AFL Round 12

[The Royal Sampler]

Yeah, fair enough, BL's opponents are 7-3 goals > behinds and Merrett out only helps with that given he's their best spoiler.

 

[The_Big_Ship]

Western Bulldogs H2H - 3 units @ $2.45

Adelaide H2H - 2 units @ $2.35

Gold Coast H2H - 5 units @ $3.30, 25+- 2 units @ $8.50, 40+ - 1 unit @ $16.00

Geelong 1-39 - 2 units @ $2.25

Richmond H2H - 1 unit @ $3.72

Fremantle 1-39 - 2 units @ $2.40

 

[monfils]

Gold Coast look like the bet of the week to me. Should be about $3.

 

[jamesmac23]

geelong unders
sydney >15
west coast
melb line

@ 11s

 

[Canyouhearthedrums]

Saints -11.5 looks alright to me...Doggies are absolutely woeful.

 

[The Sultan]

like the following, and will multi these up a few diff ways,

Saints over 15.5 @ 2.05
Blues over 15.5 @ 1.16
Melb to beat the line (32.5points) @ 1.92
WCE win @ 1.60
GCS win @ 3.23
GCS to beat the line (21.5points) @ 1.92
Sydney win @ 1.28
Geelong win @ 1.40

 

[monfries6]

Really liking the look at this for my main multi of the week. Think Gold Coast and Essendon will go very close this week, and am banking on Geelong continuing their dominance over the Hawks and for Carlton to continue on their merry way.

Gold Coast +39.5
Geelong H2H
Carlton -29.5
Essendon +29.5
@3.38

 

[X_box_X]

I've put $50 on the first four games of the week, either team under 15.5 points. It happened in round five.

@ $75.69.

It's only a free bet, and I honestly think the first four games will be close.

 

[Borgsta]

Saints -11.5 looks alright to me...Doggies are absolutely woeful.

Montagna is out.

We were saying the exact same thing about the Saints 3 weeks ago.

Fun stat.

Bulldogs lost by 59 last week. Saints by 57.

Bulldogs were "hammered". Saints "lost".

Don't let the media influence your decisions.

 

[DT_35]

Montagna is out.

We were saying the exact same thing about the Saints 3 weeks ago.

Fun stat.

Bulldogs lost by 59 last week. Saints by 57.

Bulldogs were "hammered". Saints "lost".

Don't let the media influence your decisions.

Mate, the Dogs were never in the game, St.Kilda were.

Your boys kicked a few junk time goals to reduce the margin so 59 points isn't a true indication.

This game is a no-bet for me, Montagna out. I'd probably be tempted to take the Dogs @ $2.50

 

[5 Bucks]

Dogs with a 4 goal start is paying $1.50. I'll have a piece of that.

 

[Lyyynnnchy]

Agreed, I like the dogs this week. Ill wait for the teams though

 

[Borgsta]

Mate, the Dogs were never in the game, St.Kilda were.

Your boys kicked a few junk time goals to reduce the margin so 59 points isn't a true indication.

This game is a no-bet for me, Montagna out. I'd probably be tempted to take the Dogs @ $2.50

We were in the game until the final 6 minutes of the first half. Saints were in the game until half time.

 

[Athomas]

High/Low Doubles:

Ess/Adel @ 201 I like

Have also taken:
Carl/Adel, Carl/Rich, Ess/Rich, Ess/Bris.

FWIW, my mate asked me for a High/Low double and I told him Geel/Port @ 53. Sigh.

 

[flylikeaneagle]

Montagna is out.

We were saying the exact same thing about the Saints 3 weeks ago.

Fun stat.

Bulldogs lost by 59 last week. Saints by 57.

Bulldogs were "hammered". Saints "lost".

Don't let the media influence your decisions.

Dogs lost by over 10 goals last week.

 

[yamahamoto]

Anyone know why the Geelong hawthorn game is suspended at tab?

 

[Borgsta]

Dogs lost by over 10 goals last week.

Apologies 61, not 59. Yep a massive 4 point difference.

You can call me bias because I am a dogs supporter but I am not advocating a play on the Dogs. I'm just staggered that beating an undermanned Freo, struggling to beat Melb and then getting smashed by Collingwood and people's opinions have changed from

Saints are shit, won't make finals.

To

Saints will thrash the Dogs (who are also shit).

EDIT: RE Gee vs Hawks - I'm guessing something to do with a training session and probably Franklin playing.

 

[flylikeaneagle]

Apologies 61, not 59. Yep a massive 4 point difference.

You can call me bias because I am a dogs supporter but I am not advocating a play on the Dogs. I'm just staggered that beating an undermanned Freo, struggling to beat Melb and then getting smashed by Collingwood and people's opinions have changed from

Saints are shit, won't make finals.

To

Saints will thrash the Dogs (who are also shit).

EDIT: RE Gee vs Hawks - I'm guessing something to do with a training session and probably Franklin playing.

I think the Saints-Dogs game will be its usual close, low scoring self. Though I still fancy the Saints to get over the line.

 

[Mudeo]

Anyone interested in Melbourne more behinds than goals @ 2.4
Collingwood put so much pressure on that it rushes opponents into taking shots at goals might be worth a go.

 

[mike262]

dogs-saints

either team under 24.5 at 2.02

 

[KardiniaPark]

Hey Lenny or anyone that knows ...how do you do a multi with a free bet and how many legs can you have? You go to the old site (sportingbet) right? How do you do it from there?

Edit - nevermind. ANy idiot can work it out haha but is there no line betting on the free bet or do SB just not have them out yet?

 

[flylikeaneagle]

High/Low Doubles:

Ess/Adel @ 201 I like

Have also taken:
Carl/Adel, Carl/Rich, Ess/Rich, Ess/Bris.

FWIW, my mate asked me for a High/Low double and I told him Geel/Port @ 53. Sigh.

Interesting round coming up, can see plenty of teams kicking low scores, but not many to kick high scores: Carlton the most likely, with outside chances to Freo and West Coast.

 

[Lensen]

Hey Lenny or anyone that knows ...how do you do a multi with a free bet and how many legs can you have? You go to the old site (sportingbet) right? How do you do it from there?

Edit - nevermind. ANy idiot can work it out haha but is there no line betting on the free bet or do SB just not have them out yet?

Yeah they don't have all the options available for free bets - pretty shit really.

Good luck beating my record of $7 from the weekend

 

[Most Disposals]

As we hit the half way mark or there abouts in the premiership season, the top sides are looking to 'keep fresh' or maintain their list and as a result improve their finals performance. Look to fade a few teams in the next couple of months. Just got to find the right time, place and team.

This week (at first glance, not much study) I honestly think Colllingwood is a no go zone. I would be jumping against them but they are up against Melbourne and they are coming off a massssivve high from the win against the dons. Although history shows these 2 are close. No beams no thomas no dane no jolly. We like Melbourne with an extra days break. Just got to find the right bet (half time line, half full double etc.)

Carlton Brisbane is interesting. Brisbane had their let down game against swans. A big let down i might add and Carlton won when they were expected to win. Something that good teams do. We like Brisbane in the first half betting in this one. They come out with fire in the bellys after last week, Carlton again not much to play for just another one of those games they are expected to win.

Very early thoughts with out to much study and not investing until further study+ teams are released.

 

[Hawkinspired]

Anyone know why the Geelong hawthorn game is suspended at tab?

Franklin is playing.