Racing June Daily Punt: Insert questionable thread title here

[qarocks]

i like new joy, doomben R6
i have it a 70% chance to place, market has it at 57% so there's value.
none of the runners have won at the grade before
likes a good track (top 2 horses in place % on good)
meets all the filters

should go close

 

[qarocks]

looking like there will be heaps of great chances tomorrow, just waiting for final scratchings tomorrow. so far i have 10 horses that look good

 

[qarocks]

looking like a nice day here in melb,
lots of chances today, hopefully everyone has a fill up.

here are the ones i like, still place betting + kelly only

GL

Track	Race	Time	Time	Horse	Odds	Odds
EFARM	1	11.43	11.43	FLYING EMBERS	8	2.25
EFARM	2	12.18	12.18	TENZING	6.5	2.1
ROSEHILL	4	12.45	12.45	HELL TO PAY	3.2	1.55
ROSEHILL	4	12.45	12.45	DAME COMMANDER	7.5	2.25
EFARM	3	12.53	12.53	CAMPALDINO	3.2	1.55
SANDOWN	3	13.00	1.00	JUST FOR SHOW	12	3.2
MBRIDGE	5	13.47	1.47	SIR NOW	5	2.05
ROSEHILL	6	13.55	1.55	MICKEY'S MEDAL	3.4	1.55
SANDOWN	5	14.10	2.10	EXTREME VIRTUE	5.5	2.35
ROSEHILL	7	14.30	2.30	SPANISH FOX	7.5	2.6
SANDOWN	6	14.45	2.45	ROADCONE	2.1	1.25
SANDOWN	9	16.35	4.35	LIM'S KOSCIUSZKO	5	2.1

 

[Kiddbrown]

Anyone checked out the replay of Te Rapa race 5 today?
Classic

 

[qarocks]

weekend went well
having a small go at smart poppy to place today
GL

 

[Waca Jr]

two for your blackbook in the coming weeks

Earlswood. Looks ready after Saturday anything 1800-2200m is in his wheelhouse. Should be cherry ripe 3rd up, but we won't get double figures. Stable is airborne.

It's A Yes (Lindsay Smith) 1400m Caulfield is the target not sure if he'll step out next Saturday or wait another week, but Lindsay has set him for a 1400 after he didn't handle the straight

Apart from that happy to slow down until August and all the better jocks and horses start to come back

 

[Viva la Mattner]

Royal Ascot gets underway tonight!

My bets Day 1:

R1. Rosallion

R2. Postmodern

R3. West Acre

R4. Field of Gold

R6. Galen

 

[pacemaker]

ROYAL ASCOT!

 

[d-mac3276]

R1 - Rosallion
R3 - Mgheera
R4 - Fields of Gold

 

[Jugada]

Big watch Carl Spackler in the first in what is a decent field and a couple like Docklands and Lake Forest who are a reasonable measuring stick for our form out here

 

[pacemaker]

R1- Rosallion $3.30 PB & TAB bonus 2nd - 3rd and dabble cash back 2nd - 3rd. Great form

R2 - Post-modern $6 bonus back pb and cashback dabble

R2 - American Gulf $9 pb bonus

R3 - Asfoora top 2 - $4

R4 - Henri Matisse $4.40 cashback 2nd, fast previous time

 

[pacemaker]

Big watch Carl Spackler in the first in what is a decent field and a couple like Docklands and Lake Forest who are a reasonable measuring stick for our form out here

How do you think J Mac is tracking? Any word on his illness? Struggled to win anything at Eagle Farm.

 

[pacemaker]

R3- West Acre $15 odds with bonus back 2nd , 3rd

Roughies

Power Blue
Nurburgring
Phantom fight
Fairbanks

 

[qarocks]

having a place bet on both Rosallion and Carl Spackler in the first.

 

[Viva la Mattner]

having a place bet on both Rosallion and Carl Spackler in the first.

Robbed

That was a DH, no margin there

No wonder you can’t find a pic anywhere

 

[pacemaker]

Robbed

That was a DH, no margin there

No wonder you can’t find a pic anywhere

Totally agree. The photo also took ages.

 

[Jugada]

Robbed

That was a DH, no margin there

No wonder you can’t find a pic anywhere

 

[pacemaker]

Adding Believing top 4 $1.90

 

[qarocks]

not much to like today, but having a small go on prevailed to place.

 

[Waca Jr]

Sandown despite the good track Herbert Park looked huge overs Race 3 mile back in grade and trialled good. Also thought Trapalada deserved to be fave R6

 

[IKnowtheDog]

Gil’s trip to Royal Ascot seems to be well received on twitter.

 

[qarocks]

going to have to bet on SLIPPIN' JIMMY no matter what, best name ever. BCS is just the best

 

[qarocks]

punters.com had a big list of tips from UK tipsters, my brain couldnt handle the mess so i pivot tabled it into sense

Race	Horse	Tips
R1	ESKIMO PIE	1​
	SPICY MARG	3​
	TRUE LOVE	1​
	ZELAINA	2​
R2	ASMARANI	1​
	CARMERS	1​
	PINHOLE	1​
	RAHIEBB	1​
R3	CINDERELLA'S DREAM	5​
	FALLEN ANGEL	1​
	ONE LOOK	1​
R4	ANMAAT	4​
	LOS ANGELES	3​
	MAP OF STARS	2​
	OMBUDSMAN	1​
R5	ANCIENT ROME	1​
	ARABIAN LIGHT	2​
	BLUE BROTHER	1​
	EBT'S GUARD	1​
	LA TRINIDAD	1​
	QIRAT	1​
	THE LIFFEY	3​
	TONY MONTANA	1​
	URBAN LION	1​
	WAHDAN	1​
	WHIP CRACKER	1​
R6	INDEPENDENT EXPERT	1​
	RAINBOWS EDGE	1​
	ROCKYMOUNTAINWAY	1​
	SNELLEN	2​
R7	OLD IS GOLD	1​
	ROGUE LEGEND	3​
	UTMOST RESPECT	2​

 

[qarocks]

RIP impish lady, very unlucky and sad stuff

Impish Lady After passing the winning post sustained a serious racing injury to the off foreleg and was humanely euthanised. The mare was transported to the University of Melbourne for post-mortem and samples were taken for analysis. This incident will be referred to the RV Veterinary Services Department. Rider Craig Williams reported that the mare travelled strongly throughout and won well, however shortly after passing the winning post put in an awkward stride and he eased the mare up. C. Williams, who was harmlessly dislodged, was examined by the RV Doctor and deemed fit to fulfil his remaining engagements.

 

[qarocks]

i was looking at some stats on the last few weeks and noticed that i seem to out perform during the middle races, and underperform early and late. weird