AFL Round 18

[GoodesStuff]

Why are people so sure about the SCG match being low scoring ? I looked at the weather forecast for Sydney and it says Saturday it will be possible showers but not raining. I know it has been raining this week there so does the SCG not dry out very well ? Thanks

Yeah, if you are waiting for the real odds than it has to stop raining.

 

[GoodesStuff]

Why not take the Saints 1-39 for better odds? It's essentially the same bet, as the Crows have 0 chance of winning this game.

Adelaide are a sneaky chance of getting an upset. At $7+ they are value. LOL at St Kilda being $1.10

 

[Resarenco]

Yeah, if you are waiting for the real odds than it has to stop raining.

immature and unnecessary

 

[Borgsta]

immature and unnecessary

maybe but FFS do some research.

Friday - Showers, heavy at times.
Rainfall amount: 20 to 40 mm

Doesn't look good. Chance to get on a good total early.

Last 2 matches between these 2 teams have been under 150 too.

 

[xamol]

Either Saints or Crows under 39.5 @ $1.83
5 units Sportingbet

 

[Big Jono]

Tonights only bet

Saints to win by under 39.5 points - $2.46 @ Betfair

I think Adelaide should be atleast competitive and St Kilda have a habit of just doing enough to win lately, they seem to go into their shell a bit when they think the game is won and just chip it around a bit not really worried about extending their lead.

 

[KardiniaPark]

immature and unnecessary

Yeah Goodesy back off thats my area.

It will be raining all weekend, it was pissing down all night AGAIN and all of the races around Sydney will be cancelled this weekend. Even as far out as Warwick farm which is where I am and we havent even had as much rain as the SCG would have in the last few days. No matter what happens from here it will be a bog. Even if we dont get rain (which we will) there is no drying winds or sunshine on the horizon.

 

[Borgsta]

BREAKING NEWS: Sydney's big wet is threatening ANZ Stadium's busiest football weekend of the year.

Tonight's Bulldogs-Parramatta Eels Toyota Cup fixture has been abandoned and the final Wallabies-Springboks training sessions have also been moved to preserve the surface.

 

[Resarenco]

maybe but FFS do some research.

Friday - Showers, heavy at times.
Rainfall amount: 20 to 40 mm

Doesn't look good. Chance to get on a good total early.

Last 2 matches between these 2 teams have been under 150 too.

Thanks didn't know there was a live webcam image. I was thinking that if it is going to be that low scoring then maybe doggies with a 4 goal head start at $1.50 is the way to go.

 

[Lensen]

Most goals tonight

0.5 units Dangerfield @ $15 (Sportingbet)

 

[Maveric]

Given all the discussion on the weather in Sydney

lowest score of the round

Western $11 & Sydney $21 is value at Sportsbet

 

[doddy87]

Either Saints or Crows under 39.5 @ $1.83
5 units Sportingbet

Why wouldnt you just do Adel +37.5 for $1.91?

 

[TheNextBigThing]

Why wouldnt you just do Adel +37.5 for $1.91?

St.Kilda will probably win by 38

 

[jefffff34]

Most Goals
Milne 2u @ $4.25, Gunston 1u @ $67, Wright 1u @ $67

First Goalscorer
Riewoldt @ $10, Milne @ $11, Gamble @ $21, Schneider @ $21, Gunston @ $26, Goddard @ $34, Armitage @ $51, Clarke @ $101, Polo @ $101

(all 1u, will be put on after I find out who the subs and starting benches are...bets won't be placed if any are not in the starting 18)

 

[Damarus]

what makes you say that? barlows return? I almost went 2u at it but held back.

We've still got no Mundy and Barlow is underdone, so I wouldn't worry about it from that point of view. What DOES worry me though is that Broughton is possibly our best matchup for LeCras... Might be given the job on him. Will have to wait and see I spose.

 

[The_Next_JB]

I remember vince played this possibly last round, but what does everyone think of away teams -2.5 over home teams @1.95 (iasbet) this week?

I made a guess at what i think the scores will be in every game and had the away teams winning by 30 points. Anyone like it?

 

[Borgsta]

Saints by 30
Roos by 30
Dogs by 10
Pies by 75
Ess by 15
Geelong by 60
Hawks by 50
WCE by 15

I'm leaning aways too

 

[KardiniaPark]

It looks about even for me going into the last game. I think a lot depends on what North do, they could win between 20 and 80 so that would have a big bearing on it. It's not something i'd bet on.

 

[baywatch5]

ROUND 18

ATS - CROWS +37.5 (x2)
ATS - WBULLDOGS +11.5 (x3)
MARGIN - WBULLDOGS 1-39 (x3)
ATS - HAWKS -26.5 (x2)
ATS - EAGLES -14.5 (x2)

YTD: 68-62-2 (+21.07u @ 52.3%)

 

[The_Next_JB]

yeh i had carlton by 20, so i reckon its pretty good value if you've got it still getting up comfortably with essendon winning

2.5 units - Away teams -2.5 over Home Teams @1.95 (iasbet)

 

[Deledio_Judd]

put $30 on Adelaide + 39.5 @ 1.80 at the local TAB

 

[sneak]

Adelaide +51.5 @ 1.48 or Adelaide +63.5 @ 1.30

 

[KardiniaPark]

put $30 on Adelaide + 39.5 @ 1.80 at the local TAB

Then what did you do? Get a coffee? Throw one in the Mrs?

Do tell.

 

[half_back_flank]

No goal in the first 10 minutes of the Swans and Doggies match is pay 12s at centrebet.

Both teams are going to take time to get used to the horrid conditions, 10 minutes is only a third of the quarter which i can definitely see happening.

 

[sneak]

i got $2.50 on bulldogs /swans under 151 earlier
I was thinking of getting on 0-18 goals @ 5.50
interesting to see what dogs 0-60 swans 0-60 would be.