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AFL Round 14

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THURSDAY, 22ND JUNE
8.10pm: West Coast ($1.85) vs Essendon ($1.95) Line 1.5

FRIDAY, 28TH JUNE
7.50pm: Sydney ($1.33) vs Carlton ($3.30) Line 20.5

SATURDAY, 29TH JUNE
1.40pm: Gold Coast ($2.15) vs Adelaide ($1.70) Line 6.5
4.40pm: Port Adelaide ($3.30) vs Collingwood ($1.33) Line 19.5
7.40pm: Geelong ($1.48) vs Fremantle ($2.65) Line 13.5
7.40pm: Melbourne ($5.00) vs Western Bulldogs ($1.17) Line 30.5

SUNDAY, 30TH JUNE
1.10pm: Hawthorn ($1.05) vs Brisbane ($10.00) Line 45.5
3.20pm: North Melbourne ($1.01) vs G-W Sydney ($15.00) Line 73.5
4.40pm: Richmond ($1.25) vs St.Kilda ($3.90) Line 27.5

Odds courtesy Sportsbet.com.au (as at 6.15pm on 24/6/13)
 
Swans should smash the blues. They will be fuming after this week.
 

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Essendon way overs for mine.
 
Swans should smash the blues. They will be fuming after this week.


So Geelong should be fuming aswell I would assume?

Its hard week for tips, but imo if teh Melbourne line is more then 45 jump on it, dogs dont like the G and Melbourne prefer it + we dont really blow teams away (other then brisbane this year)

Ill take bombers first half into west coast full time
Freemantle under 39
Melbourne at the line
Richmond head to head
 

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also andrew embley 1 week for striking

That's good for West Coast.

I have taken Essendon as well. Good match ups for Kennedy, Lecras and Darling and in far better form.

Scott Selwood and Hurn out hurts WC a lot and we really haven't played well at Subi this year. Can't believe $2 is available for them.
 
Collingwood at the line also look good, great record at AAMI both SU and ATS, plus I think Port may be on a let down after last week/Collingwood fully focused to ensure they get the W
 
$250 on Essendon @ 2.00

That is as close as you are going to get to free money this year. West Coast are incredibly slow and get exposed on big grounds aka Patersons. They have been smashed at home all year and Thursday will be no different.
 
Early play this week:

Sydney vs. Carlton Under 175.5:
  • 3 days of heavy rain forecasted for Sydney.
  • Few showers forecasted for Sydney on Friday.
  • Both teams should employ an extra one back; Sydney will want to because of Carlton's small forwards. Carlton because of Kurt Tippett.
  • Adam Goodes out for Sydney.
  • Last 3 games total match points between Sydney and Carlton have been 168 (Etihad), 166 (Etihad) & 158 (SCG).
ADDED: Under 175.5, Essendon SU, Sydney SU, Richmond SU @ $6.11 (Small Play)
 

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100$ bombers 2.00
70$ bombers into blue line @$3.82
20$ bombers into blues line into pies line @$7.30
10$ bombers into blues line into pies line into freo line @13.94
 
At this stage (without seeing the lines) I think I might like Sydney's line, Port's line, and if the lines are big enough, GWS's and Freo's lines. If GWS are +70 I'll take that and if Freo get (here's hoping) +20 or more I'll take them. Also, I tipped the Brisbane upset over Geelong (although I was too chicken to back it) and if Brisbane get +30 on the Hawks this week I'll take that. The Hawks haven't been covering their lines often this year...
 

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