NRL 2011

[baywatch5]

1ST H - STORM -2 (x1)
ATS - STORM -4 (x2)

 

[Purrfect Pussies]

Tailed Baywatch

2 units - Storm 1H -2.5 @ $1.91
.5 unit - Slater - first try scorer @ $10

edit:

Note to self. No more betting on NRL.

 

[baywatch5]

2nd h - storm -6.5 (x1.5)

 

[jefffff34]

Had a putrid second half of round 3 with the first try scorer bets, finished the round +10 however with 3 winners, and am now +48 overall.

Below are my round 4 tips. 39 units at stake - looks as though I'll need to get at least 3 and probably 4 right to make a profit now that the books are starting to get their framing correct.

South Sydney vs Manly
Nathan Merritt $11, Greg Inglis $11, David Williams $13, Rhys Wesser $15*, Dylan Farrell $15
Brisbane vs Penrith
Justin Hodges $13, Lachlan Coote $13, Michael Gordon $13, Michael Jennings $13, David Simmons $13, Matt Gillett $26
Canberra vs Gold Coast
Josh Dugan $12, Daniel Vidot $12, Joel Thompson $13, Steve Michaels $13, Mark Minichiello $34
Parramatta vs North Queensland
Jarrad Hayne $11, Willie Tonga $13, Kalifa Faifai Loa $13
Cronulla vs New Zealand
Nathan Gardner $13, Krisnan Inu $13, Shaun Berrigan $17, Albert Kelly $26, James Maloney $26, Lewis Brown $29
Newcastle vs St.George-Illawarra
Akuila Uate $11, Brett Morris $12, Jason Nightingale $12, Matt Cooper $13
Sydney Roosters vs Wests Tigers
Shaun Kenny-Dowell $12, Todd Carney $17, Benji Marshall $19, Braith Anasta $21
Melbourne vs Canterbury
Justin O'Neill $12, Ben Barba $12, Billy Slater $13, Anthony Quinn $13, Beau Champion $15, Tim Lafai $17



* Apparently already out but I will still put my unit on so that I don't have another Anthony Quinn Round 2 debacle.

(I had all these colour coded to show everyone which book they were with, and I was up to the last game and I pressed something on my keyboard and I lost it all, and I genuinely CBF doing all the code again....most were with Sportsbet though)

 

[baywatch5]

Terrible start to 2011. Last week went 1-4 -4.07 units. Looking to bounce back this round.

DOUBLE - BRONCOS ML / ROOSTERS ML (x1.5)

NRL YTD: 4-9-0 (-12.38 @ 25%)

 

[jefffff34]

Nice work Dylan Farrell + two no starters in the first game... +6 so far.

 

[baywatch5]

Terrible start to 2011. Last week went 1-4 -4.07 units. Looking to bounce back this round.

DOUBLE - BRONCOS ML / ROOSTERS ML (x1.5)

NRL YTD: 4-9-0 (-12.38 @ 25%)

ADDING

ATS - RAIDERS -10.5 (x1.5)

 

[baywatch5]

2ND H - RAIDERS -4.5 (x1)

 

[Purrfect Pussies]

Time to give the NRL a rest big fella. Can't take a trick.

 

[baywatch5]

Tell me about it bit of bad luck but will stick with it. Have the Roosters already in my double with the Broncos to win and liking the Dragons today

1ST H - DRAGONS -2 (x1)
ATS - DRAGONS -3.5 (x2)

 

[Rooster Cogburn]

The knights are going to come out firing today, I'll be staying away. Think the Dragons will end up winning, but it'll be close.

Edit: Might actually have a play at Newcastle/St George HT/NT double, $7.50 sportingbet

 

[Rooster Cogburn]

The knights are going to come out firing today, I'll be staying away

Or not....

Dragons playing well.

