complain

 

[Moses01]

Yep, got a promo going. Pay out on 1st AND 2nd goals for round 1!

yea I had a look at that - but min bet is $15, and it only applies to your first bet of the match, and my first bet was only $5 and not Riewoldt! Still got the money tho. Strange.

 

[rhinowce]

Where'd you place that bet?

I swear i took Morton 1st Goal at Sportingbet. Just looked at it and it says $17 Most Goals.

Sportsbet, i had him for most goals not first.

 

[Roostasani]

I don't know how the hell I got out of that one but i'm not going to complain

I took the same bet, the last minute killed me, I was sure that carlton were going to try rush through a behind there and ruin my bet.

 

[2notepockets]

on lux bet

Most Disposals - Dal Santo v Selwood Win
Dal Santo, Nick (St Kilda)
1.77

Selwood, Joel (Geelong)
2.00

Selwood averaged about 3 more touches per game in 2010, i presume they are expecting him to get the hard tag from Jones?

also looking to take under in total match points hopefully they set it at least 165 any one seen a line on this yet?

 

[mattys123]

Game total is set at 163.5 on Centrebet, hmm, a bit tight for me, I can see both sides playing a little more attacking then in previous contests.

 

[Lyyynnnchy]

Scott has come out and said he wants to play more defensive than usual and with no Kosi, Riewoldt will be double teamed. No Chapman means Steve J will get the forward tag. Also looks like it will rain through the day.

Low scoring game but as you said the line is very low.

 

[twarby]

i'd lean the unders

I can't see Geelong kicking a winning score

annoyed the books are onto Gilbert though, was hoping to catch him in a h2h

 

[asanque]

i'd lean the unders

I can't see Geelong kicking a winning score

annoyed the books are onto Gilbert though, was hoping to catch him in a h2h

What do you mean onto Gilbert?

 

[twarby]

What do you mean onto Gilbert?

his forward role

was hoping to fade him in some dt points or possession h2hs

 

[GoodesStuff]

his forward role

He's paying $51 for first or second goal on sportingbet.

 

[asanque]

Are we sure he is playing forward?
He is named on the HBF.

I know he was tested there at the end of last year, but was he used in the forward line in the pre-season?

 

[twarby]

hes only played the one game so far i think, he played up forward then and was very ineffective.

he certainly won't be playing that backline role we are used to from him

 

[the egg]

1 unit Tigers 1-39
1 unit Tigers + 20.5

Broke even.

 

[twarby]

on lux bet

Most Disposals - Dal Santo v Selwood Win
Dal Santo, Nick (St Kilda)
1.77

Selwood, Joel (Geelong)
2.00

Selwood averaged about 3 more touches per game in 2010, i presume they are expecting him to get the hard tag from Jones?

Ling usually plays on Dal doesn't he?
regardless Dal Santo has gotten 31 and 29 in his last two against the Cats.
the odds are right

 

[stuziman]

Might put a $1 on him anyways

I like selwood under 108.5 DT points on lux (eventhough I hate lux)

He will get so much attention and his strength is handballing so if he is under the pump they might by-pass him in the chain. Could see a 80-90 game but then again if it's wet he might get 10 tackles and FF. What's people's thoughts?

 

[asanque]

Ling usually plays on Dal doesn't he?
regardless Dal Santo has gotten 31 and 29 in his last two against the Cats.
the odds are right

Luxbet have a whole range of interesting disposal and possession bets.

I had a look but the odds look about right to me too.

 

[KardiniaPark]

Might put a $1 on him anyways

I like selwood under 108.5 DT points on lux (eventhough I hate lux)

He will get so much attention and his strength is handballing so if he is under the pump they might by-pass him in the chain. Could see a 80-90 game but then again if it's wet he might get 10 tackles and FF. What's people's thoughts?

He's a duck, if that rain is still around he will get 100 just from contested posessions and tackles.

Is anyone else having a problem with the TAB website. It wont let me click on anything? I've deleted cookies and still nothing?

 

[Borgsta]

If I were a betting man is back. Here are Lachlan's bets for Round 1.

http://thefinalsiren.com/2011/03/24/if-i-were-a-betting-man-2011-round-1/

You have plugged this site 16 times this year. Enough already.

 

[Sasquatch]

4 units under 163.5 @ $1.90
4 units Selwood more disposals than Goddard @ $1.85

St.Kilda will struggle to kick goals.
Geelong will struggle to kick goals.
St.Kilda play defence
Geelong play defence

Under is clear cut here.

 

[Sasquatch]

You have plugged this site 16 times this year. Enough already.

16? I thought it was more than that. That's what it feels like.

 

[twarby]

Saints -5.5 @ 2.00
Geelong team score < 79 points
1st goal scorer of each quarter Sam Gilbert @ 21
Fisher > Gram Dream Team Points @ 1.80
Gwilt most possessions Group B @ 11

 

[Lensen]

0.5 units Travis Varcoe most goals tonight @ $26