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Lid status thread: Harold Holt

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cooking - kitchen safety 1949 boiling GIF
 
I just wish we'd kicked one more goal in the last 5 mins just so no one could whinge about how Brisbane lost it rather than we won it. Lid is off but only slightly.
Despite all that kicking 5 goals to take the lead in the last is pretty good, you don’t have to be good 100 of the game, just for longer than the opposition.
 

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Win against the Hawks in Tassie top 4 is locked in. That's lid off.

We'd have to be confident about winning vs Tigers (A), Melbourne (H), Gold Coast (H), Port (H), Eagles (A) and North (A).
That's 6 wins.
On 9 currently - gets us to 15 and probably 4th.

Beat Hawks and that becomes 16 and possibly top 2.
Then free swings at Dogs (A), Pies (H) and Hawks (H) to nail a top 2 spot.
 
Win against the Hawks in Tassie top 4 is locked in. That's lid off.

We'd have to be confident about winning vs Tigers (A), Melbourne (H), Gold Coast (H), Port (H), Eagles (A) and North (A).
That's 6 wins.
On 9 currently - gets us to 15 and probably 4th.

Beat Hawks and that becomes 16 and possibly top 2.
Then free swings at Dogs (A), Pies (H) and Hawks (H) to nail a top 2 spot.
Yep, don’t need to win next week, but do so and anything less than top 4 is a failure.
 
Win against the Hawks in Tassie top 4 is locked in. That's lid off.

We'd have to be confident about winning vs Tigers (A), Melbourne (H), Gold Coast (H), Port (H), Eagles (A) and North (A).
That's 6 wins.
On 9 currently - gets us to 15 and probably 4th.

Beat Hawks and that becomes 16 and possibly top 2.
Then free swings at Dogs (A), Pies (H) and Hawks (H) to nail a top 2 spot.
I don't have Port or GC as guaranteed wins, I'd put them in the group of 6 challenging games from the remaining 10. Should certainly win the other 4 though which gets us to minimum 13. If we can run 50/50 against GC, Port, Collingwood, Dogs and Hawks (twice) that's our 16 and guaranteed top 4.

Top 2 is probably 17 or 18 wins though.
 
I don't have Port or GC as guaranteed wins, I'd put them in the group of 6 challenging games from the remaining 10. Should certainly win the other 4 though which gets us to minimum 13. If we can run 50/50 against GC, Port, Collingwood, Dogs and Hawks (twice) that's our 16 and guaranteed top 4.

Top 2 is probably 17 or 18 wins though.
Port should be a guaranteed win, they are dogshit and their season will be over when we play them
 
Port should be a guaranteed win, they are dogshit and their season will be over when we play them
Hope you're right. I think the biggest weakness of the Crows right now is teams that can absolutely torch us in the midfield. I put Port in that group even if we have them easily covered everywhere else on the field, and I could see a repeat of the last Showdown where we were fairly fortunate to win after getting absolutely smashed around the ball. Common theme in the Freo, Geelong, Port and Brisbane games, even if we managed to win two of those.

Obviously Adelaide are favourites but I don't think it's certain.
 

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Lid status thread: Harold Holt

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