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Oppo Camp Non-Lions Discussion 2025

  • Thread starter Thread starter Jivlain
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Just joshin ;)
 

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Trying to figure out our top 4 chances

If we win 4/5 we are a lock with 17.5 wins. Our worst finishing position then would be third.

3/5 is looking like a very good chance too getting us to 16.5 wins. We were 1.5 games ahead of 4th spot before the round started.

Assuming the suns beat essendon, and assuming the crows and pies get to 17 wins (not a guarantee) the only way we would miss is at least 2 teams winning all 5 games out of hawthorn. And some of them play each other. so just need to win

Our gabba games both look very winnable. Realistically our next easiest game is the Suns by a fair margin - no travel and they are a young inexperienced side.

There is some chance too of seeing a glut of teams on 15 wins and us sneaking in on 15.5 to top 4.

PIES / CATS / CROWS you would think all get to 16.

HAWKS - on 13 wins with 4 to go so need to lose 2 of those, including pies mcg, crows ao, lions gabba. Odds are they end up on 15 wins
GWS - On 12 wins with 5 to go so need to lose 2. Swans tricky tonight, dogs away, suns away. Need to lose 2/3 of those games to be stuck on 15
DOCKERS - on 12 wins with 5 to go so need to lose 2. This is an interesting one. Port away some small chance of losing. Otherwise their toughest are Lions in Perth and Dogs in docklands. So really if there is ONE must win game for us the rest of the year, at this stage it looms as freo in perth.
SUNS - 11 wins with 6 to go so need to lose 2. Hardest games port away (ken's farewell?), us and giants at gold coast

The absolute must wins for us i think become DOCKERS and SUNS. If we win them, we could conceivably lose all of our other matches and still finish top 4.
 

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Looking ominous for the swans now - giants have gone to another level. they are the side i least want to face in september.

Callaghan is a weapon - one for Bez next time.
8 goal to 1 quarter

i guess the upside is the swans will be done by the time we get them
 

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