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AFL Round 17

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My mug punts for the week:

1U Suns H2H @8.00- Got on this earlier in the week. Think they're a MUCH better chance up North than these odds suggest.

1U Saints 1-19 @4.25 - Had a dream that the Saints won by under 20 points. No actual smart reason for this play... Don't often have football dreams so thought it was worth a shot.

1U Freo <39.5 @4.25 - Probably letting bias creep in here in a big way but I think we're a red hot chance and if we do pull it off, it will not be a huge win.

1U Crows <39.5 / Port +26.5 / Freo +23.5 @10.03 - Multi to keep things interesting. Crows to win at home, I think the Port line is generous and I like Freo to win (albeit thanks to supporters bias) so 23 points is a decent head start.
 
Adelaide v Essendon over 178.5 points @ $1.88.

In their last 8 games the sides have averaged 203.5 points against each other. 6 of them above the 178.5 mark and 5 of them over 200.

Good weather predicted for Adelaide tonight as well.
 
Adelaide v Essendon over 178.5 points @ $1.88.

In their last 8 games the sides have averaged 203.5 points against each other. 6 of them above the 178.5 mark and 5 of them over 200.

Good weather predicted for Adelaide tonight as well.

rarely do Aami Stadium matches go over.

3 of those matches occurred at Etihad so its irrelevant, most the other matches had Adelaide almost covering the line by themselves, something that will not happen tonight.

Not saying it won't go over, but it is totally different circumstances tonight then the matches you have listed.


Most Disposals for the Round

gone for some overs
Thompson @ 10
averages 30.2 disposals in his last 5 vs Essendon

Selwood @ 18
averages 28.2 in his last 4 vs Brisbane, and will be itching to go after his suspension
 
rarely do Aami Stadium matches go over.

3 of those matches occurred at Etihad so its irrelevant, most the other matches had Adelaide almost covering the line by themselves, something that will not happen tonight.

Not saying it won't go over, but it is totally different circumstances tonight then the matches you have listed.

Yeah you're right. Adelaide have played 8 games at AAMi this year, 6 of which have been under 174. One of the overs was the Suns games as well.

Now i've gone full circle. :p
 
rarely do Aami Stadium matches go over.

3 of those matches occurred at Etihad so its irrelevant, most the other matches had Adelaide almost covering the line by themselves, something that will not happen tonight.

Not saying it won't go over, but it is totally different circumstances tonight then the matches you have listed.


Most Disposals for the Round

gone for some overs
Thompson @ 10
averages 30.2 disposals in his last 5 vs Essendon

Selwood @ 18
averages 28.2 in his last 4 vs Brisbane, and will be itching to go after his suspension

Thompson will be lucky to beat Stanton...Selwood will need match fitness.

0/2 :eek:
 

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They only got 3 more than that last week and that was in a 117 point win against North, who let them run around all day and do what they pleased, don't see them getting 65 between them this week
 

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AFL Round 17

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