AFL Round 14

[banana_bus]

Why not 5k

I was literally going to post the same thing.

I'm thinking about putting 2k on Essendon to be honest... its the best odds I've seen since Richmond were rank outsiders against WCE...

 

[daniel_4tw]

At this stage (without seeing the lines) I think I might like Sydney's line, Port's line, and if the lines are big enough, GWS's and Freo's lines. If GWS are +70 I'll take that and if Freo get (here's hoping) +20 or more I'll take them. Also, I tipped the Brisbane upset over Geelong (although I was too chicken to back it) and if Brisbane get +30 on the Hawks this week I'll take that. The Hawks haven't been covering their lines often this year...

FYI sportingbet:-

GWS +74.5
Brisbane +44.5

Personally I'd be cautious with the GWS line. North will want to prove a point and its the type of game Thomas and Petrie will dominate. If it is at Etihad (?) can see North winning by 100+.

As for the Bris line. All value IMO.

Edit: just noticed Brisbane game is at Tasmania. Tough trip. Won't be touching this game.

 

[Thedeftouch]

Putting 2k on West Coast on Wednesday when their odds move up.

Do you intend to respond to this? http://www.bigfooty.com/forum/threads/afl-round-13.1013166/page-8#post-28793315

 

[Jars#3]

FYI sportingbet:-

GWS +74.5
Brisbane +44.5

Personally I'd be cautious with the GWS line. North will want to prove a point and its the type of game Thomas and Petrie will dominate. If it is at Etihad (?) can see North winning by 100+.

As for the Bris line. All value IMO.

Edit: just noticed Brisbane game is at Tasmania. Tough trip. Won't be touching this game.

true, but you don't give a team that just kicked an 8 goal last quarter on the cats a 7 goal head start against anyone!

 

[Jars#3]

also, the crows H2H could be worth chucking in a multi, or even the crows line. The Gold Coast are winning games they shouldn't win and the crows are losing games they shouldn't lose. this is making the bookies give more value than they should. We've never lost to the suns and i don't think we will this weekend. having said that i'm not touching this one coz i'll jinx us

 

[Gift]

also, the crows H2H could be worth chucking in a multi, or even the crows line. The Gold Coast are winning games they shouldn't win and the crows are losing games they shouldn't lose. this is making the bookies give more value than they should. We've never lost to the suns and i don't think we will this weekend. having said that i'm not touching this one coz i'll jinx us

I thought the same thing when the Dogs played GC at Metricon and we lost. Just accept that GC are on the rise

 

[yamahamoto]

I thought the same thing when the Dogs played GC at Metricon and we lost. Just accept that GC are on the rise

I think we all need to realize gc is a decent team. But I agree Adelaide is good prize this week

 

[Big Jono]

So Geelong should be fuming aswell I would assume?

Yes but the way the Cats could come out and play to show that would play right into Freos hands and Freo do that style of footy better.

If Sydney come out and make it a tight and hard game Carlton will crumble under the pressure.

Both Swans and the Cats will be looking for a big reaction but the Blues will be a lot more susceptible to that than Freo. Imo.

 

[NICNATNUI]

Lol, we have no chance

What makes you say that? I'm asking you cause you were one of the only other WCE supporters that said we were gonna be in the contest last week lol!

And I simply think WCE will win because the way we played Friday night, as well as Essendons usual downfall at this time of the season. WCE said their season started the night against Hawthorn and we only lost 1 quarter against them. Fair to see best game all season.

I think that game will bring the team some confidence, and we will have a chance. Besides good way to make my money back from last week lol.

 

[banana_bus]

You will only win back half.

Wce have no run. Just lost 2 of their top 5 players.

This one's a lock.

 

[Resarenco]

West Coast $1.98 on betfair

 

[bombers91]

also andrew embley 1 week for striking

embley is a bonus champ...he is mud

 

[bombers91]

You will only win back half.

Wce have no run. Just lost 2 of their top 5 players.

This one's a lock.

selwood yes one of eagles best 5 but if u are saying that hurn or embley is in their top 5 u are high as a kite pal

 

[mike262]

Apologies in advance but how do u do multi's on luxbet? (besides the 'quick multis') i cant figure it out.

 

[banana_bus]

selwood yes one of eagles best 5 but if u are saying that hurn or embley is in their top 5 u are high as a kite pal

Hurn is their best distributor by foot and hence one of their most important players..

Maybe you should put down your crack pipe and watch a game before you start telling people they're high.

 

[4evablues]

The odds arent up yet.

But worth looking at Carlton with the start with total under at quarter time.

Sydney getting alot of rain this week should make it tough for scoring. Sydney are faves so the Blues should have a descent line. Think it will be close in the first quarter.

 

[sherrin_footy]

The odds arent up yet.

But worth looking at Carlton with the start with total under at quarter time.

Sydney getting alot of rain this week should make it tough for scoring. Sydney are faves so the Blues should have a descent line. Think it will be close in the first quarter.

what agencies do you guys to get on the total match score line? I use sportingbet and sportsbet, and they never seem to have this market up early during the week, and by the time they have their market they usually have adjusted the line adequately as a result of the weather.

 

[lamaros]

THURSDAY, 22ND JUNE
8.10pm: West Coast ($1.85) vs Essendon ($1.95) Line 1.5

FRIDAY, 28TH JUNE
7.50pm: Sydney ($1.33) vs Carlton ($3.30) Line 20.5

SATURDAY, 29TH JUNE
1.40pm: Gold Coast ($2.15) vs Adelaide ($1.70) Line 6.5
4.40pm: Port Adelaide ($3.30) vs Collingwood ($1.33) Line 19.5
7.40pm: Geelong ($1.48) vs Fremantle ($2.65) Line 13.5
7.40pm: Melbourne ($5.00) vs Western Bulldogs ($1.17) Line 30.5

SUNDAY, 30TH JUNE
1.10pm: Hawthorn ($1.05) vs Brisbane ($10.00) Line 45.5
3.20pm: North Melbourne ($1.01) vs G-W Sydney ($15.00) Line 73.5
4.40pm: Richmond ($1.25) vs St.Kilda ($3.90) Line 27.5

Odds courtesy Sportsbet.com.au (as at 6.15pm on 24/6/13)

I'm already on Essendon.

I like Adelaide, Fremantle, Melbourne as favourites.

I like Carlton, Port, and maybe St. Kilda as an outside option.

 

[Willzzz]

what agencies do you guys to get on the total match score line? I use sportingbet and sportsbet, and they never seem to have this market up early during the week, and by the time they have their market they usually have adjusted the line adequately as a result of the weather.

Bet365.
All Total Match Score Lines and Game Lines are up.

 

[go u jimmy b]

You will only win back half.

Wce have no run. Just lost 2 of their top 5 players.

This one's a lock.

This..totally agree Selwood and Hurn massive outs + a 6 day break. Taking the 1.95 on SB this morning still can't believe WC are favs with the bookies..

 

[fryzie]

selwood yes one of eagles best 5 but if u are saying that hurn or embley is in their top 5 u are high as a kite pal

Hurn arguably our second most important player behind Naitanui.

 

[tupperware]

Essendon are still $2 on sportingbet..

 

[banana_bus]

Essendon are still $2 on sportingbet..

And Centrebet.

Surely they wont start at this price... surely.

 

[tupperware]

And Centrebet.

Surely they wont start at this price... surely.

You'd think not. And Freo/Cats should start a more even money game with Pav/Sandilands potentially back.

Taken Ess H2h @2
Freo line +11.5

 

[wcadams88]

http://m.afl.com.au/news/2013-06-25/no-go-for-pav-sandi