Analysis Pick Watch - 2018

[Jeremias]

Thought it might be fun to track our draft picks given a few of them are tied in with the finishing positions of a number of clubs across the competition.

This year we're 'death-riding' the Crows and Dogs with both their second round picks up our sleeve, and the Cats to a lesser extent given we hold their 4th.

FWIW I had the clubs finishing as follows in my preseason ladder prediction:

Geelong - 2nd
Adelaide - 6th
Western Bulldogs - 9th

Post-finals adjustment I had the three picks therefore being 28, 31/32 and 69/70.

I am not too concerned by the Cats given their 4th appears to hold very little value, but the other two picks could certainly be of value.

After round one I'm pretty happy with where I had the Cats and Crows finishing up, although I might have to adjust my expectations of the Dogs - they looked awful against the Giants, and Libba is a huge loss.

We all hope the three clubs fall in a heap, but what are your expectations of them this season?

EDIT: Let's not turn this into a list management or draft thread, we already have those on the board. This is purely intended to be a light-hearted observation of the three clubs in question as we lament in their success and celebrate their failure this year.

 

[HBF]

Cats 4th round pick may net us a F/S selection.

 

[CJMB]

That dogs pick could end up being an alright one.

Libba is a tremendous loss to their engine room, they've got some troubles down back and just to add fuel to the flame there's the whole 'trade bait' saga with Libba & Dahl (& Wallis? was there others mentioned too?...).

 

[Arr0w]

Thought it might be fun to track our draft picks given a few of them are tied in with the finishing positions of a number of clubs across the competition.

This year we're 'death-riding' the Crows and Dogs with both their second round picks up our sleeve, and the Cats to a lesser extent given we hold their 4th.

FWIW I had the clubs finishing as follows in my preseason ladder prediction:

Geelong - 2nd
Adelaide - 6th
Western Bulldogs - 9th

Post-finals adjustment I had the three picks therefore being 28, 31/32 and 69/70.

I am not too concerned by the Cats given their 4th appears to hold very little value, but the other two picks could certainly be of value.

After round one I'm pretty happy with where I had the Cats and Crows finishing up, although I might have to adjust my expectations of the Dogs - they looked awful against the Giants, and Libba is a huge loss.

We all hope the three clubs fall in a heap, but what are your expectations of them this season?

EDIT: Let's not turn this into a list management or draft thread, we already have those on the board. This is purely intended to be a light-hearted observation of the three clubs in question as we lament in their success and celebrate their failure this year.

Hahaha was just in the middle of creating a thread just like this .....good job Jeremias

Would be interested in a week to week rolling pick numbers

As it stands, I believe these are what we would have if the draft was today (6 picks)

7, 19, 26, 64, 79, 97

 

[Mr_Plow]

Dogs could easily finish 10th-14th this season, yielding us pick 22-26, would be awesome.

Alongside pick 30 or so from Adelaide, that could net us two decent players or an upgrade to a mid-late first round pick.

Pick 8 and pick 15 would be very nice heading into this draft.

 

[cookie monster]

Dogs could easily finish 10th-14th this season, yielding us pick 22-26, would be awesome.

Alongside pick 30 or so from Adelaide, that could net us two decent players or an upgrade to a mid-late first round pick.

Pick 8 and pick 15 would be very nice heading into this draft.

Spot on, the ideal situation has us making two discretionary picks before having our FS Prospects bid on

 

[ShanDog]

OK so who has the time and inclination to create a running graph showing the position of our picks as we deathride the Crows and Dogs each round? Make it happen!

 

[thylacine60]

clever thread, j-man - we get to look forward to november without the usual sense of humiliation..........

 

[Jimmae]

OK so who has the time and inclination to create a running graph showing the position of our picks as we deathride the Crows and Dogs each round? Make it happen!

The draft board normally does this, but they're not up to date yet.

https://www.bigfooty.com/forum/threads/2018-nominal-afl-draft-order-based-on-2017-ladder.1179329/

 

[Jabba73]

clever thread, j-man - we get to look forward to november without the usual sense of humiliation..........

Haven’t been on BF long?

Humiliation is always just around the corner

 

[Jabba73]

That dogs pick could end up being an alright one.

Libba is a tremendous loss to their engine room, they've got some troubles down back and just to add fuel to the flame there's the whole 'trade bait' saga with Libba & Dahl (& Wallis? was there others mentioned too?...).

Can see the wheels falling off at the Dogs this season.

Might be able to trade back their pick for a player we want

 

[thylacine60]

been around long enough to pick the spuds from the hasbeans - and know never to compare goranges with lemons - as ferris so brilliantly quipped

 

[Trueblue4Life]

All Picks after Round 1

 

[thylacine60]

how the hell did you do that? would love to see it stickied somehow - top effort,TL

 

[Trueblue4Life]

how the hell did you do that? top effort,TL

Took a long time to get right but I'm 100% sure about all the picks. I followed the trade period really closely and put a whole spreadsheet together, connecting every games results this year to a ladder and draft picks. I could post the picks after every week.

 

[thylacine60]

mate - outstanding

 

[HBF]

7, 19 & 26 is a good place to start.

 

[Jimmae]

The draft board normally does this, but they're not up to date yet.

https://www.bigfooty.com/forum/threads/2018-nominal-afl-draft-order-based-on-2017-ladder.1179329/

This has just been updated.

 

[Faz 2000]

This year we're 'death-riding' the Crows and Dogs with both their second round picks up our sleeve,

Haha, love the term. Yep, all aboard, down you go Dogs and Cows!

 

[bmaurizio]

Dogs could easily finish 10th-14th this season, yielding us pick 22-26, would be awesome.

Alongside pick 30 or so from Adelaide, that could net us two decent players or an upgrade to a mid-late first round pick.

Pick 8 and pick 15 would be very nice heading into this draft.

Agree, reckon you've just about nailed it Mr_ Plow and if we were to contemplate to trade say next year's 1st rounder too even better, surly fetch us another top 10 pick.

 

[Jabba73]

Agree, reckon you've just about nailed it Mr_ Plow and if we were to contemplate to trade say next year's 1st rounder too even better, surly fetch us another top 10 pick.

Anyone left on the list we are willing to trade and has value to other clubs?

 

[branedotorg]

Anyone left on the list we are willing to trade and has value to other clubs?

one of mckay, mcreadie, wietering, marchbank? cant see us trading a mid or curnow.

not sure anyone else has enough value to be worth losing.

 

[PrinceCharles]

How are they looking now?

 

[Zlatan]

7, 19 & 26 is a good place to start.

If the draft bats deep, we are in a great position. Ditto if a player declares he wants to move back to Melbourne or change club.

I really hope the Bulldogs collapse in a heap.

 

[thylacine60]

yep - done with this "dogs are my second club" fancifulness - if they must die so that we live, I'm cool with that........