 

[jefffff34]

South Sydney vs Manly
Nathan Merritt $11, Greg Inglis $11, David Williams $13, Rhys Wesser $15, Dylan Farrell $15
Brisbane vs Penrith
Justin Hodges $13, Lachlan Coote $13, Michael Gordon $13, Michael Jennings $13, David Simmons $13, Matt Gillett $26
Canberra vs Gold Coast
Josh Dugan $12, Daniel Vidot $12, Joel Thompson $13, Steve Michaels $13, Mark Minichiello $34
Parramatta vs North Queensland
Jarrad Hayne $11, Willie Tonga $13, Kalifa Faifai Loa $13
Cronulla vs New Zealand
Nathan Gardner $13, Krisnan Inu $13, Shaun Berrigan $17, Albert Kelly $26, James Maloney $26, Lewis Brown $29
Newcastle vs St.George-Illawarra
Akuila Uate $11, Brett Morris $12, Jason Nightingale $12, Matt Cooper $13
Sydney Roosters vs Wests Tigers
Shaun Kenny-Dowell $12, Todd Carney $17, Benji Marshall $19, Braith Anasta $21
Melbourne vs Canterbury
Justin O'Neill $12, Ben Barba $12, Billy Slater $13, Anthony Quinn $13, Beau Champion $15, Tim Lafai $17

-4 for the round so far, with two no starters in the first round. Have a lot of good candidates in the last game though. Hope so anyway, I don't want my first losing round...and if it is a losing round, it will be -10 providing they all start.

 

[Sasquatch]

Bad luck on the Dragons. That sucks!

 

[Rooster Cogburn]

-4 for the round so far, with two no starters in the first round. Have a lot of good candidates in the last game though. Hope so anyway, I don't want my first losing round...and if it is a losing round, it will be -10 providing they all start.

Hoggy, do you give yourself any leeway when choosing which tryscorer you'll take? Say you rate someone a $8.50 chance, and they're paying $8, will they qualify? Or is it a very strict line of qualification?

 

[jefffff34]

Strict line of qualification, either they are overs which I will back, or they are not. Nightingale last week was 20 cents unders by my stats, which unfortunately cost me $$$.

 

[baywatch5]

1ST H - STORM (x1.5)
ATS - STORM (x1.5)

 

[Purrfect Pussies]

A couple of first try scorer bets after a great weekend in the AFL. Tough game with the Bulldogs on top after 3 wins. Think the Storm will be keen to make a mends after the Cowboys gave them a hiding last week. Interesting note the Storm have won on the last 7 occasions after being beaten by 30+ points the week before.

Slater @ $11 & Quinn @ $9

 

[jefffff34]

Quinn is a late change out.

 

[baywatch5]

Storm come through to finish the round on a positive note. Still a long way to go after a disasterous start to the season

Round 4
4-3 +0.5 units

YTD: 8-15 (-11.89u @ 35%)

 

[Cruiser23]

Seen the new market up on Sportingbet?

http://www.sportingbet.com.au/Default.aspx#&&s=Sports-AnyTeamVs-2154558

Basically a team v a team points wise for the round.

 

[RoosterLad]

Centrebet also have a promo this week for first try scorer, if you put a bet on a player to score the first try and you don't then you get your money back up to $20.

http://promos.centrebet.com/nrl-1st-try-scorer-btcl

 

[jefffff34]

Centrebet also have a promo this week for first try scorer, if you put a bet on a player to score the first try and you don't then you get your money back up to $20.

http://promos.centrebet.com/nrl-1st-try-scorer-btcl

I'll be enjoying that little promo.

 

[RoosterLad]

I'll be enjoying that little promo.

Thought you might! I will have to tail some of your value bets this weekend I reckon.

 

[duncs]

Centrebet also have a promo this week for first try scorer, if you put a bet on a player to score the first try and you don't then you get your money back up to $20.

http://promos.centrebet.com/nrl-1st-try-scorer-btcl

Note that you get your money back as a freebet that has to be used on NRL, so not quite as god as they first make it sound